2:45 Uttoxeter
This Class 5 handicap chase at Uttoxeter over 2m4f on good ground brings together an 11-runner field where the KTB Fit ratings are tightly bunched at the top. The principals are headed by a pair on 62, with the next three separated by just a single point, suggesting a competitive renewal in which class, trip fitness and how the race unfolds will be decisive. Overall the numbers point to a race that could be decided late given the strong pace anticipated.
How the race shapes up
With two or more habitual front-runners declared, the pace shape is strongly positive and a strong gallop looks assured. Kaviar Wood, Kingston Gent, Nevershedatear and A Dublin Job all tend to race prominently or on the lead, while Soldier In Mayo, Midnight View and Dance Rules like to race handily. That early speed could set the race up for hold-up performers, posing the key question of whether any prominent runners can sustain their effort or if the late closers will be picking up the pieces in the closing stages.
The KTB Fit ranking
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1Kaproyale KTB Selection62/100
Kaproyale is a useful 11-year-old boasting a solid career record that includes three wins on good ground from nine starts. He arrives here off the back of four modest efforts last season and has failed to win in six attempts at this trip. The yard holds a 17% strike rate at Uttoxeter from 331 runs in line with their record elsewhere while this is the horse's first run at the track. Usually held up and producing his effort late, he is ideally placed to benefit if the strong pace collapses. Lilly Pinchin takes the ride, a jockey with a 15% strike rate at the course from 60 rides.
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2Kaviar Wood62/100
Kaviar Wood is a fair performer who has shown consistent placed form at this level. He drops back in trip today having last run over 3m1f and holds a placed effort at 2m4f from two attempts. The trainer holds a 14% strike rate at Uttoxeter while the jockey is operating above his general rate here with a 9% record. Tending to make the running or race on the pace, he is sure to be to the fore in a race where the pace is expected to be strong. With an official rating of 83 he sits below some of his rivals on that measure but his consistency gives him a solid platform.
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3Soldier In Mayo60/100
Soldier In Mayo is a useful performer who has shown steady progress and holds an official rating of 93. He has won at this trip from four starts and holds a positive record on good ground with one win from four runs. The yard's 13% strike rate at Uttoxeter is in line with their record elsewhere while the jockey's 8% figure here matches his overall mark. Usually racing handily on or close to the lead, he will be prominent early in what is set to be a strongly-run affair. The dam has had one other runner which was not a winner.
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4Kally des Bruyeres59/100
Kally des Bruyeres is a useful performer who has shown consistent form this year with a win and two placed efforts from his last five starts. He has run three times at Uttoxeter without placing and steps up in trip today having failed to trouble the judge in two previous attempts at 2m4f. The trainer's 8% strike rate at the track is in line with his record elsewhere while the jockey's 20% strike rate here is also in line with his overall figure. Typically settling in midfield, he will look to make steady headway as the race develops. With an official rating of 93 he is on a competitive mark if the step up in distance suits.
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5Kingston Gent59/100
Kingston Gent is a useful performer who shaped with promise when third on handicap debut last time. He drops back in trip to a distance at which he has already placed without winning, while he has also shown he can be competitive on good ground. Trainer and jockey both operating at their ordinary level at Uttoxeter on first visit for the horse. Tending to make the running or race on the pace, he will be one of those ensuring the gallop is strong. Placed twice from three starts on good ground, he brings solid place claims if he can build on that latest effort.
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6Midnight View57/100
Midnight View is a useful performer who arrives in decent nick after three placed efforts from his last four starts. He drops back in trip to 2m4f today which poses a fresh question while the yard’s 14% strike rate at Uttoxeter is above their record elsewhere. Usually racing handily, he has shown he handles good ground.
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7Bravethewaves50/100
Bravethewaves is a fair handicapper who has placed twice from six runs at Uttoxeter without winning. He drops back from 3m to a trip where he has won twice from nine starts, and his record on good ground reads two wins and two places from 14 runs. Trainer and jockey both operate at their usual level here with 14% and 7% strike rates respectively.
