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Jockey profile

Christopher Geoghegan

432 rides in the lifetime window · 311 individual horses
As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride Sep 2015
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
24–432
Wins / Runs
5.6%
Strike rate
n=432
69 (16%)
Placed
0.88
Fair A/E
n=432 · 0.67 incl. margin
−160.25
£1 level stake
n=432 at SP · −37.1%
£248k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
20%
KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 50 times a season, winning on 6% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.88).

Deterministic profile computed from 432 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 6 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Fired Aug–Oct
The read

It is weakest at Dundalk (AW) (1.2% over 83 rides) — the largest sample in the record, and the widest gap. The market has consistently overbet claiming rides: 3.6% strike, Fair A/E 0.60 and −187.75 to a £1 stake over 333 rides — those runners underperformed what the price implied. The rider also read well on Good to Firm going (9.1%, n=55) and on Good to Soft going (9.1%, n=44). 2 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Longfield Stables Abergwaun Stakes at Tipperary (Oct 2008, £35,805). Seasonally, the rider fired Aug–Oct.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 5.6% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
5.3%−0.3
n=285 · A/E 0.87 · £1 −87.25
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
14.3%+8.7
n=28 · A/E 1.26 · £1 −3.00
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
5.6%+0.0
n=89 · A/E 1.03 · £1 −7.00
When favourite
17.6%
n=17 · A/E 0.83 · £1 −6.75
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
3.6%−2.0
n=333 · A/E 0.60 · £1 −187.75
Big fields · 14+ runners
4.4%−1.2
n=275 · A/E 0.83 · £1 −128.25
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
22.2%+16.6
n=9 · A/E 2.20 · £1 +1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With Ms Joanna Morgan 16.7% vs 5.6% · n=30
With Kevin Prendergast 12.9% vs 5.6% · n=31
With horses switching code 0% vs 5.6% · n=49
At Dundalk (AW) 1.2% vs 5.6% · n=83
On Good to Firm going 9.1% vs 5.6% · n=55
On Good to Soft going 9.1% vs 5.6% · n=44
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 376 21 5.6% −149.75
Hurdle 46 3 6.5% −0.50
NH Flat 6 0 0% −6.00
Chase 4 0 0% −4.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 107 5 4.7% −47.75
Standard (AW) 92 3 3.3% −61.00
Soft 90 5 5.6% −24.00
Good to Firm 55 5 9.1% +6.00
Good to Soft 44 4 9.1% +0.00
Heavy 30 2 6.7% −19.50
Firm 14 0 0% −14.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Dundalk (AW) 83 1 1.2% −72.00
Curragh 34 1 2.9% −25.00
Gowran Park 24 2 8.3% −15.25
Leopardstown 22 3 13.6% +27.00
Wexford 20 0 0% −20.00
Ballinrobe 18 1 5.6% −11.00
Killarney 15 2 13.3% +14.00
Naas 15 1 6.7% −8.00
Fairyhouse 14 1 7.1% −1.00
Tipperary 14 2 14.3% +7.00
Cork 12 1 8.3% −1.00
Navan 12 0 0% −12.00
Tramore 10 0 0% −10.00
Down Royal 10 1 10% −5.00
Sligo 8 0 0% −8.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 4 34 3 8.8% +11.50
Class 5 22 1 4.5% −17.00
Class 6 13 1 7.7% +13.00
Class 1 10 2 20% +0.00
Class 3 5 0 0% −5.00
Class 2 3 0 0% −3.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 20 3 15% 0.74 −9.75
2nd–3rd fav 59 10 16.9% 1.42 +7.50
4th–6th fav 94 5 5.3% 0.71 −32.00
7th+ in betting 259 6 2.3% 0.65 −126.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Patrickswell (IRE) 13 1 4 1 Aug 10
Blue Law (IRE) 11 0 2 14 May 10
Birregurra (IRE) 6 1 2 10 Oct 10
Binocular (GB) 5 1 4 15 Apr 10
La Petite Bleue (GER) 5 2 2 29 Jul 09
Circus Star (USA) 4 0 0 30 Mar 12
Alazan (IRE) 4 0 1 13 Nov 11
Bedizen (GB) 4 0 0 10 Jul 11
Rare Symphony (IRE) 4 1 2 29 Apr 11
Tricky Tree (IRE) 4 1 2 12 Mar 11
Matjar (IRE) 4 1 4 27 Nov 09
Dawn Music (IRE) 4 0 0 22 Jul 09
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 311 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 2 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
07103373910800
A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
Main yardKevin Prendergast
7% of all rides
12.9% SR · A/E 1.51
TrainerRWSR£1
Kevin Prendergast 31 4 12.9% +7.75
Patrick J Flynn 30 2 6.7% −14.50
Ms Joanna Morgan 30 5 16.7% +10.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
60
Archived wins
2
Pattern / graded wins
£773k
Prize money
2005
Best season · 18 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Senor Benny (USA) — Longfield Stables Abergwaun Stakes (Listed) Tipperary · Oct 2008 · Listed
£35,805
Mustameet (USA) — Glencairn Stakes (listed) Leopardstown · Jun 2008 · Listed
£32,550
Imperial Rose (IRE) — Derrinstown Stud Apprentice Derby Curragh · Jun 2007
£16,926
Notable horses
