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Trainer profile

T. J. Kent

411 runners in the last 5 seasons · 42 individual horses
As at 20 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 7 days ago 100% of runners on the flat
from 1 Jan 2022
55–411
Wins / Runs
13.4%
Strike rate
n=411
139 (34%)
Placed
1.28
n=408 · 1.08 incl. margin
−4.69
£1 level stake
n=411 at SP · −1.1%
£692k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
12.7%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 80 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 13% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.28).

Deterministic profile computed from 411 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 20 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Fires Oct–Nov 31% when favourite Ray Dawson: 11.6% from 69 Sends off the favourite in 10% of races
The read

The record is strongest at Lingfield (AW) (28.3%, n=46), clear of the yard's 13.4% baseline. It is weakest at Wolverhampton (AW) (3.1% over 32 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 9.3% (n=75, Fair A/E 1.49). Ray Dawson rides 17% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (11.6%, A/E 1.32) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well in Class 5 (20.1%, n=139). The record reads poorly on Good going — 4% over 75 runners, 9.4pts below the baseline. The stable star of the record: Drifts Away (GB) — 8 wins from 23 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Oct–Nov.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 13.4% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
9.3%−4.1
n=75 · A/E 1.49 · £1 +33.50
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−13.4
n=10 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −10.00
Debutants · first career start
4.5%−8.9
n=22 · A/E 0.87 · £1 −16.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
19%+5.6
n=21 · A/E 2.51 · £1 +30.83
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−13.4
n=10 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −10.00
When favourite
31%
n=42 · A/E 1.13 · £1 −2.64
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
13%−0.4
n=92 · A/E 1.26 · £1 −33.71
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−13.4
n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 13.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
At Lingfield (AW) 28.3% vs 13.4% · n=46
On last-time-out winners 24% vs 13.4% · n=50
On Good going 4% vs 13.4% · n=75
At Wolverhampton (AW) 3.1% vs 13.4% · n=32
With C&D winners 22.4% vs 13.4% · n=49
In Class 5 20.1% vs 13.4% · n=139
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 410 55 13.4% −3.69
NH Flat 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 187 30 16% −10.38
Good 75 3 4% −34.50
Good to Firm 71 11 15.5% −11.19
Good to Soft 35 4 11.4% +20.88
Soft 34 4 11.8% −5.00
Heavy 8 3 37.5% +36.50
Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Lingfield (AW) 46 13 28.3% +36.08
Chelmsford City (AW) 41 7 17.1% −10.79
Kempton (AW) 41 6 14.6% −8.42
Newmarket 34 5 14.7% −17.02
Wolverhampton (AW) 32 1 3.1% −22.00
Yarmouth 32 7 21.9% +15.33
Newmarket 25 1 4% −15.50
Southwell (AW) 20 2 10% −4.25
York 20 2 10% +14.50
Doncaster 18 1 5.6% +16.00
Newbury 16 1 6.3% −12.00
Nottingham 15 2 13.3% +4.50
Windsor 11 1 9.1% −8.00
Leicester 10 3 30% +40.38
Haydock 10 0 0% −10.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 139 28 20.1% +36.54
Class 4 125 13 10.4% −8.02
Class 6 78 9 11.5% −17.59
Class 2 33 2 6.1% +5.50
Class 3 30 3 10% −15.12
Class 1 6 0 0% −6.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 46 15 32.6% 1.22 +2.19
2nd–3rd fav 94 21 22.3% 1.39 +9.62
4th–6th fav 132 13 9.8% 1.20 −26.50
7th+ in betting 139 6 4.3% 1.23 +10.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Dream Pirate (GB) 38 6 13 13 Oct 26
Obsidian Knight (IRE) 38 7 15 18 Sep 25
Mister Mojito (IRE) 26 6 10 15 Aug 26
Drifts Away (GB) 23 8 15 5 Oct 26
Nemorum (GB) 22 1 2 21 Nov 24
Habooba (USA) 20 5 12 28 Nov 25
Ataser (GB) 20 1 3 25 Nov 25
Diffident Spirit (GB) 18 2 5 8 Feb 25
Mr Marvlos (IRE) 17 0 4 13 Apr 24
Warrior Square (GB) 16 2 3 21 Oct 24
Graphite (FR)from A Fabre 15 0 5 28 Sep 24
Super Den (GB) 15 3 5 23 Sep 23
All 42 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 42 horses listed, 12 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Alice Haynes (3) and A Fabre (2); 30 had their first archived run for this yard.

5 have since run for another yard; 37 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
1 from 5
Only 5 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
2921241799139720167
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderRay Dawson
17% of all rides
11.6% SR · A/E 1.32
RiderRWSR£1
Ray Dawson 69 8 11.6% +5.88
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2020→
63
Archived wins
£787k
Prize money
2025
Best season · 17 wins
Erzindjan (IRE) — Betfred Suffolk Stakes (Heritage Handicap) Newmarket · May 2026 · Class 2
£51,540
Habooba (USA) — William Hill More Top Prices Handicap York · May 2025 · Class 2
£33,501
Obsidian Knight (IRE) — BetUK All-Weather Vase Apprentice Handicap (GBBPlus Race) Lingfield (AW) · Apr 2025 · Class 4
£25,770

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Awtaad (IRE) 18.4% · 7–38
Progeny have won 11.6% of 2,864 runs since 2008 (210 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 7.8% from 102. Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 14.6% from 604. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.2% from 113.
Oasis Dream (GB) 15.8% · 6–38
Progeny have won 11.8% of 17,999 runs since 2008 (1,509 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 17.3% from 150. Weakest on Heavy going: 8.5% from 482. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.1% from 790.
Sayif (IRE) 7.9% · 3–38
Progeny have won 9.7% of 829 runs since 2008 (57 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 12.7% from 299. Weakest on Good to Soft going: 5.9% from 101.
Cityscape (GB) 23.1% · 6–26
Progeny have won 9% of 2,989 runs since 2008 (213 horses).
Zoustar (AUS) 32% · 8–25
Progeny have won 10.8% of 2,736 runs since 2008 (313 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 14.3% from 328. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 3.6% from 193.
Starspangledbanner (AUS) 4.5% · 1–22
Progeny have won 11.1% of 7,145 runs since 2008 (659 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 14.5% from 1,187.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 20 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 507 · newest first

The latest 50 of 507 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 19 June 2020 to 13 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
05 Oct 26 Yarmouth Drifts Away (GB)J: Ray Dawson Moulton Racing Club Handicap StakesClass 4 · 8f · Good To Firm · 11 ran 2nd 4/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is T. J. Kent's strike rate?
T. J. Kent has won 55 of 411 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 13.4% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does T. J. Kent do best at?
Lingfield (AW) by strike rate: 13 wins from 46 runners (28.3%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for T. J. Kent?
Ray Dawson, with 69 runners since 2022 — 17% of the total. That pairing has won 8 (11.6%).
Is T. J. Kent in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 5 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is T. J. Kent's Fair A/E?
1.28, from 408 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 20 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).