What is Luke McAteer's strike rate?

Luke McAteer has won 193 of 2,414 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 8% (as at 15 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Luke McAteer do best at?

Tipperary by strike rate: 9 wins from 62 rides (14.5%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Luke McAteer ride most for?

David Marnane, with 454 rides since 2008 — 19% of the total. That pairing has won 55 (12.1%).

Is Luke McAteer in form?

Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 9 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Luke McAteer's Fair A/E?

1.07, from 2,413 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Luke McAteer

2,414 rides in the lifetime window · 965 individual horses

As at 15 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride 2 days ago 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2017→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

193–2,414

Wins / Runs

Strike rate

n=2,414

565 (23%)

Placed

1.07

Fair A/E

n=2,413 · 0.86 incl. margin

−584.20

£1 level stake

n=2,414 at SP · −24.2%

£3.27m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

5.6%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 130 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 8% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.07). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 15% (164 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 2,414 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 15 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Feb–Mar 27% when favourite David Marnane: 12.1% from 454 LTO winners: 15.2% Claiming: 9.2% Rides the favourite in 6% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Listowel (16.7%, n=36), clear of the rider's 8% baseline. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 15.2% (n=164, Fair A/E 1.25), but in Group and Graded company the record reads poorly at 3.7% (n=81, Fair A/E 0.59). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 4.7% strike, Fair A/E 0.81 and −196.32 to a £1 stake over 408 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. David Marnane supplies 19% of the rides and edges the rider's average (12.1% vs 8%, A/E 1.19) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also reads well off a 0-7-day break (13.5%, n=171). 3 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Irish Stallion Farms EBF Petingo Handicap at Leopardstown (IRE) (Sep 2026, £90,000). The standout partner of the record: Amemri (GB) — 8 wins from 31 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fires Feb–Mar.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

6.1%−1.9

n=965 · A/E 1.14 · £1 −313.90

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

15.2%+7.2

n=164 · A/E 1.25 · £1 −13.00

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

4.7%−3.3

n=408 · A/E 0.81 · £1 −196.32

When favourite

27%

n=148 · A/E 1.07 · £1 −27.06

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

9.2%+1.2

n=904 · A/E 1.25 · £1 −72.93

Big fields · 14+ runners

7.3%−0.7

n=1,253 · A/E 1.20 · £1 −179.94

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

3.7%−4.3

n=81 · A/E 0.59 · £1 −31.17

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With J S Bolger 15.6% vs 8% · n=186

On last-time-out winners 15.2% vs 8% · n=164

At Listowel 16.7% vs 8% · n=36

With Barry J Fitzgerald 15% vs 8% · n=80

Off a 0-7-day break 13.5% vs 8% · n=171

With debutants 2.8% vs 8% · n=217

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 2,410 193 8% −580.20

Hurdle 4 0 0% −4.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 715 50 7% −226.03

Standard (AW) 646 62 9.6% −111.83

Soft 597 39 6.5% −176.97

Heavy 218 23 10.6% −26.62

Good to Soft 146 15 10.3% +21.25

Good to Firm 92 4 4.3% −64.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Dundalk (AW) 637 61 9.6% −111.83

Curragh 323 16 5% −73.50

Gowran Park 193 12 6.2% −121.05

Leopardstown 180 18 10% −13.69

Naas 136 15 11% −2.10

Navan 126 11 8.7% −41.80

Cork 125 10 8% −60.42

Galway 86 5 5.8% +32.00

Fairyhouse 82 9 11% −0.07

Limerick 79 3 3.8% −23.50

Roscommon 78 4 5.1% −43.75

Tipperary 62 9 14.5% +44.50

Killarney 60 2 3.3% −55.47

Bellewstown 52 2 3.8% −31.00

Down Royal 47 5 10.6% +1.48

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 81 3 3.7% −31.17

Class 6 4 0 0% −4.00

Class 2 3 0 0% −3.00

Class 3 2 0 0% −2.00

Class 4 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 183 42 23% 0.97 −51.06

