What is Sean McDermott's strike rate?

Sean McDermott has won 55 of 1,324 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 4.2% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Sean McDermott do best at?

Downpatrick by strike rate: 4 wins from 48 rides (8.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Sean McDermott ride most for?

J F O'Shea, with 217 rides since 2008 — 16% of the total. That pairing has won 21 (9.7%).

What is Sean McDermott's Fair A/E?

1.02, from 1,324 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Sean McDermott

1,324 rides in the lifetime window · 711 individual horses

As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride Feb 2020 100% of rides over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

55–1,324

Wins / Runs

4.2%

Strike rate

n=1,324

154 (12%)

Placed

1.02

Fair A/E

n=1,324 · 0.77 incl. margin

−629.40

£1 level stake

n=1,324 at SP · −47.5%

£660k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 100 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 4% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.02). When claiming the record reads 6% (98 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,324 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 6 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fired Feb–Mar Fresh horses: 5.6% J F O'Shea: 9.7% from 217 Claiming: 6.1%

The read

The record is strongest at Wexford (9.3%, n=43) and Downpatrick (8.3%, n=48) — all clear of the rider's 4.2% baseline. It is weakest at Punchestown (1.1% over 89 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Horses returning fresh after 61+ days are the standout value angle: 5.6% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.67 and +6.00 to a £1 stake over 306 rides — a record the market has persistently underpriced. The market has consistently overbet first rides on a horse: 2.5% strike, Fair A/E 0.85 and −429.00 to a £1 stake over 693 rides — those runners underperformed what the price implied. J F O'Shea supplied 16% of the rides and beats the rider's average (9.7% vs 4.2%, A/E 1.37) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also read well off a 61-180-day break (8%, n=174) and on Good to Firm going (8.2%, n=134). 2 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the ISF EBF Lombardstown Mares Novice Chase at Cork (Dec 2006, £26,040). The standout partner of the record was Gudnis Gracious Me (IRE) — 6 wins from 37 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fired Feb–Mar.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 4.2% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

2.5%−1.7

n=693 · A/E 0.85 · £1 −429.00

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

5.7%+1.5

n=53 · A/E 0.54 · £1 −34.70

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

5.6%+1.4

n=306 · A/E 1.67 · £1 +6.00

When favourite

57.1%

n=14 · A/E 1.98 · £1 +5.98

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

6.1%+1.9

n=98 · A/E 1.83 · £1 −3.00

Big fields · 14+ runners

3.5%−0.7

n=978 · A/E 1.03 · £1 −476.25

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

2.3%−1.9

n=43 · A/E 0.53 · £1 −32.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 4.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With J F O'Shea 9.7% vs 4.2% · n=217

Off a 61-180-day break 8% vs 4.2% · n=174

On Good to Firm going 8.2% vs 4.2% · n=134

At Wexford 9.3% vs 4.2% · n=43

At Downpatrick 8.3% vs 4.2% · n=48

At Punchestown 1.1% vs 4.2% · n=89

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 1,053 42 4% −504.78

Chase 271 13 4.8% −124.62

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Soft 423 15 3.5% −222.50

Heavy 344 12 3.5% −215.95

Good 292 10 3.4% −163.88

Good to Firm 134 11 8.2% +7.18

Good to Soft 102 5 4.9% −31.25

Firm 29 2 6.9% −3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Limerick 150 5 3.3% −90.50

Cork 97 4 4.1% −52.25

Clonmel 97 4 4.1% −18.12

Punchestown 89 1 1.1% −87.33

Gowran Park 84 2 2.4% −72.38

Thurles 74 3 4.1% −40.50

Tramore 66 1 1.5% −63.62

Fairyhouse 61 3 4.9% −16.00

Kilbeggan 58 2 3.4% −47.00

Navan 52 1 1.9% −35.00

Downpatrick 48 4 8.3% −1.70

Naas 48 2 4.2% −22.00

Listowel 47 3 6.4% −21.00

Killarney 45 3 6.7% +19.00

Ballinrobe 44 1 2.3% −36.50

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 43 1 2.3% −32.00

Class 4 4 0 0% −4.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 20 9 45% 1.78 +4.48

