What is Mr Florent Guy's strike rate?

Mr Florent Guy has won 80 of 278 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 28.8% (as at 14 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Mr Florent Guy do best at?

Deauville (AW) by strike rate: 17 wins from 60 rides (28.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Is Mr Florent Guy in form?

Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 1 ride, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Mr Florent Guy's Fair A/E?

1.09, from 231 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Mr Florent Guy

278 rides in the lifetime window · 240 individual horses

As at 14 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride 13 days ago 92% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

80–278

Wins / Runs

28.8%

Strike rate

n=278

147 (53%)

Placed

1.09

Fair A/E

n=231 · 0.97 incl. margin

+18.54

£1 level stake

n=247 at SP · +7.5%

£1.03m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

32%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 10 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 29% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.09). The edge shows sharpest with horses returning fresh: 32% off breaks of two months or more (89 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 278 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 14 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 31.5% 32.5% when favourite First rides: 29.3% Rides the favourite in 43% of races

The read

It is weakest at Maisons-Laffitte (FR) (20% over 35 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 20.5% (n=44, Fair A/E 1.19). The rider also reads well on Good to Soft going (37.5%, n=48) and off a 15-30-day break (33.8%, n=71). The record reads poorly off a 8-14-day break — 14.3% over 35 rides, 14.5pts below the baseline.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 28.8% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

29.3%+0.5

n=239 · A/E 1.12 · £1 +19.59

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

46.4%+17.6

n=28 · A/E 1.36 · £1 +15.20

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

31.5%+2.7

n=89 · A/E 1.22 · £1 +9.20

When favourite

32.5%

n=120 · A/E 0.97 · £1 −8.76

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

40%+11.2

n=5 · A/E 4.82 · £1 +7.20

Big fields · 14+ runners

20.5%−8.3

n=44 · A/E 1.19 · £1 +7.30

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 28.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

Off a 8-14-day break 14.3% vs 28.8% · n=35

On Good to Soft going 37.5% vs 28.8% · n=48

At Maisons-Laffitte (FR) 20% vs 28.8% · n=35

With C&D winners 34.8% vs 28.8% · n=46

Off a 15-30-day break 33.8% vs 28.8% · n=71

With new recruits 34.4% vs 28.8% · n=32

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 256 74 28.9% −3.06

Chase 18 6 33.3% +25.60

Hurdle 4 0 0% −4.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Soft 76 19 25% +1.10

Standard (AW) 68 21 30.9% +19.75

Good 52 13 25% −7.00

Good to Soft 48 18 37.5% +1.49

Heavy 31 9 29% +5.20

Good to Firm 2 0 0% −2.00

Firm 1 0 0% —

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Deauville (AW) 60 17 28.3% +18.45

Saint-Cloud 57 14 24.6% −12.30

Maisons-Laffitte (FR) 35 7 20% −7.60

Chantilly (FR) 32 9 28.1% −5.20

Longchamp (FR) 18 8 44.4% +6.10

Auteuil (FR) 13 4 30.8% +21.50

Fontainebleau 11 5 45.5% +1.91

Compiegne 7 3 42.9% −0.90

Cagnes-Sur-Mer 5 1 20% −4.00

Clairefontaine 4 2 50% +6.40

Enghien (FR) 4 1 25% +2.00

Le Croise-Laroche 3 0 0% −2.00

Vichy 3 1 33.3% −2.00

Lisieux 2 1 50% −0.50

Le Lion-D'Angers (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 15 3 20% −6.05

Class 5 3 0 0% −3.00

Class 3 2 1 50% −0.27

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 122 39 32% 0.96 −10.76

2nd–3rd fav 81 18 22.2% 1.24 +14.20

4th–6th fav 37 6 16.2% 1.66 +12.10

7th+ in betting 7 1 14.3% 3.54 +3.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

