Mlle Barbara Guenet
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rode around 10 times a season, across both codes, winning on 29% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.29). The edge shows sharpest with horses returning fresh: 39% off breaks of two months or more (51 runs).
Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a positive signal at 39.2% (n=51, Fair A/E 1.60). First rides on a horse are the standout value angle: 28.7% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.30 and +0.70 to a £1 stake over 101 rides — a record the market has persistently underpriced. The rider also read well in Chase races (38.9%, n=36) and on Soft going (37%, n=46). The record read poorly off a 15-30-day break — 13.3% over 30 rides, 15.3pts below the baseline.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 28.6% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 28.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstBy month
strike by month, lifetimeRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2008→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 119 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 119 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 28 November 2008 to 2 November 2019.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Mlle Barbara Guenet's strike rate?
- Mlle Barbara Guenet has won 34 of 119 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 28.6% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- What is Mlle Barbara Guenet's Fair A/E?
- 1.29, from 112 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.