L Lungo
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sent out around 110 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 10% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.95). The edge shows sharpest with horses returning fresh: 18% off breaks of two months or more (60 runs).
The record is strongest at Ayr (18.4%, n=38), clear of the yard's 10.1% baseline. Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a positive signal at 18.3% (n=60, Fair A/E 2.10). Wilson Renwick rode 35% of the entries and edges the yard's average (12.7% vs 10.1%, A/E 1.03) — the market has that partnership priced right. The yard also read well in Chase races (25.6%, n=39) and on Heavy going (20.5%, n=44). The record read poorly on Good to Soft going — 3.3% over 60 runners, 6.8pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard over 1m5f – 2m: Fair A/E 0.53 across 81 runners (4.9% strike, −54.50 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperformed what the price implied. The stable star of the record was Skippers Brig (IRE) — 6 wins from 11 runs for the yard.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 10.1% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 10.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Jumping record
completion over obstacles · same window as headerHorses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstWhen the yard fires
strike by month, lifetimeJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 860 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 860 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 7 January 2005 to 1 July 2009.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is L Lungo's strike rate?
- L Lungo has won 23 of 228 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 10.1% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does L Lungo do best at?
- Ayr by strike rate: 7 wins from 38 runners (18.4%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Who rides most for L Lungo?
- Wilson Renwick, with 79 runners since 2008 — 35% of the total. That pairing has won 10 (12.7%).
- What is L Lungo's Fair A/E?
- 0.95, from 228 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.