Miss Sarah Bowen
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rides around 30 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 6% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.67). Rides mostly for Tony Carroll — 82% of rides in the window.
First rides on a horse have been a poor signal at 2.3% (n=43, Fair A/E 0.28). Tony Carroll supplies 82% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (7.8%, A/E 0.80). The rider also reads well over 1m2f – 1m4f (10.5%, n=38). The record reads poorly over 6f – 7f — 0% over 30 rides, 6.4pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the rider on Standard (AW) going: Fair A/E 0.42 across 56 rides (3.6% strike, −40.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 6.4% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstBy month
strike by month, 5 seasonsRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2012→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 261 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 261 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 4 October 2012 to 16 July 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Miss Sarah Bowen's strike rate?
- Miss Sarah Bowen has won 8 of 125 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 6.4% (as at 19 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which yard does Miss Sarah Bowen ride most for?
- Tony Carroll, with 102 rides since 2022 — 82% of the total. That pairing has won 8 (7.8%).
- What is Miss Sarah Bowen's Fair A/E?
- 0.67, from 125 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.