2nd–3rd fav 84 10 11.9% 0.91 −12.38

4th–6th fav 223 15 6.7% 1.15 −39.50

7th+ in betting 997 21 2.1% 0.86 −582.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

86.3% completed · 1,324 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 271 81.2% 18 8 25 0 0

Hurdle 1,053 87.6% 21 4 101 3 2

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Gudnis Gracious Me (IRE) 37 6 17 10 Nov 13

Moonlight Sapphire (GB) 25 3 6 8 Oct 13

Novarov (GER) 18 3 8 3 Aug 13

Leblon (IRE) 15 3 6 1 Nov 12

Galloping Gander (IRE) 14 1 5 28 Oct 12

Raheenwood (IRE) 13 1 4 9 Jul 13

Letterlee Star (IRE) 12 1 3 27 Dec 09

Back In A Tic (IRE) 11 2 2 27 Dec 13

Kilbane River (IRE) 11 1 4 20 Oct 11

She Be Fine (IRE) 10 1 3 28 Aug 14

Carnbridge (IRE) 9 0 2 27 Dec 09

Corlaan (IRE) 9 1 3 4 Jun 09

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 711 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 4 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

065374555125

A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardJ F O'Shea

16% of all rides
9.7% SR · A/E 1.37

TrainerRWSR£1

J F O'Shea 217 21 9.7% −39.90

Thomas Cooper 71 4 5.6% +3.00

John Joseph Hanlon 55 3 5.5% −20.00

Colin Kidd 48 3 6.3% +10.00

R Donohoe 44 1 2.3% −27.00

Michael J McDonagh 39 1 2.6% −18.00

P A Fahy 35 1 2.9% −22.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£923k

Prize money

2009

Best season · 10 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Lala Nova (IRE) — ISF EBF Lombardstown Mares Novice Chase (Listed) Cork · Dec 2006 · Listed

£26,040

Back In A Tic (IRE) — I.t.b.a. Fillies Scheme Novice Hurdle Fairyhouse · Feb 2012

£19,500

Back In A Tic (IRE) — Copper Face Jacks Supporting Kildare GAA Brown Lad Handicap Hurdle (Grade C) Naas · Oct 2012 · Grade C

£17,875

Notable horses

Gudnis Gracious Me (IRE) Moonlight Sapphire (GB) Novarov (GER) Leblon (IRE) Back In A Tic (IRE) Havetoavit (USA)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Flemensfirth (USA) 9.3% · 4–43

Progeny have won 11.9% of 17,288 runs since 2008 (1,595 horses).

Mull Of Kintyre (USA) 15.8% · 6–38

Progeny have won 9% of 2,100 runs since 2008 (160 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 12.2% from 409. Weakest on Soft going: 4.6% from 306.

Beneficial (GB) 0% · 0–33

Progeny have won 10.4% of 17,046 runs since 2008 (1,155 horses).

Milan (GB) 6.1% · 2–33

Progeny have won 11.3% of 16,876 runs since 2008 (1,463 horses).

High Chaparral (IRE) 13.8% · 4–29

Progeny have won 10.3% of 8,730 runs since 2008 (682 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 6.2% from 419.

Old Vic (GB) 4% · 1–25

Progeny have won 11.7% of 6,916 runs since 2008 (630 horses).

