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Jockey profile

Mrs R Dobbin

103 rides in the lifetime window · 40 individual horses
As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride May 2009 95% of rides over jumps
No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
19–103
Wins / Runs
18.4%
Strike rate
n=103
47 (46%)
Placed
1.12
n=103 · 0.96 incl. margin
−11.37
£1 level stake
n=103 at SP · −11.0%
£168k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
17.4%
KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 50 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 18% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.12). The edge shows sharpest with horses returning fresh: 23% off breaks of two months or more (30 runs). Rode mostly for Nicky Richards — 52% of rides in the window.

Deterministic profile computed from 103 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 6 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 23.3% Nicky Richards: 14.8% from 54 Claiming: 20.8%
The read

Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a positive signal at 23.3% (n=30, Fair A/E 1.51), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 7.9% (n=38, Fair A/E 0.65). Nicky Richards supplied 52% of the rides and sits below the rider's average (14.8% vs 18.4%, A/E 0.93). The rider also read well in Chase races (23.7%, n=38) and over 2m1f – 2m4f (23.1%, n=39). The standout partner of the record was Middleton Dene (IRE) — 5 wins from 15 rides together.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 18.4% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
10%−8.4
n=20 · A/E 0.75 · £1 −12.25
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
9.5%−8.9
n=21 · A/E 0.63 · £1 −7.38
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
23.3%+4.9
n=30 · A/E 1.51 · £1 +13.00
When favourite
22.7%
n=22 · A/E 0.76 · £1 −6.50
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
20.8%+2.4
n=77 · A/E 1.16 · £1 −1.37
Big fields · 14+ runners
7.9%−10.5
n=38 · A/E 0.65 · £1 −19.38
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−18.4
n=6 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −6.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 18.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
In Chase races 23.7% vs 18.4% · n=38
Over 2m1f – 2m4f 23.1% vs 18.4% · n=39
In Class 4 22.5% vs 18.4% · n=40
With Nicky Richards 14.8% vs 18.4% · n=54
When claiming 20.8% vs 18.4% · n=77
On Good going 16.3% vs 18.4% · n=43
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 55 10 18.2% −11.25
Chase 38 9 23.7% +9.88
Flat 5 0 0% −5.00
NH Flat 5 0 0% −5.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 43 7 16.3% −4.13
Good to Soft 24 5 20.8% +5.75
Soft 15 0 0% −15.00
Good to Firm 14 6 42.9% +3.51
Heavy 7 1 14.3% −1.50

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Kelso 15 2 13.3% −9.25
Perth 14 1 7.1% −9.00
Newcastle 10 3 30% +4.38
Cheltenham 8 1 12.5% +3.00
Musselburgh 7 1 14.3% +4.00
Sedgefield 5 4 80% +5.50
Aintree 5 0 0% −5.00
Ayr 5 0 0% −5.00
Market Rasen 4 0 0% −4.00
Carlisle 4 2 50% +10.50
Wetherby 4 3 75% +7.50
Newbury 3 0 0% −3.00
Huntingdon 3 1 33.3% +0.00
Doncaster 2 0 0% −2.00
Kempton 2 0 0% −2.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 4 40 9 22.5% −7.87
Class 5 17 3 17.6% −6.75
Class 2 16 2 12.5% −0.50
Class 3 16 4 25% +8.75
Class 1 10 0 0% −10.00
Class 6 4 1 25% +5.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 24 7 29.2% 0.95 −3.25
2nd–3rd fav 41 9 22% 1.23 −1.12
4th–6th fav 20 3 15% 2.02 +11.00
7th+ in betting 18 0 0% 0.00 −18.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
79.6% completed · 93 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 38 65.8% 4 1 8 0 0
Hurdle 55 89.1% 1 1 4 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Mirage Dore (FR) 9 4 8 2 May 09
Guns And Butter (IRE) 9 1 5 24 Apr 09
Middleton Dene (IRE) 8 0 0 18 Apr 09
Role On (IRE) 8 3 5 17 Apr 09
Modicum (USA) 6 1 2 12 Nov 08
Oscar Honey (IRE) 5 0 1 8 Mar 09
Safari Run (IRE) 5 2 3 2 Jul 08
Von Galen (IRE) 4 0 2 23 Apr 08
Broadway Star (FR) 3 0 2 29 Dec 08
Weather Front (GB) 3 1 1 24 May 08
Manadam (FR) 3 1 2 27 Apr 08
Rayshan (IRE) 3 1 2 24 Apr 08
All 40 horses ridden in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
050132228000·33140
A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
52% of all rides
14.8% SR · A/E 0.93
TrainerRWSR£1
Nicky Richards 54 8 14.8% −9.62
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
50
Archived wins
£385k
Prize money
2007
Best season · 16 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Rayshan (IRE) — Totesport Lanzarote Handicap Hurdle Carlisle · Jan 2006 · Class 2
£14,198
The Whisperer (IRE) — toteplacepot Novices' Chase Newcastle · Feb 2008 · Class 2
£12,700
Bohemian Spirit (IRE) — ladbrokescasino.com Handicap Chase Sandown · Jan 2007 · Class 2
£12,572

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Definite Article (GB) 11.1% · 1–9
Progeny have won 10.5% of 5,617 runs since 2008 (527 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 5.1% from 138. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 4.3% from 211.
Muhtathir (GB) 44.4% · 4–9
Progeny have won 11.3% of 4,719 runs since 2008 (494 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 7.9% from 967.
Oscar (IRE) 0% · 0–9
Progeny have won 10.9% of 16,543 runs since 2008 (1,456 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 18.1% from 105.
Bob's Return (IRE) 37.5% · 3–8
Progeny have won 8.5% of 2,268 runs since 2008 (219 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 11.8% from 254.
Supreme Leader (GB) 37.5% · 3–8
Progeny have won 9.2% of 2,984 runs since 2008 (349 horses).
Chester House (USA) 16.7% · 1–6
Progeny have won 11% of 218 runs since 2008 (15 horses).
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 336 · newest first

The latest 50 of 336 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 3 January 2005 to 21 May 2009.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
20 May 09 Kelso Bohemian Spirit (IRE)T: Rose Dobbin Brown Newsagents Handicap HurdleClass 3 · 22.5f · Good · 11 ran 10th 22/1
17 Apr 09 Sedgefield Role On (IRE)T: Nicky Richards Totesport 0800 221 221 Novices' ChaseClass 4 · 19.5f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 1st 15/8
20 Mar 09 Kelso Role On (IRE)T: Nicky Richards John Smith's Novices' ChaseClass 2 · 22.5f · Good · 9 ran 4th 14/1
11 Mar 09 Cheltenham Mirage Dore (FR)T: Lucinda Russell Coral Cup Handicap Hurdle (Grade 3)Class 1 · 21f · Good To Soft · 27 ran 2nd 14/1
20 Feb 09 Musselburgh Role On (IRE)T: Nicky Richards Turftv Novices' ChaseClass 3 · 20f · Good · 5 ran 1st 10/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Mrs R Dobbin's strike rate?
Mrs R Dobbin has won 19 of 103 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 18.4% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which yard does Mrs R Dobbin ride most for?
Nicky Richards, with 54 rides since 2008 — 52% of the total. That pairing has won 8 (14.8%).
What is Mrs R Dobbin's Fair A/E?
1.12, from 103 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 6 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).