What is Paddy Vaughan's strike rate?

Paddy Vaughan has won 21 of 343 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 6.1% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Paddy Vaughan do best at?

Wolverhampton (AW) by strike rate: 5 wins from 67 rides (7.5%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Paddy Vaughan ride most for?

David O'Meara, with 121 rides since 2008 — 35% of the total. That pairing has won 7 (5.8%).

What is Paddy Vaughan's Fair A/E?

0.68, from 342 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Paddy Vaughan

343 rides in the lifetime window · 210 individual horses

As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride May 2019 94% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2014→)

No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

21–343

Wins / Runs

6.1%

Strike rate

n=343

75 (22%)

Placed

0.68

Fair A/E

n=342 · 0.58 incl. margin

−126.65

£1 level stake

n=343 at SP · −36.9%

£157k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

6.3%

KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 60 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 6% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.68). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 14% (36 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 343 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 6 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance David O'Meara: 5.8% from 121 LTO winners: 13.9% Claiming: 6.3%

The read

Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 13.9% (n=36, Fair A/E 0.76), but horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 0% (n=39, Fair A/E 0.00). The market has consistently overbet first rides on a horse: 5.2% strike, Fair A/E 0.57 and −111.45 to a £1 stake over 210 rides — those runners underperformed what the price implied. David O'Meara supplied 35% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (5.8%, A/E 0.58). The rider also read well off a 0-7-day break (15.8%, n=38) and over 1m – 1m1f (13%, n=92). The record read poorly over 1m2f – 1m4f — 0% over 49 rides, 6.1pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the rider at trips under 6f: Fair A/E 0.21 across 56 rides (1.8% strike, −43.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperformed what the price implied.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.1% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

5.2%−0.9

n=210 · A/E 0.57 · £1 −111.45

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

13.9%+7.8

n=36 · A/E 0.76 · £1 −16.40

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

0%−6.1

n=39 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −39.00

When favourite

n=25 · A/E 0.28 · £1 −21.40

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

6.3%+0.2

n=304 · A/E 0.72 · £1 −97.45

Big fields · 14+ runners

3.6%−2.5

n=56 · A/E 0.88 · £1 −17.00

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−6.1

n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

Off a 0-7-day break 15.8% vs 6.1% · n=38

Over 1m – 1m1f 13% vs 6.1% · n=92

On last-time-out winners 13.9% vs 6.1% · n=36

Over 1m2f – 1m4f 0% vs 6.1% · n=49

At trips under 6f 1.8% vs 6.1% · n=56

With Tom Dascombe 10.2% vs 6.1% · n=59

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 324 20 6.2% −111.15

Hurdle 17 1 5.9% −13.50

Chase 1 0 0% −1.00

NH Flat 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 159 14 8.8% −3.65

Good to Firm 59 4 6.8% −22.50

Good 59 2 3.4% −42.50

Soft 34 1 2.9% −26.00

Good to Soft 28 0 0% −28.00

Heavy 4 0 0% −4.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Wolverhampton (AW) 67 5 7.5% −30.70

Newcastle (AW) 40 2 5% −33.25

Southwell (AW) 24 5 20.8% +52.50

Beverley 18 1 5.6% −11.50

Doncaster 17 0 0% −17.00

Redcar 16 2 12.5% +4.00

Ayr 10 1 10% −2.00

Lingfield (AW) 10 1 10% −8.20

Chelmsford City (AW) 10 0 0% −10.00

Catterick 10 0 0% −10.00

Leicester 9 1 11.1% +1.00

Pontefract 9 0 0% −9.00

Chester 8 0 0% −8.00

Kempton (AW) 8 1 12.5% +26.00

Nottingham 8 0 0% −8.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 6 129 10 7.8% −50.15

Class 5 112 6 5.4% −48.50

Class 4 50 2 4% −17.50

Class 3 19 0 0% −19.00

Class 2 11 1 9.1% −7.00

Class 7 4 1 25% +30.00

Class 1 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 32 5 15.6% 0.59 −15.90

2nd–3rd fav 49 4 8.2% 0.52 −29.25

4th–6th fav 102 6 5.9% 0.69 −41.50

7th+ in betting 160 6 3.8% 1.00 −40.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Al Muheer (IRE) 18 4 6 21 Nov 15

Bond Bombshell (GB) 17 1 3 21 Dec 17

Mujassam (GB) 6 1 2 13 Mar 18

Rousayan (IRE) 5 1 2 7 Jul 18

Essential (GB) 5 1 2 26 Jun 18

Major Crispies (GB) 5 0 0 24 Jun 18

First Bombardment (GB) 5 0 1 29 Nov 17

Canford Belle (GB) 5 0 1 30 Mar 17

Kingscroft (IRE) 5 0 0 15 Jan 16

Steel Train (FR) 4 1 1 1 Jun 18

Ingleby Angel (IRE) 4 0 3 17 Jan 18

Molten Lava (IRE) 4 0 0 11 Aug 17

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 210 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

79149230761149

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardDavid O'Meara

35% of all rides
5.8% SR · A/E 0.58

TrainerRWSR£1

David O'Meara 121 7 5.8% −38.75

Tom Dascombe 59 6 10.2% −10.20

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2014→

Archived wins

£157k

Prize money

2017

Best season · 6 wins

Steel Train (FR) — pinnacleracing.co.uk Handicap Newcastle (AW) · Dec 2016 · Class 2

£12,602

Count Simon (IRE) — Belfast Live Hurdle Down Royal · May 2019

£10,780

Rousayan (IRE) — Collect totepool Winnings At Betfred Shops Handicap Beverley · Sep 2017 · Class 4

£7,470

Notable horses

Al Muheer (IRE) Bond Bombshell (GB) Mujassam (GB) Rousayan (IRE) Essential (GB) Steel Train (FR)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Monsieur Bond (IRE) 8.7% · 2–23

Progeny have won 8.9% of 5,981 runs since 2008 (373 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 4.4% from 158.