1m2f – 1m4f 114 34 29.8% −2.31

1m – 1m1f 64 16 25% +9.00

1m5f – 2m 45 13 28.9% −9.70

6f – 7f 26 8 30.8% −1.35

2m1f – 2m4f 21 7 33.3% +18.30

2m5f – 3m 7 1 14.3% +4.60

Under 6f 1 1 100% —

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 10 6 60% —

2009 13 4 30.8% −3.00

2010 30 4 13.3% +0.70

2011 33 9 27.3% −0.50

2012 27 9 33.3% +8.70

2013 25 7 28% +4.50

2014 21 5 23.8% −0.30

2015 20 6 30% +1.30

2016 12 3 25% −2.50

2017 7 1 14.3% −3.10

2018 8 2 25% +4.20

2019 9 3 33.3% +7.80

2020 4 2 50% +3.90

2022 7 3 42.9% +8.00

2023 8 1 12.5% −3.20

2024 10 3 30% −2.60

2025 9 4 44.4% +0.80

2026 25 8 32% −6.16

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 43 12 27.9% +8.30

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

8-10 runners 79 16 20.3% −10.50

11-13 runners 68 16 23.5% +8.30

5-7 runners 46 18 39.1% +4.34

2-4 runners 40 20 50% +8.30

14-16 runners 31 6 19.4% +3.50

17+ runners 13 3 23.1% +3.80

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Bookend (GB) 6 1 3 11 Jul 13

Simba (FR) 3 1 2 30 Jul 16

Storm River (FR) 3 1 1 12 Dec 15

Compact Storm (GB) 3 1 2 30 Oct 13

Gallardo (IRE) 3 1 3 2 Sep 13

Glenferness (FR) 3 2 2 4 Nov 11

Kapetanios (FR) 2 1 2 23 Oct 26

First Creation (FR) 2 1 1 27 Sep 26

Saint Hellier (FR) 2 1 1 22 Aug 26

Zulu Warrior (FR) 2 2 2 14 Jul 26

Maroon Six (FR) 2 1 2 27 Jun 26

Al Alaali (FR) 2 0 2 7 Aug 25

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 240 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 1

Only 1 rides in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

·2029312226403233172031

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardJ Phelippon

12% of all rides
24.2% SR · A/E 0.87

TrainerRWSR£1

J Phelippon 33 8 24.2% +3.10

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

Archived wins

£1.11m

Prize money

2012

Best season · 9 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Ici Avrilly (FR) — Prix Colonel d'Englesqueville-Challenge de l'Obstacle Equinaxy (Chase) (Handicap) (5yo+) (Am) (Turf) Compiegne (FR) · Oct 2025

£22,686

Glenferness (FR) — Prix Colonel D'Englesqueville (Chase) (Handicap) (5yo+) (Amateur Riders) (Turf) Enghien (FR) · Nov 2011

£21,517

Saint Vivien (FR) — 111eme Prix De France (Chase) (Conditions) (5yo+) (Amateur Riders) (Turf) Auteuil (FR) · Nov 2011

£21,517

Notable horses

Glenferness (FR) Zulu Warrior (FR) Bookend (GB) Simba (FR) Storm River (FR) Compact Storm (GB)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Dansili (GB) 20% · 2–10

Progeny have won 13.7% of 11,842 runs since 2008 (983 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 16.8% from 101. Weakest on Heavy going: 7.9% from 428. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 9.1% from 209.

Anabaa Blue (GB) 33.3% · 2–6

Progeny have won 9.3% of 1,937 runs since 2008 (227 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 12.6% from 278. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6% from 417.

Lando (GER) 33.3% · 2–6

Progeny have won 10.6% of 1,772 runs since 2008 (190 horses). Strongest on Good going: 14.2% from 431. Weakest on Heavy going: 4.8% from 168.

Stormy River (FR) 20% · 1–5

Progeny have won 9.2% of 2,232 runs since 2011 (253 horses).

Halling (USA) 25% · 1–4

Progeny have won 11% of 6,095 runs since 2008 (409 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 4.8% from 187.

