What is Beau Morgan's strike rate?

Beau Morgan has won 42 of 345 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 12.2% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which yard does Beau Morgan ride most for?

Ben Pauling, with 156 rides since 2022 — 45% of the total. That pairing has won 22 (14.1%).

Is Beau Morgan in form?

Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 3 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Beau Morgan's Fair A/E?

0.91, from 344 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Beau Morgan

345 rides in the last 5 seasons · 177 individual horses

As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride yesterday 100% of rides over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2021→)

from 1 Jan 2022

42–345

Wins / Runs

12.2%

Strike rate

n=345

108 (31%)

Placed

0.91

Fair A/E

n=344 · 0.79 incl. margin

−112.45

£1 level stake

n=344 at SP · −32.7%

£582k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

9.2%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 70 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 12% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.91). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 28% (58 rides). Rides mostly for Ben Pauling — 45% of rides in the window.

Deterministic profile computed from 345 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 6 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Mar–Apr 40% when favourite Ben Pauling: 14.1% from 156 LTO winners: 27.6% Claiming: 13.2% Rides the favourite in 13% of races

The read

Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 27.6% (n=58, Fair A/E 1.21), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 2.1% (n=47, Fair A/E 0.31). The market has consistently overbet first rides on a horse: 8.5% strike, Fair A/E 0.71 and −75.47 to a £1 stake over 176 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. Ben Pauling supplies 45% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (14.1%, A/E 0.96). The rider also reads well over 2m1f – 2m4f (18.3%, n=126) and on Good going (17.9%, n=168). The record reads poorly on Good to Soft going — 7.1% over 99 rides, 5.1pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the rider over 1m5f – 2m: Fair A/E 0.67 across 97 rides (7.2% strike, −41.15 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. The standout partner of the record: Twig (GB) — 8 wins from 24 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fires Mar–Apr.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 12.2% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

8.5%−3.7

n=176 · A/E 0.71 · £1 −75.47

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

27.6%+15.4

n=58 · A/E 1.21 · £1 +13.07

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

10.2%−2.0

n=88 · A/E 1.03 · £1 −32.74

When favourite

40%

n=45 · A/E 1.11 · £1 −3.78

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

13.2%+1.0

n=319 · A/E 0.96 · £1 −86.45

Big fields · 14+ runners

2.1%−10.1

n=47 · A/E 0.31 · £1 −42.67

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−12.2

n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 12.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 27.6% vs 12.2% · n=58

Over 2m1f – 2m4f 18.3% vs 12.2% · n=126

On Good going 17.9% vs 12.2% · n=168

Off a 8-14-day break 19.4% vs 12.2% · n=31

On Good to Soft going 7.1% vs 12.2% · n=99

Over 1m5f – 2m 7.2% vs 12.2% · n=97

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 226 23 10.2% −93.42

Chase 96 16 16.7% −7.73

NH Flat 23 3 13% −11.30

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 168 30 17.9% −0.16

Good to Soft 99 7 7.1% −66.17

Soft 48 4 8.3% −19.00

Heavy 22 1 4.5% −19.12

Good to Firm 8 0 0% −8.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Worcester 23 5 21.7% +2.50

Stratford 21 1 4.8% −18.90

Newton Abbot 21 3 14.3% −2.30

Uttoxeter 19 2 10.5% −11.92

Fontwell 17 3 17.6% −8.37

Huntingdon 17 3 17.6% −7.92

Taunton 16 1 6.3% −4.00

Exeter 15 3 20% +4.43

Market Rasen 15 1 6.7% −11.50

Warwick 15 1 6.7% −4.00

Cheltenham 13 0 0% −13.00

Southwell 12 4 33.3% −0.57

Doncaster 11 0 0% −11.00

Bangor-on-Dee 10 2 20% +28.00

Ffos Las 10 0 0% −10.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 129 19 14.7% −38.66

