D M Simmonson
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rides around 30 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 5% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.74). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 10% (31 rides).
The record is strongest at Wolverhampton (AW) (10%, n=60) and Dundalk (AW) (9.8%, n=51) — all clear of the rider's 5.2% baseline. It is weakest at Beverley (0% over 33 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 9.7% (n=31, Fair A/E 0.71). The market has consistently overbet first rides on a horse: 2.6% strike, Fair A/E 0.38 and −213.75 to a £1 stake over 272 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. Michael Easterby supplies 38% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (5.1%, A/E 0.96). The rider also reads well on Standard (AW) going (8.7%, n=126).
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 5.2% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerGoing
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstBy month
strike by month, lifetimeRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2008→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 520 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 520 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 5 May 2008 to 15 November 2023.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is D M Simmonson's strike rate?
- D M Simmonson has won 27 of 520 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 5.2% (as at 15 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does D M Simmonson do best at?
- Wolverhampton (AW) by strike rate: 6 wins from 60 rides (10%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does D M Simmonson ride most for?
- Michael Easterby, with 196 rides since 2008 — 38% of the total. That pairing has won 10 (5.1%).
- What is D M Simmonson's Fair A/E?
- 0.74, from 518 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.