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Jockey profile

Robbie Dolan

105 rides in the lifetime window · 78 individual horses
As at 14 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride 140 days ago 100% of rides on the flat
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
6–105
Wins / Runs
5.7%
Strike rate
n=105
20 (19%)
Placed
0.93
n=105 · 0.75 incl. margin
−48.25
£1 level stake
n=105 at SP · −46.0%
£101k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 10 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 6% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.93).

Deterministic profile computed from 105 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 14 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance First rides: 6.4%

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 5.7% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
6.4%+0.7
n=78 · A/E 1.21 · £1 −28.75
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
0%−5.7
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
7.1%+1.4
n=14 · A/E 1.51 · £1 −5.00
When favourite
25%
n=4 · A/E 1.09 · £1 −0.25
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
5.1%−0.6
n=98 · A/E 0.90 · £1 −45.00
Big fields · 14+ runners
4%−1.7
n=50 · A/E 0.84 · £1 −16.50
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−5.7
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With Adrian Paul Keatley 13.3% vs 5.7% · n=30
Over 1m2f – 1m4f 8.6% vs 5.7% · n=35
On first rides for the horse 6.4% vs 5.7% · n=78 · A/E 1.21
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 26 2 7.7% +7.50
Soft 23 1 4.3% −17.50
Standard (AW) 21 0 0% −21.00
Good to Firm 16 2 12.5% −3.25
Good to Soft 15 1 6.7% −10.00
Heavy 4 0 0% −4.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Dundalk (AW) 21 0 0% −21.00
Naas 11 0 0% −11.00
Curragh 9 0 0% −9.00
Ayr 8 2 25% +6.00
Gowran Park 8 1 12.5% +18.00
Navan 7 0 0% −7.00
Ascot 5 1 20% −1.25
Fairyhouse 5 0 0% −5.00
Leopardstown 4 0 0% −4.00
Tipperary 4 0 0% −4.00
Limerick 3 0 0% −3.00
Killarney 3 0 0% −3.00
Roscommon 3 1 33.3% +4.50
Bellewstown 3 0 0% −3.00
Cork 3 0 0% −3.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 6 5 1 20% +0.00
Class 2 4 1 25% −0.25
Class 5 3 1 33.3% +6.00
Class 1 1 0 0% −1.00
Class 3 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 5 1 20% 0.93 −1.25
2nd–3rd fav 12 3 25% 1.82 +6.00
4th–6th fav 19 1 5.3% 0.72 −10.00
7th+ in betting 69 1 1.4% 0.43 −43.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Lady Ranger (IRE) 6 1 3 10 Aug 15
Forcefull (IRE) 4 0 0 6 Aug 16
Maudlin Magdalen (IRE) 3 0 0 14 Aug 16
Anonymous Lady (IRE) 3 0 0 14 Aug 16
Mrs Conn (IRE) 3 0 1 13 Aug 16
Belclare Boy (IRE) 3 0 2 10 Aug 16
Pat Harkin (IRE) 3 0 1 23 Jul 16
Enough Is Enough (IRE) 3 1 1 30 Jun 16
Elusive Gent (IRE) 3 0 1 10 Aug 15
Roryslittlesister (IRE) 2 0 0 20 Aug 16
Cassis Sunset (IRE) 2 0 0 2 Aug 16
Seader (USA) 2 0 0 20 Nov 15
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 78 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
000202017030000
A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
29% of all rides
13.3% SR · A/E 1.45
TrainerRWSR£1
Adrian Paul Keatley 30 4 13.3% −3.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2015→
6
Archived wins
£101k
Prize money
2016
Best season · 4 wins
Night Breeze (IRE) — Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Challenge (Handicap) (GBBPlus Race) Ascot · Aug 2025 · Class 2
£39,344
Northern Sky (IRE) — Audi Sligo Apprentice Handicap (45-65) Sligo · Jun 2016
£5,843
Enough Is Enough (IRE) — Family Fun Day June 19th Apprentice Handicap (45-65) Gowran Park · Jun 2016
£5,843

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Bushranger (IRE) 12.5% · 1–8
Progeny have won 7.7% of 4,449 runs since 2013 (300 horses).
Big Bad Bob (IRE) 20% · 1–5
Progeny have won 8.8% of 4,568 runs since 2009 (314 horses).
Captain Rio (GB) 0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 9.5% of 6,912 runs since 2008 (423 horses).
Thousand Words (GB) 0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 6.7% of 932 runs since 2012 (68 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 10.2% from 226. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 12% from 133.
Dylan Thomas (IRE) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 10.5% of 7,497 runs since 2011 (533 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 17.7% from 192.
Ad Valorem (USA) 0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 9.1% of 1,585 runs since 2010 (101 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 12.3% from 618. Weakest on Good to Firm going: 5.2% from 248.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 14 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 105 · newest first

The latest 50 of 105 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 18 April 2015 to 27 June 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
08 Aug 16 Ayr Buzz Boy (ITY)T: Adrian Paul Keatley Racing UK HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 5th 6/1
06 Aug 16 Ayr Forcefull (IRE)T: Adrian Paul Keatley QTS Group HandicapClass 5 · 10f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 8th 3/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Robbie Dolan's strike rate?
Robbie Dolan has won 6 of 105 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 5.7% (as at 14 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Robbie Dolan's Fair A/E?
0.93, from 105 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 14 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).