What is Liam Harrison's strike rate?

Liam Harrison has won 135 of 1,140 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 11.8% (as at 13 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Liam Harrison do best at?

Worcester by strike rate: 22 wins from 104 rides (21.2%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Liam Harrison ride most for?

Fergal O'Brien, with 590 rides since 2008 — 52% of the total. That pairing has won 80 (13.6%).

Is Liam Harrison in form?

Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 10 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Liam Harrison's Fair A/E?

0.94, from 1,139 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Liam Harrison

1,140 rides in the lifetime window · 525 individual horses

As at 13 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride 3 days ago 100% of rides over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2018→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

135–1,140

Wins / Runs

11.8%

Strike rate

n=1,140

346 (30%)

Placed

0.94

Fair A/E

n=1,139 · 0.82 incl. margin

−96.69

£1 level stake

n=1,140 at SP · −8.5%

£1.45m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

9.1%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 60 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 12% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.94). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 20% (143 rides). Rides mostly for Fergal O'Brien — 52% of rides in the window.

Deterministic profile computed from 1,140 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 13 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Jul–Sep 32.3% when favourite Fergal O'Brien: 13.6% from 590 LTO winners: 20.3% Claiming: 13.8% Rides the favourite in 11% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Worcester (21.2%, n=104), clear of the rider's 11.8% baseline. It is weakest at Ludlow (0% over 44 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 20.3% (n=143, Fair A/E 0.93), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 7.5% (n=147, Fair A/E 1.22). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 8.4% strike, Fair A/E 0.82 and −78.12 to a £1 stake over 287 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. Fergal O'Brien supplies 52% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (13.6%, A/E 0.91). The record reads poorly in Class 1 — 0% over 31 rides, 11.8pts below the baseline. The standout partner of the record: Titan Discovery (GB) — 5 wins from 12 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fires Jul–Sep.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 11.8% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

10.7%−1.1

n=525 · A/E 0.96 · £1 +31.79

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

20.3%+8.5

n=143 · A/E 0.93 · £1 −15.17

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

8.4%−3.4

n=287 · A/E 0.82 · £1 −78.12

When favourite

32.3%

n=130 · A/E 0.95 · £1 −25.03

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

13.8%+2.0

n=513 · A/E 0.95 · £1 −75.69

Big fields · 14+ runners

7.5%−4.3

n=147 · A/E 1.22 · £1 −30.00

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−11.8

n=20 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −20.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 11.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At Chepstow 1.4% vs 11.8% · n=74

At Ludlow 0% vs 11.8% · n=44

At Worcester 21.2% vs 11.8% · n=104

On last-time-out winners 20.3% vs 11.8% · n=143

In Class 1 0% vs 11.8% · n=31

With Dan Skelton 2.3% vs 11.8% · n=43

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 708 82 11.6% +18.86

Chase 309 38 12.3% −67.26

NH Flat 121 15 12.4% −46.29

Flat 2 0 0% −2.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 537 66 12.3% +30.45

Good to Soft 322 32 9.9% −54.67

Soft 185 25 13.5% −26.86

Heavy 69 5 7.2% −46.56

Good to Firm 25 7 28% +2.95

Standard (AW) 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Worcester 104 22 21.2% +184.79

Uttoxeter 84 9 10.7% −33.00

Chepstow 74 1 1.4% −70.00

Market Rasen 65 9 13.8% +1.73

Huntingdon 64 11 17.2% −2.37

Southwell 53 5 9.4% −11.68

Stratford 52 8 15.4% −15.79

Hereford 49 3 6.1% −40.73

Ludlow 44 0 0% −44.00

Bangor-on-Dee 37 7 18.9% −6.56

Cheltenham 37 6 16.2% +8.83

Warwick 35 1 2.9% −20.00

Wincanton 34 1 2.9% −29.50

Kempton 33 4 12.1% −13.00

Newton Abbot 33 6 18.2% −2.49

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 471 39 8.3% −91.25

Class 5 385 61 15.8% +13.50

Class 3 149 23 15.4% +5.56

Class 2 99 11 11.1% +7.50

Class 1 31 0 0% −31.00

Class 6 4 1 25% +0.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 156 47 30.1% 0.94 −31.46