Diktat (GB) 22.2% · 4–18

Progeny have won 8.2% of 4,931 runs since 2008 (337 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 11.4% from 431. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 5.1% from 156.

Pastoral Pursuits (GB) 0% · 0–13

Progeny have won 9.5% of 7,219 runs since 2009 (437 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 17.4% from 109. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 1.5% from 133.

Pivotal (GB) 8.3% · 1–12

Progeny have won 13.6% of 12,789 runs since 2008 (1,019 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 7.4% from 108.

Dark Angel (IRE) 10% · 1–10

Progeny have won 11.3% of 21,941 runs since 2011 (1,596 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15% from 107.

Kyllachy (GB) 12.5% · 1–8

Progeny have won 9.9% of 13,847 runs since 2008 (800 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.8% from 468.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 343 · newest first

The latest 50 of 343 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 28 November 2014 to 27 May 2019.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

27 May 19 Ballinrobe Smiling Eliza (IRE)T: Gordon Elliott Monroe's Live John Monroe Memorial Mares Handicap Hurdle16.5f · Good To Yielding · 11 ran 9th 28/1

06 May 19 Down Royal Count Simon (IRE)T: Gordon Elliott Belfast Live Hurdle24f · Good · 7 ran 1st 5/2

01 May 19 Punchestown From Eden (USA)T: Gordon Elliott Adare Manor Opportunity Series Final Handicap Hurdle (95-123)21f · Yielding · 24 ran 17th 16/1

22 Apr 19 Cork Dia Del Sol (GB)T: Paul Nolan Race & Taste Festival May 10th & 11th Handicap Hurdle16f · Good To Yielding · 19 ran 16th 25/1

22 Apr 19 Cork Hourie (IRE)T: John W Nicholson Racing Home For Easter Maiden Hurdle24f · Good To Yielding · 19 ran PU 125/1

21 Apr 19 Cork Eagle Roque (FR)T: Paul Nolan Munster Waste Management Handicap Hurdle (80-116)24f · Good To Yielding · 16 ran 8th 33/1

21 Apr 19 Cork Each Way (FR)T: Paul Nolan O'Flynn Motors Mallow Mares Maiden Hurdle19f · Good To Yielding · 19 ran 11th 28/1

12 Apr 19 Ballinrobe Wild Desire (IRE)T: Paul Nolan Killeen Sportsgrounds Handicap Hurdle (80-95)17.5f · Good · 16 ran 4th 16/1

05 Apr 19 Wexford Mangan Julia (IRE)T: Miss Lillian E A Doyle Slaney Estuary Handicap Hurdle (80-95)16f · Yielding · 13 ran UR 66/1

05 Apr 19 Wexford Each Way (FR)T: Paul Nolan Springtime In Wexford Maiden Hurdle (Div 2)20f · Yielding · 14 ran 8th 66/1

23 Mar 19 Thurles Yendo (IRE)T: Gordon Elliott Adare Manor Opportunity Maiden Hurdle16f · Good · 18 ran 11th 16/1

02 Mar 19 Navan Seekamist (IRE)T: Gordon Elliott Coral 100K Cash Cheltenham Smart Money Series Maiden Hurdle16f · Yielding · 20 ran 8th 66/1

25 Feb 19 Ayr Arion Sky (IRE)T: Gordon Elliott Follow racingtv On Twitter Standard NH Flat Race (Conditionals And Amateurs)Class 5 · 16f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 6th 5/1

24 Jan 19 Gowran Park Skeaping (GB)T: Gordon Elliott Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Hurdle (80-123)20f · Soft · 19 ran PU 50/1

19 Jan 19 Navan Monkshood (IRE)T: Gordon Elliott Navan Handicap Hurdle (Grade B)20f · Yielding · 13 ran 10th 25/1

06 Jan 19 Naas Viscount Wilson (GB)T: Gordon Elliott Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Hurdle (80-109)16f · Good · 19 ran 12th 25/1

29 Dec 18 Leopardstown Presenting Julio (IRE)T: Gordon Elliott Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Chase (0-123)21f · Good · 11 ran UR 8/1

26 Dec 18 Down Royal Jeremys Dream (IRE)T: Gordon Elliott Connolly's RED MILLS Irish EBF Auction Maiden Hurdle16.5f · Yielding · 11 ran 4th 16/1

16 Dec 18 Navan Ball D'arc (FR)T: Gordon Elliott Tara Handicap Hurdle (Grade B)20f · Yielding · 20 ran 16th 20/1

24 Sep 18 Newcastle (AW) Archipeligo (GB)T: Iain Jardine Phil Eadon Allancia HandicapClass 6 · 10f · Standard · 12 ran 7th 12/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Paddy Vaughan's strike rate?: Paddy Vaughan has won 21 of 343 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 6.1% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Paddy Vaughan do best at?: Wolverhampton (AW) by strike rate: 5 wins from 67 rides (7.5%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Paddy Vaughan ride most for?: David O'Meara, with 121 rides since 2008 — 35% of the total. That pairing has won 7 (5.8%).
What is Paddy Vaughan's Fair A/E?: 0.68, from 342 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.