What is James Sullivan's strike rate?

James Sullivan has won 705 of 9,828 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 7.2% (as at 14 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does James Sullivan do best at?

Catterick by strike rate: 54 wins from 579 rides (9.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does James Sullivan ride most for?

Ruth Carr, with 3,984 rides since 2008 — 41% of the total. That pairing has won 346 (8.7%).

Is James Sullivan in form?

Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 4 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is James Sullivan's Fair A/E?

0.97, from 9,775 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

James Sullivan

9,828 rides in the lifetime window · 3,386 individual horses

As at 14 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride 7 days ago 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

705–9,828

Wins / Runs

7.2%

Strike rate

n=9,828

2,162 (22%)

Placed

0.97

Fair A/E

n=9,775 · 0.83 incl. margin

−2,963.81

£1 level stake

n=9,828 at SP · −30.2%

£6.64m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

6.3%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 520 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 7% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.97). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 14% (726 rides). Rides mostly for Ruth Carr — 41% of rides in the window.

Deterministic profile computed from 9,828 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 14 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Jun–Jul 30.1% when favourite Ruth Carr: 8.7% from 3,984 LTO winners: 13.6% Claiming: 7.3% Rides the favourite in 4% of races

The read

Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 13.6% (n=726, Fair A/E 1.01), but horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 4.2% (n=1,268, Fair A/E 0.87). Ruth Carr supplies 41% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (8.7%, A/E 0.99) — the market has that partnership priced right. The rider also reads well off a 0-7-day break (13.8%, n=901). 4 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Sunbets All-weather Mile Championships Conditions Stakes at Lingfield (AW) (Apr 2017, £93,375). The standout partner of the record: Red Cape (FR) — 11 wins from 64 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fires Jun–Jul.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.2% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

5.3%−1.9

n=3,374 · A/E 0.94 · £1 −1,080.98

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

13.6%+6.4

n=726 · A/E 1.01 · £1 −141.35

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

4.2%−3.0

n=1,268 · A/E 0.87 · £1 −457.77

When favourite

30.1%

n=425 · A/E 1.16 · £1 +0.76

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

7.3%+0.1

n=1,237 · A/E 0.98 · £1 −493.34

Big fields · 14+ runners

4.9%−2.3

n=1,580 · A/E 1.01 · £1 −558.67

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

7.1%−0.1

n=56 · A/E 1.24 · £1 −32.50

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

Off a 0-7-day break 13.8% vs 7.2% · n=901

On last-time-out winners 13.6% vs 7.2% · n=726

With Edwin Tuer 15.8% vs 7.2% · n=57

With Brian Rothwell 0% vs 7.2% · n=74

With Derek Shaw 0% vs 7.2% · n=55

With debutants 2.5% vs 7.2% · n=396

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 9,824 705 7.2% −2,959.81

Hurdle 4 0 0% −4.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 3,022 220 7.3% −821.99

Good 2,244 145 6.5% −944.84

Good to Firm 2,220 163 7.3% −545.49

Good to Soft 1,119 74 6.6% −395.49

Soft 988 85 8.6% −210.50

Heavy 194 14 7.2% −37.00

Firm 41 4 9.8% −8.50

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Wolverhampton (AW) 1,079 76 7% −348.34

Newcastle (AW) 938 59 6.3% −292.65

Southwell (AW) 726 60 8.3% −78.30

Thirsk 614 35 5.7% −248.20

Redcar 609 37 6.1% −201.37

Beverley 592 40 6.8% −266.87

Catterick 579 54 9.3% −86.68

Ayr 572 47 8.2% −207.97

Musselburgh 460 37 8% −138.51

Hamilton 438 40 9.1% −95.50

Ripon 428 32 7.5% −75.05

Pontefract 359 21 5.8% −149.17

Doncaster 346 18 5.2% −162.67

Carlisle 312 21 6.7% −58.52

York 302 17 5.6% −105.67

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 6 3,417 262 7.7% −961.35

Class 5 3,158 220 7% −975.11

Class 4 1,824 124 6.8% −711.59

Class 3 663 57 8.6% −78.09

Class 2 517 29 5.6% −151.67

Class 1 56 4 7.1% −32.50

Class 7 37 2 5.4% −17.50

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 546 156 28.6% 1.16 +8.34

2nd–3rd fav 1,348 207 15.4% 0.99 −193.65

4th–6th fav 2,919 203 7% 0.90 −779.50

7th+ in betting 5,015 139 2.8% 0.88 −1,999.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