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8Nevershedatear50/100
Nevershedatear is a fair performer who showed some ability when placed over today's trip on his fourth start. He has been consistent enough in recent runs without looking well above average and now steps up in trip again after a recent fourth at 2m3½f. Full sister to Pescatorius who has four wins from 30 runs; the dam has had six other runners of which three were winners. Tending to make the running or race on the pace.
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9Colby Mayfield44/100
Colby Mayfield is a fair performer on his official rating of 82 with placed efforts in better company earlier in the year. He drops back in trip to 2m4f today having last run over 3m, a distance he has not tried before. Half-brother to Bronn, a Grade 2 winner with four wins from 18 runs; the dam has had two other runners which were both winners. The yard has only had four runners at Uttoxeter which is too small a sample to judge.
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10Dance Rules41/100
Dance Rules is a fair performer who showed some ability when runner-up on return from a long break last time. He has run twice at this track without placing and now drops back in trip having been placed once at this distance. The dam has had two other runners, none of them a winner. Trainer and jockey both operate at their usual level here.
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11A Dublin Job38/100
A Dublin Job is a fair performer who has run six times at Uttoxeter without winning or placing. He drops back from 3m to a trip where he has won twice from eight starts, and he has three wins from 15 runs on good ground. The trainer's 3% strike rate here from 132 runs sits in line with her overall record, while the jockey's 6% from 247 rides is also in line with his elsewhere. Tending to make the running or race on the pace.
KTB verdict
Kaproyale is the KTB Selection. An 11-year-old with a solid career record and three wins on good ground from nine starts, his held-up run style looks perfectly suited to the strong pace that is likely to materialise here. The yard's healthy 17% strike rate at Uttoxeter adds further encouragement on his first visit to the track. Main dangers include Kaviar Wood, who brings consistent placed form and will ensure the pace is genuine from the front, and Soldier In Mayo, who has shown steady progress and boasts an official rating of 93 along with a win at this trip. Kally des Bruyeres and Kingston Gent round out the main contenders in a race where the shape could be key.
KTB Selection Kaproyale
Early prices
The best price per runner across the bookmakers we track, each as first seen (UK time). Every runner had a price by 12:14am, 30 Oct. Prices move — see the live racecard for current prices.
| Runner | Early price | Bookmaker, time |
|---|---|---|
| Kaproyale | 16/1 | Bet365, 12:07am |
| Kaviar Wood | 13/2 | William Hill, 12:07am |
| Soldier In Mayo | 13/2 | Bet365, 12:07am |
| Kally des Bruyeres | 5/2 | Bet365, 12:07am |
| Kingston Gent | 7/1 | William Hill, 12:07am |
| Midnight View | 18/1 | William Hill, 12:07am |
| Bravethewaves | 10/1 | Bet365, 12:07am |
| Nevershedatear | 10/1 | William Hill, 12:07am |
| Colby Mayfield | 12/1 | William Hill, 12:07am |
| Dance Rules | 11/2 | Bet365, 12:07am |
| A Dublin Job | 33/1 | William Hill, 12:07am |
This is the narrative read of the 2:45 Uttoxeter. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Uttoxeter racecard. Every result we hold for the track is on the Uttoxeter results & records page. How favourites, trainers, jockeys and the draw have fared here over the last five years is on the Uttoxeter racecourse statistics page. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
How does the strong pace shape affect the principals?
The strong pace, with two or more habitual front-runners, could collapse late and favour hold-up horses such as Kaproyale.
Which runners are likely to set the early pace?
Kaviar Wood, Kingston Gent, Nevershedatear and A Dublin Job tend to make the running or race on the pace, while Soldier In Mayo, Midnight View and Dance Rules like to race prominently.
Has Kaproyale won at this trip before?
Kaproyale has failed to win in six attempts at this trip.
What is Soldier In Mayo's record on good ground?
Soldier In Mayo holds a positive record on good ground with one win from four runs.
How many times has Kally des Bruyeres run at Uttoxeter?
Kally des Bruyeres has run three times at Uttoxeter without placing.
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