Indian Rocket (GB) 0% · 0–4

Progeny have won 7.7% of 1,230 runs since 2008 (129 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 11.1% from 171. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 4.7% from 301.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 14 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 297 · newest first

The latest 50 of 297 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 1 May 2005 to 1 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

01 Nov 26 Toulouse (FR) Draco (FR)T: A Sanchez-Martin Prix Colonel NoeClass 4 · 7f · Soft · 8 ran 4th 1/1F

24 Oct 26 Compiegne (FR) Walks Like The Man (IRE)T: M Seror Prix Colonel D'englesqueville - Fegentri - Chall. De L'obst. Equinaxy20.5f · Heavy · 12 ran 10th 9/4F

23 Oct 26 Lyon-La Soie (FR) Kapetanios (FR)T: E Lacaille Prix De La RoseraieClass 4 · 9f · Standard · 10 ran 2nd 100/30F

05 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Kerdina (FR)T: A Sanchez-Martin Prix Capitaine Riquet - Handicap ChallengeClass 4 · 12.5f · Standard · 9 ran 9th 5/1

29 Sep 26 Marseille Borely (FR) Kapetanios (FR)T: E Lacaille Prix Hotel Barriere Le Royal DeauvilleClass 4 · 10f · Good To Soft · 6 ran 1st 5/4F

27 Sep 26 Craon (FR) First Creation (FR)T: C Lecrivain Prix V And B (handicap De Craon - Challenge Apgo)Class 4 · 15f · Very Soft · 10 ran 5th 3/1F

26 Sep 26 Lyon Parilly (FR) Trevor Senora (FR)T: M Seror Prix Des AmateursClass 4 · 15.5f · Soft · 9 ran 1st 6/5F

22 Sep 26 Vichy (FR) Kenzal (FR)T: F Foresi Prix De La Source De L'hopital7f · Soft · 8 ran 2nd 11/4F

21 Sep 26 Angers (FR) Vraiment Bien (FR)T: F Monnier Prix Richmond Brissac - Challenge Apgo15f · Good · 14 ran 4th 17/2

20 Sep 26 Fontainebleau (FR) Marinaleda (FR)T: Mario Baratti Prix Duc D'albuquerque - Trophee Studio Harcourt11f · Good To Soft · 5 ran 1st 10/11F

15 Sep 26 Lyon Parilly (FR) Magic Stars (FR)T: Julien Phelippon Prix Serge Maillard8f · Heavy · 11 ran 2nd 15/8F

09 Sep 26 Dieppe (FR) Lady Zaza (FR)T: M Seror Prix Paul-noel DelahoutreClass 4 · 9f · Soft · 8 ran 6th 11/4

25 Aug 26 Deauville (FR) First Creation (FR)T: C Lecrivain Prix Guy du Faur de Pibrac - Handicap Challenge - Challenge ApgoClass 4 · 12.5f · Standard · 12 ran 1st 7/2F

22 Aug 26 Deauville (FR) Saint Hellier (FR)T: P Cottier 71eme Prix Georges Courtois - Trophee Studio HarcourtClass 3 · 9.5f · Very Soft · 10 ran 6th 5/1

19 Aug 26 La Teste De Buch (FR) Becho (FR)T: Roberto-Carlos Montenegro Prix Docteur Jean-pierre PouretClass 4 · 10f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 3rd 7/2J

19 Aug 26 La Teste De Buch (FR) Morphewan (FR)T: P Cottier Prix De L'hippodrome De San SebastienClass 3 · 11f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 1st 8/11F

09 Aug 26 Le Lion-D'Angers (FR) Timballina (GER)T: Thibault Speicher Prix Pas RobinClass 4 · 12f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 7th 11/8F

01 Aug 26 Clairefontaine (FR) Pangaea (FR)T: Mme R Toudic-gourdon La Cantine Des Fanfarons-px Previthal Fegentri World Championship For Gentleman Riders Handicap4 · 11f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 8th 7/2

23 Jul 26 Vichy (FR) Windjana (FR)T: Yoann Bonnefoy Prix De Paray-le-monial - Fegentri World Chpt For Gentlemen-RidersClass 4 · 9f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 2nd 5/4F

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Mr Florent Guy's strike rate?: Mr Florent Guy has won 80 of 278 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 28.8% (as at 14 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Mr Florent Guy do best at?: Deauville (AW) by strike rate: 17 wins from 60 rides (28.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Is Mr Florent Guy in form?: Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 1 ride, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Mr Florent Guy's Fair A/E?: 1.09, from 231 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.