Class 5 124 13 10.5% −44.22

Class 3 46 3 6.5% −21.00

Class 2 31 3 9.7% −20.67

Class 1 10 1 10% +9.00

Class 6 5 3 60% +3.10

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 50 20 40% 1.13 −1.45

2nd–3rd fav 85 11 12.9% 0.72 −40.00

4th–6th fav 118 7 5.9% 0.76 −45.00

7th+ in betting 91 3 3.3% 1.03 −26.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

88.2% completed · 322 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 96 85.4% 2 6 6 0 0

Hurdle 226 89.4% 4 2 17 1 0

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Twig (GB) 24 8 12 28 Jun 26

Norley (IRE) 11 3 3 1 Nov 24

No Way Pedro (IRE) 8 2 3 18 Jul 24

Samuel Spade (GER) 7 2 2 20 Aug 26

Drumlee Spud (IRE) 7 0 3 10 Nov 24

Gambie Tiep (FR) 7 2 3 19 Jun 24

Farhh Echo (IRE) 6 1 3 14 Oct 26

Prince Imperial (USA) 6 3 3 22 May 26

Chess Player (IRE) 6 1 2 27 May 24

Begin The Luck (IRE) 5 2 2 26 May 26

Manor Park (GB) 5 1 1 5 Jul 24

Copper Coin (GB) 5 0 4 18 May 24

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 177 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 2 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 3

Only 3 rides in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

100161711131902071112

A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardBen Pauling

45% of all rides
14.1% SR · A/E 0.96

TrainerRWSR£1

Ben Pauling 156 22 14.1% −30.79

Olly Murphy 35 6 17.1% −11.84

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2021→

Archived wins

£587k

Prize money

2023

Best season · 16 wins

Twig (GB) — William Hill Half A Mill Becher Handicap Chase (Premier Handicap) (GBB Race) (National Course) Aintree · Dec 2025 · Class 1

£84,195

Twig (GB) — Bet365 Summer Cup Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Uttoxeter · Jul 2023 · Class 2

£39,023

Twig (GB) — Oddschecker Veterans' Handicap Chase Sandown · Nov 2025 · Class 2

£15,609

Notable horses

Twig (GB) Norley (IRE) Prince Imperial (USA) No Way Pedro (IRE) Samuel Spade (GER) Gambie Tiep (FR)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Sulamani (IRE) 27.6% · 8–29

Progeny have won 11.5% of 4,246 runs since 2008 (278 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 8.1% from 479. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 15.4% from 240.

Yeats (IRE) 23.1% · 3–13

Progeny have won 11.9% of 9,844 runs since 2013 (707 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.9% from 204. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 15.2% from 820.

Mahler (GB) 16.7% · 2–12

Progeny have won 10.8% of 8,878 runs since 2014 (788 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15.1% from 119.

Getaway (GER) 18.2% · 2–11

Progeny have won 11.3% of 10,994 runs since 2016 (1,031 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 23.1% from 134.

Califet (FR) 0% · 0–9

Progeny have won 11.8% of 3,802 runs since 2008 (399 horses).

Kalanisi (IRE) 22.2% · 2–9

Progeny have won 10.5% of 6,750 runs since 2008 (648 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 16.1% from 355.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 348 · newest first

The latest 50 of 348 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 3 April 2021 to 5 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

05 Nov 26 Newbury Ballyvango (IRE)T: Martin Keighley OLBG Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 3 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 16 ran 8th 16/1

29 Oct 26 Stratford Dressed Overall (GB)T: Faye Bramley EBF And Charlie Longsdon Racing 'National Hunt' Novices' Hurdle Race (Qualifier) (Div II) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 7th 66/1

27 Oct 26 Bangor-on-Dee Hornica (IRE)T: Ben Pauling Kellyhill Financial Planning Mares' Handicap Hurdle Race (Challenger Mares' Hurdle Series Qualifier)Class 4 · 19.5f · Good · 10 ran 2nd 9/1

