4:00 Listowel
The 4:00 at Listowel is a 16-runner Guinness Mares Handicap Hurdle over 2m6f on good ground. The KTB Fit scores are tightly bunched across the top half of the field, with five principals rated between 56 and 60, pointing to a competitive contest where consistency, track records and the ability to handle the prevailing surface will be key. Run For The Border heads the KTB rankings and is named the selection.
How the race shapes up
With no obvious front-runner in a muddling, tactical pace shape, the race is likely to be run at a steady tempo with several horses settling close to the pace. Prominent racers such as Pretty Wild and Fire Coral should find themselves well positioned early, while the many held-up types including the selection Run For The Border, Pure Logic and most of the field will look to produce their efforts from mid-division or further back. The key question is whether the race falls apart tactically or if those ridden handily can dictate matters to the line.
The KTB Fit ranking
-
1Run For The Border KTB Selection60/100
Run For The Border is a useful performer who has been consistent this year with a string of placed efforts including two at today's trip. Connections have a solid record at Listowel and the jockey's strike-rate here is above average. Only negative is that he has never managed to win on good ground from eight attempts. Usually held up and producing his effort late, he should be suited by the muddling, tactical pace shape. The trainer's 9% strike rate at Listowel from 175 runs and the jockey's 15% strike rate from 13 rides at the track are both positives. Recent form figures of 324302 underline his reliability at this level.
-
2Pretty Wild59/100
Pretty Wild is a useful sort who has shown steady improvement across three runs, finishing a respectable third last time. She now steps up in trip as a fresh question while still lightly raced. The trainer holds a solid 10% strike rate at Listowel from plenty of runners but the jockey has only two rides here so far. Usually races handily, on or close to the lead, she could be well placed in a race lacking an obvious front-runner. Her two runs on good ground have produced no win or place. Recent form figures of 953 show gradual progress.
-
3Its Not Over Yet58/100
Its Not Over Yet is a useful performer who has run to form on his last three starts including a placing here over further. He drops back in trip today having been placed without winning at this distance previously. Trainer has a solid record at Listowel but the jockeys figures at the track are poor. Typically settling in midfield, he should be well positioned in a muddling tactical affair. He has seven runs on good ground without a win or place and has been placed once from one run at Listowel. Recent form figures of 45-383 confirm his consistency.
-
4Fire Coral57/100
Fire Coral is a useful performer who has run three times at Listowel without placing. He drops back from 3m to a trip where he has won once from four starts, though his record on good ground is modest with just one win from eleven runs. Trainer and jockey both have established but below-average records at the track. Usually races handily, on or close to the lead, he could be prominent in a race without a clear pace-setter. He has course form of 5th, 9th and 12th from three runs. Recent form figures of 5-P383 show mixed results.
-
5Pure Logic56/100
Pure Logic is a useful performer who has shown enough in recent runs to suggest he can be competitive here. He has placed at this track before and handles good ground, though the step up to 2m6f is an unknown. Trainer has a modest 6% strike rate at Listowel from a large sample while the jockey is still seeking his first winner at the course from 16 rides. Usually held up and producing his effort late, he should be suited by the tactical nature of the race. Course form reads 6th and 2nd from two runs. Recent form figures of 36P312 highlight his competitiveness.
-
6Moonshine Girl53/100
Moonshine Girl is a useful performer with a solid recent record that includes a win and several placed efforts. She has won at today's trip though she is dropping back from 2m6½f, while her four places from 14 starts on good ground show she handles the surface without being an out-and-out specialist. The trainer holds a 6% strike rate from 78 runs at Listowel and the jockey is operating at 19% from 16 rides here. Usually held up, recent form figures of 722401.
-
7Leading Endeavour53/100
Leading Endeavour is a fair performer who has shown some ability without winning in six starts. He drops back from 3m to a trip where he has already been placed, though first-time headgear is now applied after a break. Trainer's modest 6% strike rate at Listowel is offset by the jockey's strong 22% record at the track. Usually held up, recent form figures of 593/5-.
-
8Madam Elle53/100
Madam Elle is a fair mare who has struggled to make an impact so far, finishing no better than seventh in six starts. She steps up in trip to 2m6f today for the first time, which asks a fresh question of her stamina. The trainer has a 7% strike rate from 14 runs at Listowel while the jockey is still seeking a first winner from 17 rides here. Usually held up, recent form figures of 0070-7.
-
9Isdistheone51/100
Isdistheone has shown fair form of late with two placed efforts this year and holds solid ratings for this level. He has no joy from one run at Listowel and is 0-2 on good ground so both track and conditions raise a question. The step up to 2m6f is an unknown while the trainer holds an 11% strike-rate here from 47 runs. Usually held up, recent form figures of 756-03.
-
10Rumble Demosa49/100
Rumble Demosa has shown little in three starts so far with a recent form of 770. He is a useful type on the class read and remains lightly raced with scope to improve as he steps up in trip to 2m6f today. The yard has a 9% strike rate from 80 runs at Listowel. Usually held up.
