Amy Ryan
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rides around 70 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 11% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.00). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 17% (153 rides). Rides mostly for Kevin Ryan — 51% of rides in the window.
The record is strongest at Hamilton (24.1%, n=54) and Beverley (17.9%, n=78) — all clear of the rider's 10.7% baseline. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 17% (n=153, Fair A/E 1.05), but horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 2.3% (n=133, Fair A/E 0.31). The market has consistently overbet rides in big fields of 14 or more: 5.7% strike, Fair A/E 0.84 and −106.75 to a £1 stake over 297 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. Kevin Ryan supplies 51% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (12%, A/E 1.00) — the market has that partnership priced right. The rider also reads well off a 0-7-day break (20.3%, n=177). The record reads poorly off a 61-180-day break — 1.4% over 72 rides, 9.3pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the rider off a break of 180+ days: Fair A/E 0.49 across 61 rides (3.3% strike, −44.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. The standout partner of the record: Shifting Gold (IRE) — 5 wins from 22 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fires Aug–Sep.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 10.7% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 10.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstBy month
strike by month, lifetimeRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 1,315 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 1,315 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 22 October 2005 to 7 September 2022.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Amy Ryan's strike rate?
- Amy Ryan has won 136 of 1,266 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 10.7% (as at 13 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Amy Ryan do best at?
- Hamilton by strike rate: 13 wins from 54 rides (24.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does Amy Ryan ride most for?
- Kevin Ryan, with 649 rides since 2008 — 51% of the total. That pairing has won 78 (12%).
- What is Amy Ryan's Fair A/E?
- 1.00, from 1,258 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.