Ryan Sexton
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rides around 80 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 10% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.98).
The record is strongest at Musselburgh (17.4%, n=46) and Beverley (16.7%, n=66) — all clear of the rider's 9.8% baseline. It is weakest at Hamilton (2% over 50 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 5.1% (n=214, Fair A/E 0.90). The market has consistently overbet rides on last-time-out winners: 9.4% strike, Fair A/E 0.60 and −84.21 to a £1 stake over 138 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. Julie Camacho supplies 38% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (9%, A/E 1.01) — the market has that partnership priced right. The record reads poorly in Class 2 — 3.7% over 107 rides, 6.1pts below the baseline. One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Virgin Bet Foundation Stakes at Goodwood (Sep 2025, £34,026). Seasonally, the rider fires Feb–Apr.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 9.8% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 9.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerGoing
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
Small sampleBy month
strike by month, lifetimeRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2020→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 1,585 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 1,585 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 17 July 2020 to 6 November 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
KTB’s figures
the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 19 Oct 2026: top-rated on KTB Rating in 1 run (won 1) · fastest on KTB Speed in 1 run (won 0) · to 29 Oct 2026.
Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.
Quick answers
- What is Ryan Sexton's strike rate?
- Ryan Sexton has won 155 of 1,585 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 9.8% (as at 12 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Ryan Sexton do best at?
- Musselburgh by strike rate: 8 wins from 46 rides (17.4%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does Ryan Sexton ride most for?
- Julie Camacho, with 602 rides since 2008 — 38% of the total. That pairing has won 54 (9%).
- Is Ryan Sexton in form?
- Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 10 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
- What is Ryan Sexton's Fair A/E?
- 0.98, from 1,572 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.