What is Kyle McHugh's strike rate?

Kyle McHugh has won 14 of 230 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 6.1% (as at 12 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which yard does Kyle McHugh ride most for?

Michael Keady, with 53 rides since 2008 — 23% of the total. That pairing has won 5 (9.4%).

Is Kyle McHugh in form?

Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 3 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Kyle McHugh's Fair A/E?

0.79, from 230 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Kyle McHugh

230 rides in the lifetime window · 144 individual horses

As at 12 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride 5 days ago 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2022→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

14–230

Wins / Runs

6.1%

Strike rate

n=230

45 (20%)

Placed

0.79

Fair A/E

n=230 · 0.67 incl. margin

−85.38

£1 level stake

n=230 at SP · −37.1%

£158k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

8.2%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 10 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 6% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.79).

Deterministic profile computed from 230 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 12 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Michael Keady: 9.4% from 53

The read

The market has consistently overbet first rides on a horse: 4.9% strike, Fair A/E 0.66 and −76.88 to a £1 stake over 144 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. Michael Keady supplies 23% of the rides and edges the rider's average (9.4% vs 6.1%, A/E 1.19) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also reads well in Class 4 (10.3%, n=39). The record reads poorly in Class 5 — 3.1% over 65 rides, 3pts below the baseline.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.1% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

4.9%−1.2

n=144 · A/E 0.66 · £1 −76.88

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

0%−6.1

n=14 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −14.00

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

5.7%−0.4

n=35 · A/E 1.07 · £1 +3.00

When favourite

28.6%

n=7 · A/E 0.97 · £1 −1.88

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

5.7%−0.4

n=211 · A/E 0.75 · £1 −89.38

Big fields · 14+ runners

3.4%−2.7

n=29 · A/E 0.92 · £1 −23.00

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−6.1

n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

In Class 4 10.3% vs 6.1% · n=39

With Michael Keady 9.4% vs 6.1% · n=53

Off a 15-30-day break 8.9% vs 6.1% · n=90

In Class 5 3.1% vs 6.1% · n=65

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 105 8 7.6% −24.50

Good 46 2 4.3% −23.50

Good to Firm 44 2 4.5% −22.00

Good to Soft 15 1 6.7% +2.00

Soft 14 1 7.1% −11.38

Heavy 6 0 0% −6.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Wolverhampton (AW) 29 1 3.4% −22.50

Newcastle (AW) 19 2 10.5% +4.50

Southwell (AW) 17 1 5.9% −11.00

Kempton (AW) 16 1 6.3% −10.50

Nottingham 13 2 15.4% +9.00

Newmarket 10 0 0% −10.00

Chelmsford City (AW) 9 2 22.2% +18.00

Windsor 9 0 0% −9.00

Dundalk (AW) 8 0 0% −8.00

Lingfield (AW) 7 1 14.3% +5.00

Salisbury 6 0 0% −6.00

Yarmouth 6 0 0% −6.00

Doncaster 5 1 20% +12.00

Pontefract 5 0 0% −5.00

Lingfield 5 1 20% +2.50

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 6 91 7 7.7% −35.00

Class 5 65 2 3.1% −38.50

Class 4 39 4 10.3% +20.50

Class 3 5 0 0% −5.00

Class 2 2 0 0% −2.00

Class 1 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 9 2 22.2% 0.80 −3.88

2nd–3rd fav 38 5 13.2% 0.73 −13.00

4th–6th fav 72 4 5.6% 0.75 −12.50

7th+ in betting 111 3 2.7% 0.97 −56.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Renesmee (GB) 14 3 5 1 Oct 26

Mio Amico (GB) 8 2 3 12 May 26

Honour Your Dreams (FR) 6 0 2 10 Jun 24

Sophiesticate (IRE) 4 0 0 8 Oct 26

Portman Blue (GB) 4 0 1 23 Jul 26

Ramli (GB) 4 1 2 20 Jun 26

Horus (GB) 4 0 0 4 Jan 26

Marianne Mozart (IRE) 3 1 1 6 Nov 26

Jimmy Knocker (IRE) 3 0 1 7 Sep 26

Sovereign Dawn (IRE) 3 0 0 29 Aug 26

Bay Dream Believer (IRE) 3 1 1 11 Aug 26

Minhad (GB) 3 1 1 6 Aug 26

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 144 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

1 from 3

Only 3 rides in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

6087884706170

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardMichael Keady

23% of all rides
9.4% SR · A/E 1.19

TrainerRWSR£1

Michael Keady 53 5 9.4% −3.50

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2022→

Archived wins

£158k

Prize money

2026

Best season · 10 wins

Big Baby Bull (IRE) — Family Fun Day June 24th Appreciation Apprentice Claiming Race Limerick · Jun 2023

£5,900

It Just Takes Time (IRE) — Virgin Bet Training Series Final Apprentice Handicap Stakes (Part Of The Racing Excellence Series) (Div I) Doncaster · Nov 2026 · Class 4

£5,653

Ramli (GB) — Race And Rest At The Holiday Inn Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) (Div 1) Wolverhampton (AW) · Jun 2026 · Class 4

£5,400

Notable horses

Renesmee (GB) Mio Amico (GB) Ramli (GB) Bay Dream Believer (IRE) Minhad (GB) Big Baby Bull (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Iffraaj (GB) 18.8% · 3–16

Progeny have won 10.5% of 13,998 runs since 2010 (1,093 horses).

