Liam Wright
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rides around 130 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 10% of them — level with the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.99). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 15% (80 rides).
The record is strongest at Lingfield (AW) (15.7%, n=83), clear of the rider's 9.9% baseline. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 15% (n=80, Fair A/E 0.78), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 5.3% (n=38, Fair A/E 1.07). Darryll Holland supplies 24% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (8.3%, A/E 0.89). The rider also reads well off a 0-7-day break (21.3%, n=47) and over 1m2f – 1m4f (14.6%, n=123). The record reads poorly in Class 4 — 2% over 98 rides, 7.9pts below the baseline. The standout partner of the record: Dutch Kingdom (IRE) — 5 wins from 10 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fires Jul–Aug.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 9.9% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 9.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerGoing
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
Small sampleBy month
strike by month, 5 seasonsRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2022→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 654 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 654 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 29 January 2022 to 19 October 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Liam Wright's strike rate?
- Liam Wright has won 65 of 654 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 9.9% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Liam Wright do best at?
- Lingfield (AW) by strike rate: 13 wins from 83 rides (15.7%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does Liam Wright ride most for?
- Darryll Holland, with 156 rides since 2022 — 24% of the total. That pairing has won 13 (8.3%).
- Is Liam Wright in form?
- Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 6 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
- What is Liam Wright's Fair A/E?
- 0.99, from 652 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.