6f – 7f 4,113 310 7.5% −915.26

1m – 1m1f 1,926 117 6.1% −871.36

Under 6f 1,856 158 8.5% −418.69

1m2f – 1m4f 1,400 81 5.8% −660.68

1m5f – 2m 492 37 7.5% −69.32

2m1f – 2m4f 34 2 5.9% −21.50

2m5f – 3m 7 0 0% −7.00

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 143 7 4.9% −23.00

2009 202 11 5.4% −113.05

2010 604 45 7.5% −277.00

2011 721 50 6.9% −293.64

2012 611 41 6.7% −179.24

2013 539 40 7.4% −98.42

2014 518 36 6.9% −188.77

2015 569 44 7.7% −211.27

2016 655 57 8.7% −186.51

2017 629 55 8.7% −81.25

2018 700 53 7.6% −126.24

2019 591 44 7.4% −134.82

2020 553 34 6.1% −113.13

2021 606 30 5% −288.85

2022 449 30 6.7% −56.46

2023 441 35 7.9% −134.76

2024 477 35 7.3% −215.22

2025 425 33 7.8% −42.55

2026 395 25 6.3% −199.63

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 7,972 610 7.7% −2,195.93

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

8-10 runners 3,553 261 7.3% −1,332.26

11-13 runners 3,213 207 6.4% −797.79

5-7 runners 1,416 151 10.7% −254.42

14-16 runners 1,155 67 5.8% −256.67

17+ runners 425 10 2.4% −302.00

2-4 runners 66 9 13.6% −20.67

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Bobby Joe Leg (GB) 82 10 29 20 Oct 26

Red Cape (FR) 64 11 23 25 Sep 15

Amazing Blue Sky (GB) 60 6 19 23 Feb 16

Klynch (GB) 60 11 20 29 Sep 14

Be Perfect (USA) 56 6 14 22 Sep 20

Vallarta (IRE) 55 6 19 8 Nov 19

Meshardal (GER) 54 9 24 27 Feb 20

Reigning Profit (IRE) 53 7 18 15 Sep 26

San Cassiano (IRE) 47 5 11 21 Sep 16

Cono Zur (FR) 46 5 17 10 Jun 15

Spanish Angel (IRE) 45 4 14 25 Feb 25

Abushamah (IRE) 45 3 14 24 Oct 20

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 3,386 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 22 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

1 from 4

Only 4 rides in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

8877898744710

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardRuth Carr

41% of all rides
8.7% SR · A/E 0.99

TrainerRWSR£1

Ruth Carr 3,984 346 8.7% −1,108.28

Michael Easterby 823 51 6.2% −419.24

Tim Easterby 589 49 8.3% −119.81

James Given 217 19 8.8% +26.26

Tom Tate 210 16 7.6% +21.42

Linda Perratt 153 3 2% −111.00

Ollie Pears 141 11 7.8% +29.87

Jim Goldie 137 8 5.8% −56.17

Dianne Sayer 137 16 11.7% +4.62

Linda Stubbs 107 11 10.3% −34.33

R Mike Smith 85 4 4.7% −39.50

Patrick Morris 81 5 6.2% −53.92

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

707

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£6.67m

Prize money

2016

Best season · 57 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Sovereign Debt (IRE) — Sunbets All-weather Mile Championships Conditions Stakes Lingfield (AW) · Apr 2017 · Class 2

£93,375

Taxmeifyoucan (IRE) — 32Red.com Handicap Haydock · Sep 2017 · Class 2

£62,250

Golden Apollo (GB) — Catherine Kinloch Paver Memorial Macmillan Charity Handicap York · Jun 2017 · Class 2

£62,250

Notable horses

Red Cape (FR) Klynch (GB) Bobby Joe Leg (GB) Meshardal (GER) Reigning Profit (IRE) Amazing Blue Sky (GB)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Pastoral Pursuits (GB) 10% · 26–260

Progeny have won 9.5% of 7,220 runs since 2009 (437 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 17.4% from 109. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 1.5% from 133.

Kyllachy (GB) 9.3% · 23–247

Progeny have won 9.9% of 13,847 runs since 2008 (800 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.8% from 468.

Acclamation (GB) 7.2% · 13–181

Progeny have won 10% of 19,719 runs since 2008 (1,327 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15.2% from 151. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.7% from 195.