Muhaarar (GB) 22.2% · 2–9

Progeny have won 11.5% of 4,836 runs since 2019 (415 horses).

Dream Ahead (USA) 0% · 0–7

Progeny have won 9.1% of 5,717 runs since 2015 (529 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 6% from 184.

Showcasing (GB) 0% · 0–7

Progeny have won 10.2% of 11,664 runs since 2014 (1,000 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5.5% from 109.

Acclamation (GB) 0% · 0–6

Progeny have won 10% of 19,719 runs since 2008 (1,327 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15.2% from 151. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.7% from 195.

Frankel (GB) 16.7% · 1–6

Progeny have won 18% of 7,547 runs since 2016 (883 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 12.8% from 329. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 12.2% from 271.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 12 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 230 · newest first

The latest 50 of 230 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 2 December 2022 to 7 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

07 Nov 26 Doncaster Raatea (GB)T: Julie Camacho Virgin Bet Training Series Final Apprentice Handicap Stakes (Part Of The Racing Excellence Series) (Div II)Class 4 · 7f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 12th 50/1

07 Nov 26 Doncaster It Just Takes Time (IRE)T: Mark Walford Virgin Bet Training Series Final Apprentice Handicap Stakes (Part Of The Racing Excellence Series) (Div I)Class 4 · 7f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 1st 16/1

06 Nov 26 Newcastle (AW) Marianne Mozart (IRE)T: Ismail Mohammed & Jose Santos Make The Move To Midnite Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 6f · Standard · 14 ran 11th 14/1

28 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Blue Hill (GB)T: Ismail Mohammed & Jose Santos Unibet's New VAR Goal Guarantee Handicap Stakes (London Mile Series Qualifier) (Div I)Class 6 · 8f · Standard / Slow · 10 ran 3rd 11/1

28 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Marianne Mozart (IRE)T: Ismail Mohammed & Jose Santos Bet £20 Get £20 With Unibet Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard / Slow · 11 ran 1st 9/2

27 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Kiss Don't Tell (GB)T: Nick Littmoden Make The Move To Midnite Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 9 ran 6th 12/1

22 Oct 26 Newmarket Wind Summer (IRE)T: Ismail Mohammed & Jose Santos CopyBet Overnight Best Odds Guaranteed Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 5 · 8f · Soft · 13 ran 12th 33/1

12 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Marianne Mozart (IRE)T: Ismail Mohammed & Jose Santos Unibet More Extra Place Races Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard / Slow · 10 ran 5th 16/1

09 Oct 26 York Stanley Spencer (IRE)T: Fionn McSharry Pj Staffing Group Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 4 · 7f · Good To Soft · 20 ran 18th 125/1

08 Oct 26 Ayr Sophiesticate (IRE)T: R. Mike Smith Stella Artois Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 5 · 10f · Heavy · 12 ran 12th 125/1

06 Oct 26 Brighton Haveagobeau (GB)T: Jim Boyle Matchbook Signup - Get 20% Back On Losses Apprentice Handicap Stakes (Hands And Heels Race) (Part Of The Racing Excellence Series)Class 6 · 10f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 4th 5/1

01 Oct 26 Nottingham Renesmee (GB)T: Michael Keady Hospitality At Nottingham Racecourse Handicap StakesClass 5 · 10f · Good · 14 ran 12th 17/2

25 Sep 26 Newmarket Dancingonthestars (IRE)T: Dylan Cunha Betway Bet The Responsible Way British Ebf "confined" Maiden Stakes (Colts And Geldings Only Which Have Run No More Than Twice)Class 3 · 7f · Good · 14 ran 14th 250/1

21 Sep 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Green Team (FR)T: Nick Littmoden attheraces.com/market Movers Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 6 · 9.5f · Standard · 11 ran 2nd 18/1

19 Sep 26 Newcastle (AW) Princess Niyla (GB)T: Alan Brown Get The Inside Track With Raceday-ready.com Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 10 ran 9th 18/1

18 Sep 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Renesmee (GB)T: Michael Keady Cardway Cartons Box Designer Fillies' Handicap StakesClass 5 · 9.5f · Standard · 7 ran 2nd 9/1

18 Sep 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Warrnambool (GER)T: Nick Littmoden JJX Logistics Going The Distance Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 10 ran 8th 16/1

17 Sep 26 Pontefract Bloodsweatandtyres (GB)T: Brian Ellison Go Racing In Yorkshire Future Stars Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 5 · 6f · Good · 12 ran 6th 25/1

14 Sep 26 Windsor Noelies Dream (GB)T: Dylan Cunha Ivor Laws Memorial Race Handicap StakesClass 5 · 6f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 5th 125/1

08 Sep 26 Leicester Merapi (GB)T: Michael Keady Your Move Estate Agents Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 6 · 10f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 4th 25/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 7 Nov 2026: fastest on KTB Speed in 1 run (won 1) · to 7 Nov 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Kyle McHugh's strike rate?: Kyle McHugh has won 14 of 230 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 6.1% (as at 12 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which yard does Kyle McHugh ride most for?: Michael Keady, with 53 rides since 2008 — 23% of the total. That pairing has won 5 (9.4%).
Is Kyle McHugh in form?: Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 3 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Kyle McHugh's Fair A/E?: 0.79, from 230 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.