Robyn Brisland
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sends out around 110 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 8% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.04).
It is weakest at Chepstow (0% over 31 runners) — the widest gap in the record. The market has consistently overbet runners with a claiming rider up: 6.9% strike, Fair A/E 0.83 and −64.25 to a £1 stake over 131 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. The yard also reads well at trips under 6f (14.1%, n=99) and off a 0-7-day break (14.3%, n=35). The market has also underrated the yard on Good going: Fair A/E 1.37 across 55 runners (12.7% strike, +32.75 to a £1 stake). The record reads poorly over 1m2f – 1m4f — 1.6% over 64 runners, 6.5pts below the baseline. The stable star of the record: Compass Point (GB) — 6 wins from 49 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Jul–Sep.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 8.1% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstWhen the yard fires
strike by month, 5 seasonsJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2016→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 1,761 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 1,761 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 2 January 2016 to 29 January 2024.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Robyn Brisland's strike rate?
- Robyn Brisland has won 46 of 568 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 8.1% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Robyn Brisland do best at?
- Wolverhampton (AW) by strike rate: 7 wins from 83 runners (8.4%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- What is Robyn Brisland's Fair A/E?
- 1.04, from 561 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.