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Trainer profile

Raphael E Freire

103 runners in the last 5 seasons · 40 individual horses
As at 22 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Jul 2025 100% of runners on the flat
from 1 Jan 2022
13–103
Wins / Runs
12.6%
Strike rate
n=103
35 (34%)
Placed
0.99
n=101 · 0.83 incl. margin
−28.99
£1 level stake
n=103 at SP · −28.1%
£300k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
15.1%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 20 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 13% of them — level with the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.99).

Deterministic profile computed from 103 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 22 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance David Egan: 13.6% from 66
The read

David Egan rides 64% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (13.6%, A/E 1.06) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well in Class 5 (19.4%, n=36). The record reads poorly on Good to Firm going — 9.1% over 33 runners, 3.5pts below the baseline. 2 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Betfred Flying Scotsman Stakes at Doncaster (Sep 2024, £36,862).

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 12.6% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
8%−4.6
n=25 · A/E 0.68 · £1 −18.50
New recruits · first run for the yard
4.3%−8.3
n=23 · A/E 0.47 · £1 −6.00
Debutants · first career start
23.5%+10.9
n=17 · A/E 1.39 · £1 +3.13
First-time headgear · true-first definition
28.6%+16.0
n=7 · A/E 2.62 · £1 +4.50
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
50%+37.4
n=2 · A/E 8.30 · £1 +15.00
When favourite
23.1%
n=13 · A/E 0.70 · £1 −5.87
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
0%−12.6
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
7.4%−5.2
n=27 · A/E 1.30 · £1 −14.50

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 12.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
In Class 5 19.4% vs 12.6% · n=36
On Good to Firm going 9.1% vs 12.6% · n=33
Off a 15-30-day break 9.4% vs 12.6% · n=32
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good to Firm 33 3 9.1% −20.74
Standard (AW) 24 4 16.7% +6.75
Good 23 3 13% −3.00
Soft 12 1 8.3% −7.50
Good to Soft 7 1 14.3% −3.75
Heavy 3 0 0% −3.00
Firm 1 1 100% +2.25

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Ascot 14 0 0% −14.00
Wolverhampton (AW) 7 1 14.3% −4.75
Goodwood 5 1 20% −1.00
Kempton (AW) 5 1 20% +12.00
Nottingham 4 0 0% −4.00
Newmarket 4 0 0% −4.00
Epsom Downs 4 0 0% −4.00
Brighton 4 1 25% −1.12
Doncaster 4 1 25% +4.00
Newcastle (AW) 4 0 0% −4.00
Yarmouth 4 0 0% −4.00
Southwell (AW) 3 0 0% −3.00
Newmarket 3 0 0% −3.00
Newbury 3 0 0% −3.00
Chelmsford City (AW) 3 1 33.3% +6.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 36 7 19.4% +2.26
Class 1 27 2 7.4% −14.50
Class 2 14 0 0% −14.00
Class 4 14 3 21.4% +0.25
Class 3 5 1 20% +4.00
Class 6 5 0 0% −5.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 16 4 25% 0.79 −5.62
2nd–3rd fav 21 4 19% 1.00 −6.37
4th–6th fav 38 4 10.5% 1.26 −6.00
7th+ in betting 28 1 3.6% 1.13 −11.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Li Ban (IRE)from Dominic Ffrench Davis · then Adrian Murray 7 1 3 21 Oct 24
Buenos Dias (IRE) 3 1 2 14 May 25
All 40 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 40 horses listed, 23 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Dominic Ffrench Davis (16) and George Boughey (2); 17 had their first archived run for this yard.

27 have since run for another yard, most often for Kevin Philippart De Foy (16) and Adrian Murray (2); 13 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
·02515184251491000
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderDavid Egan
64% of all rides
13.6% SR · A/E 1.06
RiderRWSR£1
David Egan 66 9 13.6% −24.24
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2022→
13
Archived wins
2
Pattern / graded wins
£300k
Prize money
2025
Best season · 8 wins
Benevento (IRE) — Betfred Flying Scotsman Stakes (Listed) Doncaster · Sep 2024 · Listed
£36,862
Tuscan Hills (FR) — British Stallion Studs EBF Silver Tankard Stakes (Listed) Pontefract · Oct 2024 · Listed
£22,684
Mr Hampstead (USA) — Download The bet365 App Handicap (GBBPlus Race) Chelmsford City (AW) · Jul 2025 · Class 3
£10,468

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Wootton Bassett (GB) 7.1% · 1–14
Progeny have won 13.1% of 5,642 runs since 2008 (788 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 16.1% from 161.
Prince Of Lir (IRE) 14.3% · 1–7
Progeny have won 8.9% of 1,372 runs since 2008 (104 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15% from 200.
Pinatubo (IRE) 33.3% · 2–6
Progeny have won 13.8% of 1,077 runs since 2008 (181 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 10.5% from 114.
Galileo (IRE) 40% · 2–5
Progeny have won 14.5% of 18,192 runs since 2008 (1,776 horses). Strongest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 18.2% from 1,383. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 9.3% from 889.
Inns Of Court (IRE) 0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 9.3% of 2,224 runs since 2008 (231 horses).
Night Of Thunder (IRE) 40% · 2–5
Progeny have won 16.3% of 5,072 runs since 2008 (562 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7% from 157.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 103 · newest first

The latest 50 of 103 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 29 July 2022 to 14 July 2025.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
14 Jul 25 Windsor Tequila (FR)J: David Egan Barbados Garrison Gold HandicapClass 5 · 10f · Good To Firm · 5 ran 5th 9/1
27 Jun 25 Newmarket Tequila (FR)J: David Egan Debenhams Fillies' HandicapClass 5 · 10f · Good To Firm · 6 ran 3rd 12/1
21 Jun 25 Ascot Benevento (IRE)J: Rossa Ryan Jersey Stakes (Group 3)Class 1 · 7f · Good To Firm · 15 ran 14th 20/1
20 Jun 25 Ascot Diablo Rojo (IRE)J: Rossa Ryan Commonwealth Cup (Group 1)Class 1 · 6f · Good To Firm · 21 ran 21st 50/1
18 Jun 25 Ascot Sovereign Spell (IRE)J: Rossa Ryan Windsor Castle Stakes (Listed)Class 1 · 5f · Good To Firm · 23 ran 13th 33/1
06 Jun 25 Epsom Downs Mr Professor (IRE)J: David Egan TrustATrader HandicapClass 2 · 8.5f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 5th 25/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Raphael E Freire's strike rate?
Raphael E Freire has won 13 of 103 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 12.6% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Who rides most for Raphael E Freire?
David Egan, with 66 runners since 2022 — 64% of the total. That pairing has won 9 (13.6%).
What is Raphael E Freire's Fair A/E?
0.99, from 101 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 22 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).