Owen Lewis
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rides around 50 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 9% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.96). First rides on a horse are a strength: 10% on the first captured pairing (164 rides).
It is weakest at Wolverhampton (AW) (0% over 31 rides) — the largest sample in the record, and the widest gap. Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 4.9% (n=41, Fair A/E 0.77). First rides on a horse are the standout value angle: 10.4% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.26 and +26.13 to a £1 stake over 164 rides — a record the market has persistently underpriced. The rider also reads well off a 8-14-day break (18.8%, n=48) and on Good going (14.3%, n=49). The record reads poorly over 1m – 1m1f — 4% over 50 rides, 4.5pts below the baseline. Seasonally, the rider fires Aug–Sep.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 8.5% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerGoing
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstBy month
strike by month, 5 seasonsRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2019→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 295 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 295 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 29 March 2019 to 28 October 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
KTB’s figures
the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 6 Oct 2026: fastest on KTB Speed in 1 run (won 0) · to 6 Oct 2026.
Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.
Quick answers
- What is Owen Lewis's strike rate?
- Owen Lewis has won 21 of 246 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 8.5% (as at 11 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Owen Lewis do best at?
- Wolverhampton (AW) by strike rate: 0 wins from 31 rides (0%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- What is Owen Lewis's Fair A/E?
- 0.96, from 244 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.