Cupid's Bow (GB) Dame Noir (IRE) La Petite Bleue (GER) Tingshaw Ring (IRE) Patrickswell (IRE) Shayrazan (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Fath (USA) 0% · 0–16
Progeny have won 8.9% of 2,349 runs since 2008 (98 horses). Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 14.3% from 112. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 4.2% from 167.
Iron Mask (USA) 7.1% · 1–14
Progeny have won 7.2% of 1,019 runs since 2008 (118 horses).
Fantastic Light (USA) 16.7% · 2–12
Progeny have won 9.9% of 3,570 runs since 2008 (223 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 5.8% from 377.
Desert Prince (IRE) 10% · 1–10
Progeny have won 9.1% of 2,734 runs since 2008 (178 horses). Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 5.6% from 425.
Mull Of Kintyre (USA) 0% · 0–9
Progeny have won 9% of 2,100 runs since 2008 (160 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 12.2% from 409. Weakest on Soft going: 4.6% from 306.
Grand Lodge (USA) 12.5% · 1–8
Progeny have won 8.3% of 1,359 runs since 2008 (104 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 11.6% from 250. Weakest on Soft going: 4.4% from 182.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,092 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,092 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 20 March 2005 to 10 September 2015.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
10 Sep 15 Laytown (AW) Bussa (GB)T: Emmet Michael Butterly Marquees Nationwide Claiming Race7f · Standard · 9 ran 1st 12/1
22 May 15 Cork F B A House (GB)T: G T Lynch Follow Us On Facebook Maiden8f · Good · 17 ran 17th 100/1
01 Apr 15 Dundalk (AW) Mystical Past (IRE)T: W J Martin Easter Dining At Dundalk Handicap (47-70)6f · Standard · 10 ran 5th 6/1
13 Feb 15 Dundalk (AW) Six Silver Lane (GB)T: John James Feane Floodlit Friday Nights Handicap (47-65)8f · Standard · 14 ran 5th 12/1
30 Jan 15 Dundalk (AW) Habesh (IRE)T: Eugene M O'Sullivan Winter Racing At Dundalk Handicap (47-65)12f · Standard · 14 ran 13th 12/1
05 Nov 14 Dundalk (AW) Mr Bounty (GB)T: M D O'Callaghan Crowne Plaza Hotel Race & Stay Handicap (47-65)6f · Standard · 12 ran 4th 3/1F
31 Oct 14 Dundalk (AW) Scary Movie (IRE)T: Emmet Michael Butterly Crowne Plaza Leading Jockey & Trainer Championship Handicap (47-65) (Div 2)8f · Standard · 14 ran 13th 25/1
25 Oct 14 Leopardstown Vector Force (IRE)T: G M Lyons Leopardstown Handicap (Apprentice Handicap)8f · Yielding To Soft · 19 ran 13th 7/1
04 Sep 14 Laytown (AW) Mr Bounty (GB)T: M D O'Callaghan O'Neills Sports Handicap (47-65)6f · Standard · 10 ran 1st 6/1
04 Jul 14 Bellewstown Everything Zain (IRE)T: D T Hughes Meath Farm Machinery Handicap (47-65)14f · Good · 15 ran 5th 9/2
29 Jun 14 Curragh Ancient Sands (IRE)T: Ms Joanna Morgan Irish Stallion Farms European Breeders Fund 'Ragusa' Handicap12f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 4th 20/1
26 Jun 14 Tipperary Absolutlyfantastic (GB)T: Henry De Bromhead Pride Of Tipperary Launch Handicap (50-75)14f · Good To Yielding · 13 ran 6th 14/1
08 May 14 Clonmel Dashing Dynamo (IRE)T: Ms Joanna Morgan Ladies Evening At Clonmel Races May 22nd Handicap (47-65)10f · Soft To Heavy · 12 ran 11th 20/1
05 May 14 Curragh Stingy Jack (IRE)T: Kieran P Cotter Congratulations Karoline & Neil Wright On Your Wedding Today Maiden6f · Good · 14 ran 14th 100/1
24 Apr 14 Tipperary Stingy Jack (IRE)T: Kieran P Cotter Fundraising Events At Tipperary Races Maiden5f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 7th 66/1
11 Dec 13 Dundalk (AW) Echua (IRE)T: Emmet Michael Butterly Crowne Plaza Leading Jockey & Trainer Championship Handicap (47-65) (Div 2)12f · Standard · 10 ran 5th 9/2
15 Oct 13 Curragh Ancient Sands (IRE)T: Ms Joanna Morgan Buy Online At Curragh.ie Handicap12f · Good · 22 ran 1st 8/1
15 Aug 13 Tramore Ancient Sands (IRE)T: Ms Joanna Morgan Harney's Of Dunhill Handicap (50-75)12f · Yielding · 9 ran 3rd 10/1
18 Jul 13 Killarney Rocket Man (IRE)T: J Halley Europe Hotel & Resort Handicap17f · Good To Firm · 18 ran 17th 16/1
27 Jun 13 Tipperary Dusty Trail (IRE)T: Eoin Doyle Pride Of Tipperary Gathering Handicap (50-75)14f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 7th 20/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Christopher Geoghegan's strike rate?
Christopher Geoghegan has won 24 of 432 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 5.6% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Christopher Geoghegan do best at?
Curragh by strike rate: 1 wins from 34 rides (2.9%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
What is Christopher Geoghegan's Fair A/E?
0.88, from 432 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 6 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).