No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
KTB Rider Profile
Rode around 50 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 18% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.12). The edge shows sharpest with horses returning fresh: 23% off breaks of two months or more (30 runs). Rode mostly for Nicky Richards — 52% of rides in the window.
Deterministic profile computed from 103 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 6 Nov 2026
KTB at a glanceFresh horses: 23.3%Nicky Richards: 14.8% from 54Claiming: 20.8%
The read
Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a positive signal at 23.3% (n=30, Fair A/E 1.51), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 7.9% (n=38, Fair A/E 0.65). Nicky Richards supplied 52% of the rides and sits below the rider's average (14.8% vs 18.4%, A/E 0.93). The rider also read well in Chase races (23.7%, n=38) and over 2m1f – 2m4f (23.1%, n=39). The standout partner of the record was Middleton Dene (IRE) — 5 wins from 15 rides together.
Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 18.4% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
10%−8.4
n=20 · A/E 0.75 · £1 −12.25
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
9.5%−8.9
n=21 · A/E 0.63 · £1 −7.38
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
23.3%+4.9
n=30 · A/E 1.51 · £1 +13.00
When favourite
22.7%
n=22 · A/E 0.76 · £1 −6.50
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
20.8%+2.4
n=77 · A/E 1.16 · £1 −1.37
Big fields · 14+ runners
7.9%−10.5
n=38 · A/E 0.65 · £1 −19.38
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−18.4
n=6 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −6.00
Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 18.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baseline
In Chase races23.7% vs 18.4% · n=38
Over 2m1f – 2m4f23.1% vs 18.4% · n=39
In Class 422.5% vs 18.4% · n=40
With Nicky Richards14.8% vs 18.4% · n=54
When claiming20.8% vs 18.4% · n=77
On Good going16.3% vs 18.4% · n=43
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.
Record by conditions
same window as header
Race type
TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle551018.2%−11.25
Chase38923.7%+9.88
Flat500%−5.00
NH Flat500%−5.00
Going
GoingRWSR£1
Good43716.3%−4.13
Good to Soft24520.8%+5.75
Soft1500%−15.00
Good to Firm14642.9%+3.51
Heavy7114.3%−1.50
Courses
CourseRWSR£1
Kelso15213.3%−9.25
Perth1417.1%−9.00
Newcastle10330%+4.38
Cheltenham8112.5%+3.00
Musselburgh7114.3%+4.00
Sedgefield5480%+5.50
Aintree500%−5.00
Ayr500%−5.00
Market Rasen400%−4.00
Carlisle4250%+10.50
Wetherby4375%+7.50
Newbury300%−3.00
Huntingdon3133.3%+0.00
Doncaster200%−2.00
Kempton200%−2.00
Class
ClassRWSR£1
Class 440922.5%−7.87
Class 517317.6%−6.75
Class 216212.5%−0.50
Class 316425%+8.75
Class 11000%−10.00
Class 64125%+5.00
Market position
In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite24729.2%0.95−3.25
2nd–3rd fav41922%1.23−1.12
4th–6th fav20315%2.02+11.00
7th+ in betting1800%0.00−18.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.
Distance
DistanceRWSR£1
2m1f – 2m4f39923.1%+3.51
2m5f – 3m31619.4%+3.37
1m5f – 2m18211.1%−9.50
Over 3m10220%−3.75
1m2f – 1m4f500%−5.00
By season
By seasonRWSR£1
2008801518.8%−8.50
200923417.4%−2.87
Handicaps
HandicapsRWSR£1
Handicaps43614%−8.50
Field size
Field sizeRWSR£1
11-13 runners25624%+1.63
14-16 runners25312%−6.38
8-10 runners23417.4%−8.62
5-7 runners16637.5%+16.00
17+ runners1300%−13.00
2-4 runners100%−1.00
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.
All 40 horses ridden in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
By month
strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
050132228000·33140
A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".
Career highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→
50
Archived wins
£385k
Prize money
2007
Best season · 16 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Rayshan (IRE) — Totesport Lanzarote Handicap Hurdle Carlisle · Jan 2006 · Class 2
£14,198
The Whisperer (IRE) — toteplacepot Novices' Chase Newcastle · Feb 2008 · Class 2
£12,700
Bohemian Spirit (IRE) — ladbrokescasino.com Handicap Chase Sandown · Jan 2007 · Class 2
Progeny have won 10.5% of 5,617 runs since 2008 (527 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 5.1% from 138. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 4.3% from 211.
Muhtathir (GB)44.4% · 4–9
Progeny have won 11.3% of 4,719 runs since 2008 (494 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 7.9% from 967.
Oscar (IRE)0% · 0–9
Progeny have won 10.9% of 16,543 runs since 2008 (1,456 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 18.1% from 105.
Bob's Return (IRE)37.5% · 3–8
Progeny have won 8.5% of 2,268 runs since 2008 (219 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 11.8% from 254.
Supreme Leader (GB)37.5% · 3–8
Progeny have won 9.2% of 2,984 runs since 2008 (349 horses).
Chester House (USA)16.7% · 1–6
Progeny have won 11% of 218 runs since 2008 (15 horses).
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.
The record
latest 50 of 336 · newest first
The latest 50 of 336 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 3 January 2005 to 21 May 2009.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
What is Mrs R Dobbin's strike rate?
Mrs R Dobbin has won 19 of 103 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 18.4% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which yard does Mrs R Dobbin ride most for?
Nicky Richards, with 54 rides since 2008 — 52% of the total. That pairing has won 8 (14.8%).
What is Mrs R Dobbin's Fair A/E?
1.12, from 103 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Mrs R Dobbin·SR 18.4%·A/E 1.12
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