6:30 Wolverhampton (AW)

The KTB Fit ranking

1. 1Wosta KTB Selection60/100

   Form 2 · John & Thady Gosden · Oisin Murphy

   Family: half-sister to Alsaba (2 wins from 12 runs). The dam has had 2 other runners, 2 of them winners.

   Wosta showed fair promise when second on debut over a mile and now steps up in trip as a fresh question. The yard has a 25% strike rate at Wolverhampton which is in line with their record elsewhere while Murphy is operating at 23% here which is above his rate at other tracks. Data confidence remains low given just the one run so far and the family has produced winners but nothing of real note. As a half-sister to Alsaba who won twice from 12 starts, with the dam having two other winning runners, there is enough in the pedigree to suggest she can progress. Usually held up and producing her effort late, she will need the muddling pace to unfold favourably. Stepping up in class, this daughter of the Gosden yard looks to have the best chance in a race where many are treading new ground.

2. 2Watch The King58/100

   Form 4455 · Ian Williams · Edward Greatrex

   Family: the dam has had 1 other runner, not a winner.

   Watch The King is a fair performer who has shown steady but unspectacular form in three starts this year, finishing no better than fourth. He steps up in trip for the first time today which asks a fresh question, while the dam's limited record as a producer offers little encouragement. Trainer and jockey both operate at their usual level around here with 12% and 14% strike rates respectively. Carrying an official rating of 82, he brings the highest mark in the field yet his recent form figures of 4455 do not inspire huge confidence. The son of Ian Williams will need to improve on what he has shown so far if he is to take this, particularly as he remains unproven on the standard surface. Ridden from draw 6, he should be able to race close to the pace in a muddling affair.

3. 3Medaali49/100

   Form 5 · Simon Crisford · Callum Shepherd

   Family: half-brother to Almizan (1 win from 12 runs). The dam has had 1 other runner, a winner.

   Medaali ran only once as a 2-year-old when finishing fifth on debut over 1m. He now steps up in trip to an untried 1m1½f which poses a fresh question. Trainer and jockey both record strike rates at Wolverhampton that sit in line with their figures at other tracks. Usually racing handily on or close to the lead, his prominent run-style could be an asset in a race lacking an obvious front-runner. The Simon Crisford-trained colt is a half-brother to Almizan who won once from 12 starts, with the dam having produced one other winner. Stepping up in class from his sole start, he remains unproven on the surface and will need to show significant improvement to feature at the finish.

4. 4Steamroller48/100

   Form 6 · Brian Meehan · Connor Planas

   Family: half-brother to Queen Of The Pride, a Group 2 winner (3 wins from 7 runs). The dam has had 2 other runners, 2 of them winners.

   Steamroller is lightly raced with only one run to go on and that came over further, so this represents a fresh trip question. Half-brother to high-class Group 2 winner Queen Of The Pride and the dam has produced two winners from two other runners. Trainer has a 15% strike rate here from 650 runs which is above his overall figure while the jockey operates at 7% from 138 rides in line with his record elsewhere. Typically settling in midfield, his mid-division run-style should see him well placed if the race develops tactically. The Brian Meehan trainee showed only modest form on debut but the pedigree offers considerable upside. Unproven on standard ground, he will need to step forward markedly from that initial effort.

5. 5Raider47/100

   Form 5 · George Boughey · Billy Loughnane

   Family: half-sister to Another Run (2 wins from 15 runs). The dam has had 2 other runners, 2 of them winners.

   Raider showed fair pace on debut when fifth over 1m2f but is now asked a fresh question by the drop back in trip to 1m1f. The yard records a 17% strike rate here in line with their overall figure while Billy Loughnane posts a 20% strike rate at the track which is above his rate elsewhere. With only one run on the board and low data confidence this remains a cautious read. A half-sister to Another Run who won twice from 15 starts, the dam has produced two winners from two other runners. Usually settling in midfield, he should be able to track the leaders in a muddling pace. The George Boughey runner is unproven on the surface and steps up in class, but the drop in distance could bring about the necessary improvement.

6. 6Opal Rose44/100

   Form 7 · Joe Tickle · Taylor Fisher

   Opal Rose has only one career run behind her and that came over a mile so she faces a fresh question stepped up to 1m1f today. The yard records a 10% strike rate at Wolverhampton from 42 runs which sits in line with their overall figure while jockey Taylor Fisher posts an 11% strike rate here from 174 rides also matching his general record. With such a light profile the data confidence remains low and this one is best read with caution.

7. 7Ruthless Ambition43/100

   David Simcock · Luke Morris

   Ruthless Ambition is a debutant with no racecourse form to go on. The yard’s 14% strike rate at Wolverhampton is in line with their overall record while Luke Morris posts a 12% strike rate here which is above his general figure. Pedigree and sales background will have to carry the assessment given the low data confidence.

8. 8Katana42/100

   Form 78 · Robert Stephens · William Carson

   Katana arrives off the back of two modest efforts and is dropping back in trip to a distance it has never tried. It makes its first appearance at Wolverhampton on standard ground where it remains unproven. The trainer operates at an 11% strike rate here while the jockey sits on 8%, both figures in line with their records elsewhere.

9. 9Abbey Bartlet40/100

   T. J. Kent · Clifford Lee

   Family: half-sister to Lajooje (1 win from 2 runs). The dam has had 3 other runners, 2 of them winners.

   Abbey Bartlet is a debutant whose pedigree offers some encouragement as a half-sister to a quick winner and from a dam that has already produced two winners. The yard's record here is modest with a 2% strike rate from 46 runs at Wolverhampton which sits below their overall figure. Clifford Lee brings a solid 13% strike rate at the track that matches his record elsewhere.

10. 10Journalism33/100

    Form 40 · Hamad Al Jehani · Rob Hornby

    Journalism has shown little so far with a 40 recent form line from just two starts and remains lightly raced with low data confidence. He steps up in trip today to a distance he has not tried which is simply an unknown at this stage while first-time headgear is also applied. The trainer has only three runs at Wolverhampton which is too small a sample to judge while the jockey operates at a 10% strike rate here in line with his record elsewhere.