23 Oct 26 Cheltenham Mojito Des Mottes (FR)T: Ben Pauling Foundation Developments Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle Race (Challenger Two Mile Hurdle Series Qualifier)Class 3 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 8th 25/1

17 Oct 26 Market Rasen Pigeon House (IRE)T: Charles & Adam Pogson Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 16.5f · Good · 6 ran 4th 15/2

14 Oct 26 Wetherby Farhh Echo (IRE)T: D. J. Jeffreys Watch Race Replays On Racing TV Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 19.5f · Good To Firm · 7 ran 2nd 7/1

13 Oct 26 Hereford Lady Dapple Rose (IRE)T: Ben Pauling tigerbet.co.uk Download Our App Mares' Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 19.5f · Good To Firm · 7 ran UR 3/1F

20 Sep 26 Plumpton Farhh Echo (IRE)T: D. J. Jeffreys Only Horsepower Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 20.5f · Good · 6 ran 2nd 4/6F

18 Sep 26 Newton Abbot Farhh Echo (IRE)T: D. J. Jeffreys Sun Racing Summer Jumps Championship Finale Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 17f · Good · 11 ran 1st 9/2

15 Sep 26 Uttoxeter Lady Dapple Rose (IRE)T: Ben Pauling Sun Racing The Favourite Pullout Every Day Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 16f · Good · 13 ran 9th 15/2

05 Sep 26 Stratford Pigeon House (IRE)T: Charles & Adam Pogson Power Utilities Group Conditional Jockeys' Selling Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 18.5f · Good · 7 ran 4th 16/1

29 Aug 26 Cartmel Roysse (GB)T: Ben Pauling Molson Coors Cartmel Cup Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 3 · 17f · Good · 11 ran 3rd 6/1

20 Aug 26 Stratford Samuel Spade (GER)T: Ben Pauling Quinnbet Novices' Limited Handicap Steeple Chase (gbb Race)Class 3 · 22.5f · Good To Firm · 3 ran UR 7/4

24 Jul 26 Uttoxeter Lucy Glitters (GB)T: Tom George QuinnBet Mares' Open National Hunt Flat Race (Category 1 Elimination) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 12 ran 3rd 8/1

24 Jul 26 Uttoxeter Betty's Tiara (GB)T: Ben Pauling Craig Reid Retirement Handicap Steeple Chase (ARC Summer Chase Series Qualifier)Class 5 · 24f · Good · 14 ran 8th 16/1

19 Jul 26 Stratford Duel Au Soleil (FR)T: Ben Pauling George & Dragon Novices' Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 19.5f · Good To Firm · 5 ran 2nd 4/1

15 Jul 26 Uttoxeter Samuel Spade (GER)T: Ben Pauling Bravo Benefits Celebrations Novices' Limited Handicap Steeple Chase (gbb Race)Class 3 · 24f · Good · 4 ran 2nd 5/2

28 Jun 26 Uttoxeter Twig (GB)T: Ben Pauling bet365 Summer Cup Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 2 · 24f · Good · 13 ran 7th 14/1

17 Jun 26 Worcester Roysse (GB)T: Ben Pauling CopyBet BOG Now Royal Ascot Tomorrow Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 16f · Good · 5 ran 1st 2/1J

11 Jun 26 Worcester Lucy Glitters (GB)T: Tom George CopyBet Royal Ascot BOG From Sunday Mares' NH Flat Race (Conditionals/Amateurs) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 16f · Good · 14 ran 2nd 25/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 14 Oct 2026: top-rated on KTB Rating in 1 run (won 0) · fastest on KTB Speed in 1 run (won 0) · to 17 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Beau Morgan's strike rate?: Beau Morgan has won 42 of 345 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 12.2% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which yard does Beau Morgan ride most for?: Ben Pauling, with 156 rides since 2022 — 45% of the total. That pairing has won 22 (14.1%).
Is Beau Morgan in form?: Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 3 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Beau Morgan's Fair A/E?: 0.91, from 344 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.