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,874 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,874 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 6 January 2005 to 23 February 2020.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

23 Feb 20 Naas Balthar Boy (IRE)T: Eamon Courtney Naas Nursery Of Champions Maiden Hurdle16f · Soft To Heavy · 20 ran 19th 100/1

22 Feb 20 Fairyhouse Quantatmental (IRE)T: Gavin Cromwell Irish Stallion Farms EBF Beginners Chase17.5f · Heavy · 11 ran 6th 10/1

19 Feb 20 Punchestown Robindevidastar (IRE)T: Steven E Ryder Final Festival Ticket Deal Ends Soon Maiden Hurdle16.5f · Heavy · 16 ran 8th 66/1

19 Feb 20 Punchestown Da Big Fella (IRE)T: Eamon Courtney I.N.H. Stallion Owners EBF Maiden Hurdle20f · Heavy · 16 ran 10th 50/1

16 Feb 20 Navan Jimmil (IRE)T: Gavin Cromwell Come Racing 29th February Handicap Chase24f · Heavy · 11 ran UR 8/1

01 Jan 20 Fairyhouse Howaya Aoife (IRE)T: Gerard Keane Fairyhouse Launches New Brand In 2020 Handicap Hurdle (80-109)24f · Yielding · 15 ran F 6/1

01 Jan 20 Fairyhouse Enjoy D'allen (FR)T: Peter Fahey Happy New Year From All At Fairyhouse Maiden Hurdle20f · Yielding · 19 ran 6th 40/1

28 Dec 19 Limerick Stormy Judge (IRE)T: P A Fahy Cube Printing Handicap Hurdle24f · Heavy · 13 ran 2nd 11/1

27 Dec 19 Leopardstown Class Conti (FR)T: W P Mullins Paddy Power Chase (Extended Handicap Chase) (0-150) (Grade B)24f · Soft · 27 ran F 50/1

27 Dec 19 Leopardstown Ejayteekay (GB)T: Gavin Cromwell Paddy Power Games 'Don't Think You're Special' Handicap Hurdle16f · Soft · 25 ran 21st 50/1

27 Dec 19 Leopardstown Pretty Fantasy (IRE)T: Gavin Cromwell Paddy Power 'Only 364 Days Till Christmas' 3-Y-O Maiden Hurdle16f · Soft · 22 ran 13th 100/1

26 Dec 19 Limerick Tongie (IRE)T: P A Fahy Mr. Binman Handicap Chase17.5f · Heavy · 9 ran 4th 20/1

26 Dec 19 Limerick Awayinthewest (IRE)T: P A Fahy O'Kelly Brothers Demolition Mares Handicap Hurdle20f · Heavy · 13 ran 4th 25/1

09 Mar 19 Gowran Park Bronson In Blue (IRE)T: Gavin Cromwell BetVictor Maiden Hurdle16f · Soft · 19 ran 10th 100/1

09 Mar 19 Gowran Park Zoffalee (FR)T: Andrew McNamara Philip Ireland Tyres Maiden Hurdle16f · Soft · 20 ran 11th 66/1

04 Mar 19 Leopardstown Top Of The Charts (FR)T: Gavin Cromwell Leopardstown Membership Beginners Chase21.5f · Soft · 9 ran 4th 20/1

04 Mar 19 Leopardstown Emily Square (IRE)T: Thomas Mullins TRI Equestrian Handicap Hurdle (80-109)24f · Soft · 13 ran 10th 16/1

04 Mar 19 Leopardstown Big Tree (IRE)T: Thomas Mullins Connolly's RED MILLS Irish EBF Auction Novice Hurdle16f · Soft · 7 ran 6th 66/1

02 Mar 19 Navan Bercasa (IRE)T: Thomas Mullins Coral 100K Cash Cheltenham Smart Money Series Maiden Hurdle16f · Yielding · 20 ran 3rd 50/1

28 Feb 19 Clonmel State Of Cognac (IRE)T: Ross O'Sullivan Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden Hurdle19f · Good · 16 ran 5th 11/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Sean McDermott's strike rate?: Sean McDermott has won 55 of 1,324 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 4.2% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Sean McDermott do best at?: Downpatrick by strike rate: 4 wins from 48 rides (8.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Sean McDermott ride most for?: J F O'Shea, with 217 rides since 2008 — 16% of the total. That pairing has won 21 (9.7%).
What is Sean McDermott's Fair A/E?: 1.02, from 1,324 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.