4:30 Wolverhampton (AW)

The KTB Fit ranking

1. 1Serious Look KTB Selection70/100

   Form -15587 · Thomas Faulkner · Zoe Lewis(7)

   Serious Look is a modest performer with a solid record at Wolverhampton, having won four times from thirteen starts at the track. He steps up in trip today after his last run over a mile, though he has won three times from nine starts at this distance and holds a strong record of four wins from fourteen starts on standard going. The six-year-old usually races prominently, on or close to the lead, which should suit the anticipated pace shape. Trainer Thomas Faulkner holds a 15% strike rate at Wolverhampton from 147 runs, above their 6% elsewhere, while jockey Zoe Lewis operates at 13% here from 55 rides, in line with her record at other courses. With an official rating of 69 and recent form figures of -15587, he is taken to put his course knowledge to good use.

2. 2The Anthony Gover60/100

   Form 321132 · Dr Richard Newland · Billy Loughnane

   The Anthony Gover is another modest performer who has won twice at this track from six runs and holds a solid record of two wins from four starts at today's trip. He has struck twice on standard going from seven attempts and arrives in decent form having won three of his last six starts. The three-year-old is likely to race prominently, on or close to the lead, fitting the race's forward pace profile. Trainer Dr Richard Newland strikes at 16% at Wolverhampton from 37 runs, while jockey Billy Loughnane is operating above his usual rate at 20% from 855 rides at the track. Carrying an official rating of 68 and with recent form figures of 321132, he represents a clear danger from draw four.

3. 3Show Biz Kid56/100

   Form 415353 · Julia & Shelley Birkett · Dylan Hogan

   Show Biz Kid is a modest performer who has been placed on his last two starts at Wolverhampton without winning and has never scored on this surface. The five-year-old has recorded placed efforts of third, second, fourth, sixth and sixth in five runs here and is only placed once in five attempts at today's trip. He typically settles in midfield, which may leave him with a bit to do if the race is truly run up front. The yard's 12% strike rate at Wolverhampton is in line with their record elsewhere and the same applies to Dylan Hogan's 10% from 355 rides at the track. From a wide draw in stall ten and with an official rating of 70, he will need to improve on recent form figures of 415353 to feature.

4. 4Study Up50/100

   Form 412895 · Mark Loughnane · Rob Hornby

   Study Up is a modest performer who has been placed twice from four runs at Wolverhampton without winning. He drops back in trip today after being placed once in two starts at this distance and has shown competitive form on standard going. The five-year-old usually races prominently, on or close to the lead, which should see him involved in the early action given the race shape. Trainer Mark Loughnane records a 10% strike rate here from 1,895 runs, above their 7% at other courses, while jockey Rob Hornby matches his 10% strike rate at the track from 794 rides. With an official rating of 64 and recent form figures of 412895, he is competitive on his best days from the inside draw.

5. 5Under The Sun48/100

   Form 501435 · James Owen · Luke Morris

   Under The Sun is a modest performer who has run to form on his last couple of starts without threatening to win. He showed little on his only previous visit to Wolverhampton and is now stepping up in trip for the first time, which asks a fresh question. The five-year-old is a prominent runner with high-confidence run-style data, usually racing handily on or close to the lead, and this should align with the forward pace expected. Trainer James Owen has a 20% strike rate at the track from 281 runs, while jockey Luke Morris posts 12% from over 4,600 rides at Wolverhampton. Stepping up in class with an official rating of 60 and recent form figures of 501435, he has place claims at best.

6. 6Crimson Road48/100

   Form 411143 · John & Rhys Flint · William Carson

   Family: half-brother to First Time (1 win from 14 runs). The dam has had 3 other runners, 1 of them a winner.

   Crimson Road is a modest debutant with recent form figures that suggest ability on the Flat but very limited public evidence overall. The yard has a 0% strike rate from 11 runs at Wolverhampton while the jockey operates at an 8% strike rate here, in line with his record elsewhere. Half-brother to First Time, who won once from 14 runs, and with the dam having produced three other runners including one winner, this looks more about finding out where he stands than expecting immediate impact.

7. 7Caledonian46/100

   Form -58455 · David Simcock · Callum Shepherd

   Caledonian is a modest performer who has shown little spark in five runs this year and was only fifth on his one previous visit to this track. He drops back in trip today having failed to trouble the judge in two runs at this distance, though he does have a win on standard ground from three attempts. Usually held up and producing his effort late, he may find the genuinely-run pace against him. Both trainer and jockey have strike rates here in line with their records elsewhere.

8. 8Ibn Altheeb46/100

   Form 340071 · Iain Jardine · Lewis Edmunds

   Ibn Altheeb is a modest performer who has already won over this trip and on this surface. He has won once from two starts at Wolverhampton and is one from three on standard going. Usually racing prominently, on or close to the lead, he should be involved early in what is set to be a truly-run race. Trainer and jockey both record strike rates at the track that sit in line with their figures at other venues.

9. 9Tortured Soul45/100

   Form 324097 · Tony Carroll · Molly Gunn(5)

   Tortured Soul is a modest performer who has won twice from seven starts at this track and holds an eight-from-25 record on standard ground. Recent form has been patchy with a string of lesser efforts after a solid spell earlier in the year. He typically settles in midfield and the trip remains a question as he has failed to place in two previous attempts at this distance.

10. 10Lunella40/100

    Form 324 · Ollie Sangster · Cieren Fallon

    Family: half-sister to Stratum (11 wins from 51 runs). The dam has had 5 other runners, 3 of them winners.

    Lunella is a modest performer who has shown steady placed form in three starts at maiden level. She drops back in trip today after her last run over a mile and a half, which asks a fresh question, while the going remains unknown from such a light record. A front-runner who tends to make the running or race on the pace, she could set the tempo early but is unproven on standard ground and at the track. Half-sister to Stratum, who won 11 times from 51 runs, with the dam having produced five other runners including three winners.