2nd–3rd fav 395 66 16.7% 1.14 −39.14

4th–6th fav 619 46 7.4% 0.99 −182.00

7th+ in betting 1,217 39 3.2% 1.20 −312.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Amemri (GB) 31 8 11 14 Jul 26

Jered Maddox (GB) 23 6 8 4 May 26

Tango Flare (IRE) 20 4 8 10 Oct 26

Tokenomics (FR) 18 5 9 6 Aug 26

Mythical Rock (IRE) 17 0 8 5 Dec 25

Pari Passu (IRE) 17 2 6 25 Oct 18

No Speed Limit (FR) 16 0 3 29 May 25

Jazzy Dancer (IRE) 15 1 3 16 Oct 26

Aviatrice (IRE) 15 3 10 12 Sep 26

East Hampton (GB) 15 2 5 21 Aug 26

Hidden Land (USA) 15 3 6 1 Aug 24

Allsortz (IRE) 14 2 6 10 Oct 26

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 965 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 7 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 9

Only 9 rides in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

7151258855109812

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardDavid Marnane

19% of all rides
12.1% SR · A/E 1.19

TrainerRWSR£1

David Marnane 454 55 12.1% −49.10

James M Barrett 202 12 5.9% −65.75

J S Bolger 186 29 15.6% +20.35

Paul W Flynn 125 7 5.6% −32.17

Patrick T Foley 102 8 7.8% −8.02

A. McCann 93 5 5.4% −51.67

Barry J Fitzgerald 80 12 15% +31.75

Anthony Mullins 77 5 6.5% −44.50

P J F Murphy 69 8 11.6% −12.75

Andrew Kinirons 67 8 11.9% +35.50

James McAuley 58 7 12.1% +38.38

Patrick J McKenna 54 3 5.6% −11.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2017→

193

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£3.27m

Prize money

2025

Best season · 34 wins

Immutable (IRE) — Irish Stallion Farms EBF Petingo Handicap Leopardstown (IRE) · Sep 2026

£90,000

Tango Flare (IRE) — Irish Stallion Farms EBF Bold Lad Sprint Handicap (Premier Handicap) Curragh · Sep 2025

£88,500

Slieve Binnian (IRE) — Dubai Duty Free Derby Festival Handicap (Premier Handicap) Curragh · Jun 2025

£59,000

Notable horses

Amemri (GB) Jered Maddox (GB) Tokenomics (FR) Tango Flare (IRE) Aviatrice (IRE) Hidden Land (USA)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Elzaam (AUS) 10.1% · 9–89

Progeny have won 9.2% of 4,533 runs since 2016 (373 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.2% from 328.

Dawn Approach (IRE) 10.9% · 6–55

Progeny have won 8% of 3,581 runs since 2017 (359 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 12.6% from 333. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 12% from 125. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5% from 181.

Footstepsinthesand (GB) 4.3% · 2–46

Progeny have won 10.2% of 12,819 runs since 2009 (938 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.9% from 321.

Vocalised (USA) 19.6% · 9–46

Progeny have won 6.7% of 2,033 runs since 2014 (172 horses).

Dandy Man (IRE) 6.7% · 3–45

Progeny have won 9.1% of 14,990 runs since 2013 (929 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.3% from 171.

Teofilo (IRE) 14.3% · 6–42

Progeny have won 12.5% of 10,098 runs since 2011 (908 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.3% from 629.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 2,414 · newest first

The latest 50 of 2,414 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 1 June 2017 to 13 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

13 Nov 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Glamazon (IRE)T: Paul W Flynn Now Racing Every Wednesday At Dundalk Handicap10.5f · Standard · 10 ran 3rd 16/1

11 Nov 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Echinacea (GB)T: Noel C. Kelly Now Racing Every Wednesday At Dundalk Handicap10.5f · Standard · 14 ran 14th 8/1