2nd–3rd fav 288 47 16.3% 0.91 −51.23

4th–6th fav 372 27 7.3% 0.85 −68.50

7th+ in betting 324 14 4.3% 1.38 +54.50

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

83.8% completed · 1,017 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 309 75.7% 8 10 56 1 0

Hurdle 708 87.3% 20 7 60 2 1

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Pull Again Green (IRE) 22 4 8 6 Mar 26

No Tackle (GB) 16 3 6 21 Oct 26

Politacus (IRE) 14 3 6 11 Jun 26

Gortroe Joe (IRE) 13 4 8 27 Nov 22

Titan Discovery (GB) 12 5 7 25 Feb 26

New Found Fame (IRE) 11 2 4 21 Apr 25

Nothin To Ask (IRE) 11 1 6 5 Apr 25

Carrigeen Kampala (IRE) 11 5 6 31 Aug 24

Captain Cattistock (GB) 11 3 6 17 Apr 24

Petite Power (IRE) 11 2 4 20 Mar 22

The Gray Ghost (IRE) 10 1 2 14 Mar 26

Oslo (GB) 10 2 5 27 Sep 25

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 525 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 4 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 10

Only 10 rides in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

121071581119152591012

A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardFergal O'Brien

52% of all rides
13.6% SR · A/E 0.91

TrainerRWSR£1

Fergal O'Brien 590 80 13.6% −136.85

Robbie Llewellyn 118 20 16.9% +51.30

Kerry Lee 53 3 5.7% −37.30

Dan Skelton 43 1 2.3% −40.38

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2018→

135

Archived wins

£1.45m

Prize money

2021

Best season · 35 wins

Titan Discovery (GB) — Weatherbys Racing Bank Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) Windsor · Jan 2025 · Class 2

£33,820

Captain Cattistock (GB) — bet365 Edinburgh National Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Musselburgh · Feb 2022 · Class 2

£26,575

Punctuation (GB) — Abersoch Land And Sea Handicap Hurdle (Conditional Jockeys And Amateur Riders) (GBB Race) Aintree · Apr 2023 · Class 2

£25,720

Notable horses

Titan Discovery (GB) Carrigeen Kampala (IRE) Pull Again Green (IRE) Gortroe Joe (IRE) Top Cloud (GB) No Tackle (GB)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Milan (GB) 8.7% · 4–46

Progeny have won 11.3% of 16,890 runs since 2008 (1,465 horses).

Getaway (GER) 8.1% · 3–37

Progeny have won 11.3% of 11,033 runs since 2016 (1,034 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 23.1% from 134.

Ask (GB) 11.8% · 4–34

Progeny have won 10.5% of 3,223 runs since 2014 (283 horses).

Soldier of Fortune (IRE) 17.2% · 5–29

Progeny have won 11.3% of 5,900 runs since 2013 (687 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.5% from 336. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 3.2% from 249.

Mahler (GB) 19.2% · 5–26

Progeny have won 10.8% of 8,894 runs since 2014 (790 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15.1% from 119.

Kalanisi (IRE) 16.7% · 4–24

Progeny have won 10.5% of 6,753 runs since 2008 (648 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 16.1% from 355.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 13 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,140 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,140 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 26 July 2018 to 10 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

10 Nov 26 Huntingdon Rose Of Knocknamoe (IRE)T: Fergal O'Brien PricedUp Now With Best Odds Guaranteed Mares' Novices' Hurdle Race (Herring Queen Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 7 ran 7th 33/1

09 Nov 26 Stratford Clondaw Sergeant (IRE)T: Fergal O'Brien Trailertrek Towbars Novices' Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 22f · Good To Soft · 6 ran PU 80/1

09 Nov 26 Stratford Mags Ocean (GB)T: Dan Skelton Stratford Extra Raceday 'National Hunt' Maiden Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 3rd 66/1

08 Nov 26 Sandown Joining Force (IRE)T: Fergal O'Brien Oddschecker Bet Builder Novices' Handicap Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 4th 25/1

