No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
KTB Rider Profile
Rode around 30 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 4% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.83). The edge shows sharpest with horses returning fresh: 6% off breaks of two months or more (54 runs).
Deterministic profile computed from 187 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 6 Nov 2026
KTB at a glanceFresh horses: 5.6%Claiming: 3.9%
The read
The market has consistently overbet rides in big fields of 14 or more: 3.4% strike, Fair A/E 0.85 and −108.10 to a £1 stake over 147 rides — those runners underperformed what the price implied. The record read poorly off a 15-30-day break — 0% over 54 rides, 3.7pts below the baseline. 2 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Bluesqcasino.com Handicap Hurdle at Market Rasen (Sep 2005, £27,232). The standout partner of the record was Monty Mint (IRE) — 5 wins from 17 rides together.
Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 3.7% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
1.1%−2.6
n=92 · A/E 0.31 · £1 −81.00
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
0%−3.7
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
5.6%+1.9
n=54 · A/E 1.42 · £1 −30.00
When favourite
66.7%
n=3 · A/E 2.73 · £1 +3.90
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
3.9%+0.2
n=181 · A/E 0.86 · £1 −120.10
Big fields · 14+ runners
3.4%−0.3
n=147 · A/E 0.85 · £1 −108.10
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
16.7%+13.0
n=6 · A/E 2.21 · £1 +4.00
Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 3.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baseline
With Thomas Foley16.7% vs 3.7% · n=30
Off a 15-30-day break0% vs 3.7% · n=54
On Good going0% vs 3.7% · n=45
On Heavy going0% vs 3.7% · n=33
Over 2m5f – 3m0% vs 3.7% · n=32
Off a 8-14-day break0% vs 3.7% · n=32
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.
Record by conditions
same window as header
Race type
TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle12643.2%−90.10
Chase6035%−35.00
NH Flat100%−1.00
Going
GoingRWSR£1
Soft5511.8%−45.00
Good4500%−45.00
Heavy3300%−33.00
Good to Firm19210.5%+5.00
Good to Soft19315.8%+6.00
Firm1616.3%−14.10
Courses
CourseRWSR£1
Limerick2500%−25.00
Punchestown1417.1%−12.10
Clonmel1400%−14.00
Thurles1300%−13.00
Gowran Park13215.4%+1.00
Kilbeggan1200%−12.00
Tipperary1100%−11.00
Cork900%−9.00
Wexford8112.5%−1.00
Naas700%−7.00
Tramore700%−7.00
Fairyhouse500%−5.00
Downpatrick500%−5.00
Listowel400%−4.00
Sligo400%−4.00
Class
ClassRWSR£1
Class 4800%−8.00
Class 16116.7%+4.00
Class 5600%−6.00
Class 3100%−1.00
Class 6100%−1.00
Market position
In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite3266.7%2.73+3.90
2nd–3rd fav1516.7%0.67−8.00
4th–6th fav33412.1%1.66+14.00
7th+ in betting13600%0.00−136.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.
Distance
DistanceRWSR£1
2m1f – 2m4f8855.7%−46.00
1m5f – 2m6323.2%−44.10
2m5f – 3m3200%−32.00
Over 3m400%−4.00
By season
By seasonRWSR£1
200813175.3%−70.10
20093000%−30.00
20102200%−22.00
2013400%−4.00
Handicaps
HandicapsRWSR£1
Handicaps9044.4%−57.00
Field size
Field sizeRWSR£1
17+ runners7722.6%−66.10
14-16 runners7034.3%−42.00
11-13 runners2627.7%−4.00
8-10 runners800%−8.00
5-7 runners600%−6.00
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 106 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
By month
strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
0000466481400
A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".
Career highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→
25
Archived wins
2
Pattern / graded wins
£489k
Prize money
2005
Best season · 8 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Progeny have won 9.2% of 2,984 runs since 2008 (349 horses).
King's Theatre (IRE)11.1% · 1–9
Progeny have won 14.4% of 12,129 runs since 2008 (746 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 4.8% from 125. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 7.9% from 203.
Presenting (GB)0% · 0–9
Progeny have won 11% of 20,052 runs since 2008 (1,686 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 24.3% from 136.
Denham Red (FR)0% · 0–8
Progeny have won 16.4% of 592 runs since 2008 (65 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 8.2% from 184.
Broken Hearted (GB)14.3% · 1–7
Progeny have won 7.5% of 655 runs since 2008 (78 horses).
Simply Great (FR)16.7% · 1–6
Progeny have won 7.4% of 460 runs since 2008 (53 horses). Strongest on Good going: 11.4% from 140. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 1% from 101.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.
The record
latest 50 of 668 · newest first
The latest 50 of 668 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 3 January 2005 to 20 August 2013.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
What is D F Flannery's strike rate?
D F Flannery has won 7 of 187 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 3.7% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is D F Flannery's Fair A/E?
0.83, from 187 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
D F Flannery·SR 3.7%·A/E 0.83
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