11 Nov 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Elzante (IRE)T: C Byrnes View Restaurant At Dundalk Stadium Median Auction Maiden7f · Standard · 14 ran 13th 150/1

11 Nov 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Cuban Grey (GB)T: Patrick J McKenna Christmas Party Nights At Dundalk Stadium Handicap5f · Standard · 13 ran 8th 8/1

06 Nov 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Lady Chartwell (IRE)T: P Sweeney BAR 1 Betting Bet Builder Boost Handicap8f · Standard · 14 ran 10th 50/1

06 Nov 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Minshara (IRE)T: Daniel William O'Sullivan Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Maiden7f · Standard · 12 ran 11th 80/1

06 Nov 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) What's Enough (IRE)T: Patrick T Foley BAR 1 Betting 'Your First For Football' Maiden5f · Standard · 5 ran 2nd 15/2

04 Nov 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Annie Tips (IRE)T: James Dowling Bet On The Best Night Out At Dundalk Stadium Nursery Handicap7f · Standard · 7 ran 5th 40/1

04 Nov 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Jallaaf (IRE)T: A. McCann Christmas Party Nights At Dundalk Stadium Claiming Race6f · Standard · 8 ran 7th 50/1

01 Nov 26 Curragh (IRE) Azure Sioux (IRE)T: Patrick T Foley Velo Coffee At The Curragh Maiden12f · Yielding · 19 ran 18th 200/1

01 Nov 26 Curragh (IRE) Uncle Goalie (IRE)T: Rory Anthony Devine Keadeen Hotel Premier Handicap8f · Yielding To Soft · 21 ran 4th 6/1J

01 Nov 26 Curragh (IRE) Thru And Thru (IRE)T: Rory Anthony Devine Isuzu Ireland Handicap7f · Yielding To Soft · 25 ran 1st 12/1

01 Nov 26 Curragh (IRE) One Point Five (IRE)T: Eoin Doyle Irish EBF Maiden (Smullen Series)8f · Yielding To Soft · 23 ran 14th 300/1

29 Oct 26 Punchestown (IRE) Girl Bear (IRE)T: Jack Foley See You At The GR1 Double Header – 21 & 22 November Handicap (Div II)7f · Yielding · 11 ran 9th 16/1

29 Oct 26 Punchestown (IRE) Think About It (IRE)T: Thomas Patrick McGettigan See You At The GR1 Double Header 21 & 22 November Handicap (0-60) (Div 1)7f · Yielding · 12 ran 11th 50/1

29 Oct 26 Punchestown (IRE) Dawnmore (IRE)T: J S Bolger Win A Trip To Lapland At Punchestown On Sun 22 November Maiden7f · Yielding · 11 ran 4th 17/2

29 Oct 26 Punchestown (IRE) Lan De Ghaire (IRE)T: J S Bolger Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Maiden8f · Yielding · 8 ran 6th 28/1

28 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Chicago Caray (GB)T: J. P. Murtagh Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden7f · Standard · 11 ran 4th 40/1

28 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Master Garvey (IRE)T: Joseph Anthony Murray Dundalk Stadium Optional Claiming Race8f · Standard · 11 ran 9th 28/1

23 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Mount Pinatubo (IRE)T: Jack Foley Irish EBF Median Sires Series Maiden (Smullen Series)8f · Standard · 14 ran 12th 18/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 9 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 4 runs (won 0, 1 did not run) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 2 runs (won 1) · fastest on KTB Speed in 4 runs (won 0) · to 6 Nov 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Luke McAteer's strike rate?: Luke McAteer has won 193 of 2,414 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 8% (as at 15 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Luke McAteer do best at?: Tipperary by strike rate: 9 wins from 62 rides (14.5%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Luke McAteer ride most for?: David Marnane, with 454 rides since 2008 — 19% of the total. That pairing has won 55 (12.1%).
Is Luke McAteer in form?: Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 9 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Luke McAteer's Fair A/E?: 1.07, from 2,413 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.