07 Nov 26 Uttoxeter Pigeon Forge (IRE)T: Emma Lavelle Bet £20 Get £40 In Free Bets At matchbook.com Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 23.5f · Good · 9 ran 2nd 15/2

07 Nov 26 Uttoxeter Clondaw Buster (IRE)T: Ben Pauling Matchbook Signup Get 20% Back On Losses Novices' Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 13 ran 3rd 9/1

04 Nov 26 Chepstow Potter (IRE)T: Fergal O'Brien LSL Racing 'National Hunt' Maiden Hurdle Race (Div II) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 3rd 25/1

03 Nov 26 Lingfield Lady Boujee (FR)T: Dan Skelton John Marshall 80th Birthday Celebration Novices' Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 11 ran 8th 33/1

02 Nov 26 Southwell Rene's Ocean (GB)T: Dan Skelton Winter Ladies Night Saturday 27th November 'National Hunt' Maiden Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 14 ran 4th 66/1

01 Nov 26 Carlisle Supremely West (IRE)T: Dan Skelton Pricedup Bog From 10am Castletown Handicap Hurdle Race (gbb Race)Class 2 · 20f · Good To Soft · 10 ran PU 28/1

27 Oct 26 Bangor-on-Dee Strong Run (GB)T: Fergal O'Brien Mount Vines Novices' Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20.5f · Good To Soft · 13 ran UR 9/1

26 Oct 26 Hereford John Galt (FR)T: Fergal O'Brien BETTING.BET New Betting Sites Novices' Hurdle Race (gbb Race)Class 4 · 19.5f · Good To Firm · 6 ran 4th 13/2

25 Oct 26 Market Rasen Mags Ocean (GB)T: Dan Skelton Market Rasen Racecourse Caravan & Touring Site Maiden Hurdle Race (gbb Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 8th 66/1

24 Oct 26 Cheltenham Freetobe (IRE)T: Fergal O'Brien Lucy's 40th Birthday Celebration Open National Hunt Flat Race (Category 1 Elimination) (GBB Race)Class 2 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 4th 11/1

23 Oct 26 Cheltenham John Barbour (GB)T: Fergal O'Brien William Hill Epic Boosts Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 3 · 20f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 9th 25/1

22 Oct 26 Ffos Las Willow Tide (IRE)T: Fergal O'Brien bettingsites.co.uk Get Paid By Uk Betting Sites Open National Hunt Flat Race (Category 2 Elimination) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 16f · Soft · 6 ran 6th 11/8F

22 Oct 26 Ffos Las Potter (IRE)T: Fergal O'Brien bettingsites.co.uk Instant Withdrawal Novices' Hurdle Race (Div II) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Soft · 10 ran 4th 16/1

21 Oct 26 Worcester Rose Of Knocknamoe (IRE)T: Fergal O'Brien Richard And Ann Hitchings Memorial Mares' Novices' Hurdle Race (Herring Queen Mares' Novices' Hurdle Series Qualifier) (Div I) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 9 ran F 66/1

21 Oct 26 Worcester No Tackle (GB)T: Robbie Llewellyn Fred & Mercy Rimell Memorial Handicap Steeple Chase (gbb Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 9th 33/1

17 Oct 26 Market Rasen Denemethy (IRE)T: Fergal O'Brien Pertemps Network Jean & Paul Lucas Memorial Handicap Steeple Chase (gbb Race)Class 3 · 21.5f · Good · 5 ran F 4/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 9 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 4 runs (won 0) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 1 run (won 0) · fastest on KTB Speed in 2 runs (won 0) · to 8 Nov 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Liam Harrison's strike rate?: Liam Harrison has won 135 of 1,140 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 11.8% (as at 13 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Liam Harrison do best at?: Worcester by strike rate: 22 wins from 104 rides (21.2%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Liam Harrison ride most for?: Fergal O'Brien, with 590 rides since 2008 — 52% of the total. That pairing has won 80 (13.6%).
Is Liam Harrison in form?: Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 10 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Liam Harrison's Fair A/E?: 0.94, from 1,139 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.