2:32 Listowel
The 2:32 at Listowel is a 16-runner Connolly's RED MILLS Irish EBF Auction & Median Maiden Hurdle over 2m on yielding ground. A competitive field mixes debutants, lightly raced types and horses with placed form under rules, though the KTB Fit scores suggest a modest overall standard with the top horse rated just 62. The numbers point to a race that could be decided by how the strong pace unfolds, with several hold-up performers in the line-up.
How the race shapes up
A strong pace is anticipated with at least two habitual front-runners present, including Tell The Boys and Kingston Silver, who tend to make the running or race prominently. This sets up a test where the pace could collapse late, favouring those with a held-up style who can produce their effort from off the speed. The key question is whether the prominent runners can dictate matters or if the race will fall into the hands of the patient hold-up brigade, several of whom are among the principals.
The KTB Fit ranking
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1Carleys Lilly KTB Selection62/100
Carleys Lilly is a useful mare who has shown consistent form this year without winning. She drops back to 2m having been placed at the trip on her only previous attempt and holds solid recent ratings. The trainer has a 9% strike rate at Listowel from 173 runs while the 5 lb claimer is yet to record a winner from his rides here. Usually held up and producing her effort late, she is well suited by the expected strong pace that could collapse. Recent form figures of 493547 underline her reliability at this level. Overall she emerges as the one to beat on the supplied figures.
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2Gold Star Status50/100
Gold Star Status is a debutant with very little public form on which to judge him. The pedigree and sales background offer the main clues here, though the low data confidence means any read is tentative at best. Oliver McKiernan has a solid 11% strike rate from 36 runs at Listowel while Phillip Enright takes the ride. Recent form is limited to 4/P31- and he has no course form on record. By Jet Away, he has an 11% overall win rate attached to that sire line from 2456 runners. He will need to improve markedly on anything seen so far to play a major role.
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3Awordinyourear50/100
Awordinyourear is a lightly raced 5yo with just two runs on the board and both were poor. He steps up markedly in trip today having shown nothing at shorter. The trainer has a solid 14% strike rate at Listowel from 74 runs but the small amount of evidence here is not encouraging. Usually held up and producing his effort late, he fits the profile that could be favoured if the strong pace collapses. Recent form figures of 90- offer little encouragement. The going remains unproven as he has had no runs on yielding.
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4Give It A Crack49/100
Give It A Crack is trained by Henry de Bromhead who has a solid 15% strike rate at Listowel from 276 runs. This debutant is a half-brother to useful winners and was bought for 72,000 euros as a three-year-old, but he has been off the track since two placed efforts in Irish points in 2023. With low data confidence and no recent racecourse form, his ability remains unproven under rules. By Harzand, he carries a 13% overall win rate for that sire from 1106 runners. He will need the run to be of value here.
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5Coolishael48/100
Coolishael has shown consistent placed form in three starts this year, finishing no worse than third, though the small sample means the level of ability is still unclear. He drops back from 2m2½f to a trip where he has been placed both runs without winning, while first-time headgear is now applied. The trainer has an 8% strike rate from 63 runs at Listowel. Usually held up and producing his effort late, he should be suited by the strong pace expected. Recent form figures of 43-323 show steady if unspectacular progress. The going remains unproven on yielding.
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6Rokanako47/100
Rokanako has shown useful form when placed in two of his last three starts and won over this trip earlier in the season. He drops back from 2m3f today which looks a sensible move on recent efforts. The trainer has only three runs at Listowel so that side remains unknown while the small overall sample means everything here has to be treated with caution. Usually held up and producing his effort late, recent form of 0-1422 is respectable.
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7Bethpage Theatre46/100
Bethpage Theatre is a fair performer who has failed to complete in two of his four starts and showed little in his latest pair. He was well held when ninth on his only previous visit to Listowel and is now dropping back in trip having been tried over further last time. The trainer has an 11% strike rate from 105 runs at the track while Sam Ewing is making his first appearance here. Recent form of F96P highlights his inconsistency.