-
11Strong Contender48/100
Strong Contender is a useful performer who has shown his best form on good ground, winning twice from three starts. He drops back to a trip where he has been placed once in two attempts and arrives in decent nick after two recent wins. Trainer and jockey are both still seeking their first Listowel success from modest samples. Usually held up, recent form figures of 078113.
-
12Silin Alainn47/100
Silin Alainn is a fair performer on the balance of his ratings and race history yet has shown very little in four starts this year. He steps up in trip to 2m6f having failed to make the frame in two previous attempts at the distance. The yard has a 10% strike rate from 215 runs at Listowel. Usually held up, recent form figures of 7880/0.
-
13Jolly D'olivate47/100
Jolly D'olivate is a fair horse who has struggled since returning from a break, finishing no better than fifth in five runs this year. The trainer's modest 6% strike rate from 227 runs at Listowel suggests limited encouragement from the yard's local record. He tries this trip again having failed to make an impact on his only previous attempt and the small sample on good ground leaves his going preferences unclear. Usually held up, recent form figures of -89057.
-
14Shing Shang Lily45/100
Shing Shang Lily shaped well when third on return at Downpatrick and holds a useful rating that makes her competitive at this level. The step up to 2m6f is an unknown and first-time headgear is now added after five runs that leave going preferences unclear. Trainer and jockey both have modest strike rates at Listowel. Usually held up, recent form figures of 5755-3.
-
15Western Opera40/100
Western Opera is a fair performer who has shown consistency without winning of late, finishing in the frame on his last two completed starts. He steps up in trip today having already placed twice at this distance, though his sole previous run at Listowel was poor. The jockey's modest 4% strike-rate at the track adds a note of caution. Usually held up, recent form figures of 6-P546.
-
16Ixigreczed33/100
Ixigreczed is a fair performer who has been out of form for some time with a string of poor efforts. Only one previous try at this trip brought no joy and he has failed to place in seven runs on good ground. Course run was also modest and the jockey is still seeking a first Listowel winner from seven rides. Usually held up, recent form figures of 6-0050.
KTB verdict
Run For The Border is the KTB Selection. A useful and consistent performer with placed efforts at today's trip, he benefits from connections who have a solid record at Listowel and a jockey with an above-average strike rate at the track. The muddling tactical pace should play to his strengths as a horse who is usually held up and produces his effort late. His main dangers are Pretty Wild, who continues to improve and could be well placed from her prominent run style, and Its Not Over Yet, who brings a recent placing at the course and looks well suited by the drop back in trip.
KTB Selection Run For The Border
Morning odds
Best available price per runner, captured 00:00 UTC, 25 Sep. These are a morning snapshot and will have moved — see the live racecard for current prices.
| Runner | Morning price | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|
| Run For The Border | 9/1 | Bet365 |
| Pretty Wild | 5/1 | Bet365 |
| Its Not Over Yet | 16/1 | Bet365 |
| Fire Coral | 17/2 | Bet365 |
| Pure Logic | 8/1 | Bet365 |
| Moonshine Girl | 6/1 | Bet365 |
| Leading Endeavour | 33/1 | Dragon Bet |
| Madam Elle | 50/1 | BetTom |
| Isdistheone | 2/1 | Star Sports |
| Rumble Demosa | 22/1 | Bet365 |
| Strong Contender | 11/1 | Dragon Bet |
| Silin Alainn | 16/1 | BetTom |
| Jolly D'olivate | 33/1 | BetTom |
| Shing Shang Lily | 9/1 | Bet365 |
| Western Opera | 33/1 | BetTom |
| Ixigreczed | 40/1 | BetTom |
This is the narrative read of the 4:00 Listowel. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Listowel racecard. Every result we hold for the track is on the Listowel results & records page. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse is stepping up in trip as a lightly raced four-year-old?
Pretty Wild, who has shown steady improvement across three runs and now steps up in trip while still lightly raced.
Who is wearing first-time headgear in this race?
Leading Endeavour and Shing Shang Lily are both fitted with first-time headgear.
Which runner has the best jockey strike rate at Listowel among the principals?
Pretty Wild's jockey Harry Cobden has a 50% strike rate at Listowel from 2 rides.
How many principals are rated as usually racing prominently?
Two principals, Pretty Wild and Fire Coral, are rated as usually racing handily on or close to the lead.
Which horse has placed at Listowel without winning at this distance?
Its Not Over Yet has been placed without winning at this distance previously and has a placing at the course over further.
18+. Analysis and entertainment only — no guarantee of profit. KTB race previews are published for interest and are not betting advice. Only ever stake what you can comfortably afford to lose, and set your own limits. Free, confidential help: the National Gambling Helpline on 0808 8020 133 (GamCare.org.uk); in Ireland, the GamblingCare.ie helpline on 1800 936 725. Self-exclude at any time via GAMSTOP.
More from Kickthebookies