Mark Crehan
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rides around 30 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 8% of them — level with the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.00). When claiming the record reads 10% (121 rides).
The rider also reads well over 6f – 7f (12.5%, n=56) and in Class 6 (11.5%, n=52). The record reads poorly over 1m – 1m1f — 4.8% over 42 rides, 3.6pts below the baseline. The standout partner of the record: Khatm (GB) — 5 wins from 8 rides together.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 8.4% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerGoing
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstBy month
strike by month, 5 seasonsRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2018→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 661 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 661 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 21 February 2018 to 19 June 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Mark Crehan's strike rate?
- Mark Crehan has won 12 of 143 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 8.4% (as at 27 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- What is Mark Crehan's Fair A/E?
- 1.00, from 142 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.