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8Tell The Boys45/100
Tell The Boys has won both starts at this track including a recent success here over further. He drops back to 2m having won at the trip before and the recent form figures show useful placed efforts mixed with a fall and an unseating. The trainer strikes at 9% here from 45 runs. Tending to make the running or race on the pace, he is one of the horses likely to ensure the strong pace.
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9Kingston Silver44/100
Kingston Silver has shown very little in three starts to date, finishing well beaten on each occasion including when 11th on his only visit to Listowel. The yard's record at this track is modest with no winners from 11 runners. With such a small sample of form the trip question remains open while the going remains unknown. Tending to make the running or race on the pace, he will help set the strong pace.
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10Misterous Flechois44/100
Misterous Flechois is a debutant with very little public form to go on. The yard has a modest 8% strike rate from 63 runs at Listowel. Pedigree and sales background will have to carry the assessment here given the low data confidence. By Barastraight, he has a 12% overall win rate attached to that sire line from 327 runners.
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11Of Land And Sea44/100
Of Land And Sea drops back to the trip where he has already won one of his five starts. Recent form of 45100- shows a win mixed with some lesser efforts, but the small overall sample means we are still guessing about his true level. The trainer has only two runs at Listowel so far while the going remains an unknown on this lightly-raced profile. Usually held up and producing his effort late.
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12Walkineezy44/100
Walkineezy has shown very little in two starts so far, finishing tailed off on both occasions. The drop back to 2m is unlikely to unlock major improvement on what has been seen. The trainer has a modest 6% strike rate at Listowel from a large sample. Recent form figures of 60 offer little to go on.
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13Deeter42/100
Deeter has shown very little so far with a pulled-up effort and two modest finishes from three starts. The drop back to 2m is a slight question mark after his latest run just over that distance yet he has already tried this trip twice without any success. The trainer operates at a 7% strike rate from 196 runs at Listowel while the jockey has limited experience here. Usually held up with limited evidence.
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14Its A Vibe41/100
Its A Vibe is a newcomer with no racecourse experience. The yard's modest 4% strike rate from 114 runs at Listowel offers little encouragement for a debutant. Pedigree and sales background are the only available pointers yet the low data confidence means any assessment remains tentative. By Affinisea, he has a 13% overall win rate attached to that sire line from 1217 runners.
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15Galway Star40/100
Galway Star is a debutant with no racecourse experience. The yard has a modest 7% strike rate at Listowel from a large sample of 196 runs. Pedigree and sales background will need to be taken on trust given the low data confidence. By Dartmouth, he has a 10% overall win rate attached to that sire line from 486 runners.
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16Le Vent d'Ex40/100
Le Vent d'Ex is a lightly raced 5-year-old with very limited form and just three career runs. Recent efforts have been poor and the small sample makes any firm conclusions risky. He drops back to 2m today having failed to make an impact at the trip last time. Usually held up and producing his effort late, the trainer has a 0% strike rate at Listowel from one run.
KTB verdict
Carleys Lilly is the KTB Selection. She has shown consistent form this year without winning yet drops back to 2m where she has been placed on her only previous attempt and holds solid recent ratings. The trainer's 9% strike rate at Listowel from 173 runs and the claimer's record at the track add further context, while her held-up style should be perfectly suited if the strong pace collapses late as expected. Her main dangers are the placed performers Rokanako and Coolishael, along with the debutant Give It A Crack who brings significant potential on pedigree and point form for a top yard.
KTB Selection Carleys Lilly
This is the narrative read of the 2:32 Listowel. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Listowel racecard. Every result we hold for the track is on the Listowel results & records page. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse is best suited by the expected strong pace?
Carleys Lilly, who is usually held up and produces her effort late with high confidence in that run-style.
How many habitual front-runners are likely to ensure a strong pace?
Two or more, including Tell The Boys and Kingston Silver who both tend to make the running or race on the pace.
Which trainer has the strongest strike rate at Listowel among those with the largest sample?
Henry de Bromhead with a 15% strike rate from 276 runs.
Which principal has first-time headgear applied?
Coolishael.
On which trip has Carleys Lilly been placed on her only previous attempt?
2m.
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