Kodiac (GB) 5.2% · 7–134

Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,606 runs since 2010 (1,666 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 255.

Invincible Spirit (IRE) 9.8% · 13–133

Progeny have won 11.9% of 20,875 runs since 2008 (1,574 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 16.1% from 161. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.8% from 844.

Cape Cross (IRE) 11.2% · 13–116

Progeny have won 13.3% of 12,754 runs since 2008 (988 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 8.4% from 477. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 7.8% from 230.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 14 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 9,957 · newest first

The latest 50 of 9,957 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 20 March 2005 to 7 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

07 Nov 26 Doncaster Rousing Encore (IRE)T: Ruth Carr Virgin Bet Daily Extra Places Handicap StakesClass 2 · 6f · Good To Soft · 22 ran 15th 14/1

06 Nov 26 Newcastle (AW) Havanagreattime (IRE)T: Ruth Carr Make The Move To Midnite Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 6f · Standard · 14 ran 9th 25/1

06 Nov 26 Newcastle (AW) Wise Crack (IRE)T: Ruth Carr Make The Move To Midnite Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 6f · Standard · 14 ran 1st 6/1

02 Nov 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Daytona Lady (IRE)T: Ruth Carr Make The Move To Midnite Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 10 ran 2nd 4/1

31 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Mali Star (IRE)T: Ruth Carr Arc All Weather Bonus Is Back Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 8f · Standard · 14 ran 13th 50/1

31 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Dumfries (GB)T: Ruth Carr ARC All Weather Bonus Is Back Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 8f · Standard · 12 ran 9th 18/1

30 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Lanarra (IRE)T: R. Mike Smith Aw Trials Day - Lingfield 2nd Jan 2027 Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 11 ran 5th 8/1

29 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Light Speed (IRE)T: Ruth Carr Make The Move To Midnite Handicap StakesClass 5 · 11f · Standard · 10 ran 5th 18/1

29 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Bad Habits (IRE)T: Ruth Carr AWC Season 14 Has Begun Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 13 ran 10th 25/1

29 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Brother Dave (GB)T: Ruth Carr AWC Season 14 Has Begun Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 12 ran 8th 33/1

26 Oct 26 Redcar Wise Crack (IRE)T: Ruth Carr Thanks And See You Next Season Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 6f · Heavy · 14 ran 3rd 13/2

23 Oct 26 Doncaster Rousing Encore (IRE)T: Ruth Carr William Hill Epic Boosts Handicap StakesClass 2 · 6f · Soft · 15 ran 11th 12/1

23 Oct 26 Doncaster Furturra (GB)T: Tim Easterby William Hill Extra Places Every Day Nursery Handicap StakesClass 3 · 6f · Soft · 6 ran 4th 11/1

20 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Bobby Joe Leg (GB)T: Ruth Carr All-Weather Championships Is Back Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 14 ran 10th 25/1

19 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Invincible Crown (IRE)T: Ruth Carr Follow @attheraces On Instagram Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 11 ran 2nd 3/1J

19 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Beautiful Rumour (GB)T: Scott Dixon Cavani Tailored Champion Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 13 ran 9th 25/1

17 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Pop The Question (GB)T: Samantha & Jacqueline Coward Andrew And Tony Roy Memorial Race Handicap StakesClass 6 · 14f · Standard · 6 ran 5th 40/1

17 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) King Sharja (GB)T: Ruth Carr Saturday 24th October Gents Night Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 5 · 7f · Standard · 9 ran 8th 16/1

17 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Barleybrown (GB)T: Ruth Carr Book The Bistro In Seasons Restaurant Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 11 ran 4th 11/1

16 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Falcon Queen (IRE)T: R. Mike Smith Quaff Box Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 10 ran 6th 10/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 5 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 3 runs (won 0) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 7 runs (won 1) · fastest on KTB Speed in 3 runs (won 0) · to 7 Nov 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is James Sullivan's strike rate?: James Sullivan has won 705 of 9,828 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 7.2% (as at 14 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does James Sullivan do best at?: Catterick by strike rate: 54 wins from 579 rides (9.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does James Sullivan ride most for?: Ruth Carr, with 3,984 rides since 2008 — 41% of the total. That pairing has won 346 (8.7%).
Is James Sullivan in form?: Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 4 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is James Sullivan's Fair A/E?: 0.97, from 9,775 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.