4:48 Listowel
The 4:48 at Listowel is a competitive 14-runner Kinisla Handicap Steeplechase over 2m1f150y on good ground. The KTB Fit scores identify a clutch of high-class performers at the head of the field, with the top five all rated between 60 and 70, underlining the depth of a race where recent form, course experience and trip suitability will all play their part. Henry de Bromhead and Willie Mullins are well represented, while the pace shape points to an end-on test that could suit those with a turn of foot.
How the race shapes up
With two or more habitual front-runners present the pace is likely to be strong and could collapse in the latter stages, favouring hold-up horses. Coming Up Easy and Net Boy are the main players expected to set or make the running, while several principals prefer to be held up off that pace. The key question is whether the leaders can sustain their effort or whether the race will fall into the lap of those delivered late from midfield or further back.
The KTB Fit ranking
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1Coming Up Easy KTB Selection70/100
Coming Up Easy is the KTB Selection. This high-class performer posted a solid recent second after a break and boasts a win at this trip from just two attempts. He is 1-1 on good ground though that lone placing came without a victory. The yard holds a 16% strike rate at Listowel from a large sample of 262 runs. Darragh O'Keeffe takes the ride on a horse that tends to make the running or race on the pace. His recent form figures read /1P0-2.
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2The Banger Doyle66/100
The Banger Doyle is a high-class performer with solid placed form over this trip and a proven record on good ground that reads two wins from 15 runs. He has been placed twice from four runs at Listowel and the trainer holds a strong 19% strike rate here from 69 runs. Recent form has been patchy but the overall ratings and course connections still command respect. Danny Mullins is in the saddle for a yard that showed a positive A/E of 1.14 when teaming up. Usually held up, he is well suited to the expected strong pace.
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3Crowsatedappletart64/100
Crowsatedappletart is a high-class performer with a solid career record who has placed on his last two visits to this track without winning. He steps up in trip today having shown placed form at the distance already, while his record on good ground reads four wins from 16 runs. The trainer has no previous runners at Listowel, but the 5lb claimer Michael Kenneally boasts a 25% strike rate at the track from eight rides. Usually held up with high confidence, he should be ideally placed if the pace collapses late.
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4Wonleg62/100
Wonleg is a high-class performer with a solid recent record that includes a win and two placed efforts from his last four starts. He drops back in trip today to a distance he has never tried, which asks a fresh question of him. The yard has a 16% strike rate from 262 runs at Listowel while the horse is 1-2 on good ground. Alan O'Sullivan claims 5lb and the combination has shown an A/E of 1.31 at the venue. Usually held up, he will be looking to come from off the strong pace.
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5Jalila Moriviere60/100
Jalila Moriviere is a high-class mare who showed her best form yet when winning a strong handicap at Galway last time and has solid placed form in better company before that. She drops back in trip to a distance at which she is two from four, though her only run at Listowel saw her finish a fair third without winning. Mullins has a 19% strike rate from 744 runs at the track while Walsh is the chosen rider and the pair have combined for a 25% strike rate overall. Typically settling in midfield, she looks sure to be involved if the leaders come back to her.
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6Net Boy57/100
Net Boy is a high-class performer with a solid recent record that includes two wins and a placed effort from his last four completed starts. He handles good ground well with two wins from three runs and steps back up to a trip where he has already placed. The yard holds a 20% strike rate at Listowel from ten runs while Sean Flanagan is taking the ride on a horse making his first appearance here. A habitual front-runner, he is likely to set the early fractions.
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7Bythesametoken55/100
Bythesametoken is a smart performer who has won at this track and at today's trip. Recent form is a bit mixed but he showed he remains competitive when fourth on his latest start. The trainer's modest strike-rate here is offset by the horse's own solid course record and high-data-confidence ratings profile. Usually held up, he has placed three times from eight starts on good ground.
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8Where's My Jet55/100
Where's My Jet is a high-class performer with a rock-solid record and strong course connections. He won here on his only previous visit and has a 1-from-4 record on good ground, though recent form of 0P-006 is patchy. Dropping back in trip today to an untried distance asks a fresh question. Paul Townend rides for Mullins, a combination that has struck at 31% together.
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9Coral River55/100
Coral River is a high-class performer with a solid recent record of 32219 that includes two wins. She steps up in trip today for the first time which asks a fresh question while the switch to Listowel is another unknown. The trainer has an 8% strike rate from 62 runs here and the horse has only one run on good ground, which produced no win or place.
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10Costacurta54/100
Costacurta is a high-class performer with strong recent form including two placed efforts this year. He drops back in trip today to a distance he has never tried which asks a fresh question while his sole run here produced only a modest 7th. Trainer Henry de Bromhead holds a solid 16% strike rate at Listowel from 262 runs and the horse has shown he handles good ground with one win and three places from four starts.
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11Drumgill52/100
Drumgill is a high-class performer with a solid career record who has won four times at today's trip. He drops back from 2m5f having shown his best form at shorter distances and has placed on good ground three times from 14 starts. The trainer operates at a 9% strike rate from 169 runs at Listowel while the horse himself has twice run here without placing.
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12Warriors Wood46/100
Warriors Wood is a high-class performer with a solid career record who has won at today's trip. He drops back in distance after his last run over further and has a good record on good ground with two wins and four places from seven starts. The trainer is still seeking a first Listowel winner from 21 runners.
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13One Last Tango45/100
One Last Tango is a smart performer who has been a regular at a high level and arrives here off the back of a fair eighth last time. He has shown his best form on good ground with two wins and three places from nine starts, though he is now 0 from 5 at this trip. The yard has a 9% strike rate at Listowel from 77 runs.
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14Cappa Hill40/100
Cappa Hill is a smart performer who has shown useful form this year but has been below par on his last two starts. He drops back in trip today having not tried this distance before while making his first visit to Listowel. The trainer has only had three runners at the track so far which is too small a sample to judge.
KTB verdict
Coming Up Easy is the KTB Selection. A high-class performer, he brings a solid recent second after a break plus a win at this trip from limited attempts, and the yard's 16% strike rate at Listowel from a big sample adds further confidence. The strong pace should suit his front-running style if he can see it out. The Banger Doyle, with his course placings and hold-up run-style, is the most obvious danger, while Crowsatedappletart, Wonleg and Jalila Moriviere all have strong claims on their respective profiles and could capitalise if the leaders fold late.
KTB Selection Coming Up Easy
This is the narrative read of the 4:48 Listowel. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Listowel racecard. Every result we hold for the track is on the Listowel results & records page. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse is best suited by the expected strong pace?
Hold-up horses such as The Banger Doyle, Crowsatedappletart, Wonleg and Where's My Jet are favoured by the strong pace that is likely to collapse late.
How many principals have course form at Listowel?
Three of the top five principals have course form: The Banger Doyle (placed twice from four runs), Crowsatedappletart (placed on last two visits) and Jalila Moriviere (third on her only run).
Which trainer has the strongest strike rate at Listowel among those represented?
Barry Connell has a 20% strike rate at Listowel from ten runs, ahead of Mullins on 19% and de Bromhead on 16%.
Which horse is dropping back in trip having never tried this distance before?
Wonleg, Costacurta, Where's My Jet and Cappa Hill are all dropping back in trip to a distance they have never tried.
Who rides the KTB Selection and what is their Listowel strike rate?
Darragh O'Keeffe rides Coming Up Easy and has an 8% strike rate at Listowel from 163 rides.
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