7:30 Wolverhampton (AW)
This Class 4 handicap at Wolverhampton over 1m1f104y on standard ground brings together a dozen fair performers, several with solid course records and recent winning form. The KTB Fit Scores are tightly bunched at the top, with Warrior Mode, Hauteluce and Rastnet all rated in the low sixties, underlining a competitive race where course experience and tactical speed could prove decisive. First-time headgear on the selection and a couple of others adds an extra layer of interest in a field that includes lightly-raced three-year-olds stepping up in class and more exposed handicappers dropping in trip or grade.
How the race shapes up
With no obvious front-runner in a muddling, tactical pace shape the race is likely to be decided by those able to secure a handy position or produce a well-timed run from just off the pace. Prominent racers such as Hauteluce, Tiger, Vincenzo Peruggia, Canvas and What's The Plan should be able to get involved early, while several hold-up performers including the selection Warrior Mode will be looking to strike late. The key question is whether the race falls apart enough for the hold-up horses to get a clear run, or whether those ridden closer to the speed can dictate matters from the front end of the field.
The KTB Fit ranking
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1Warrior Mode KTB Selection62/100
Warrior Mode is a fair performer who has already won once at Wolverhampton from just two runs there. He drops back in trip today to a distance he has never tried, which asks a fresh question, while first-time headgear adds another unknown. The selection is usually held up and produces its effort late. Sir Mark Prescott and Luke Morris both have established records at the track that sit in line with or above their overall figures, with the trainer operating at 21% here from 1,122 runs and the jockey at 12% from 4,615 rides. He holds an official rating of 84 and his recent form reads 0-3187. He has won once from three starts on standard ground and the draw of four looks suitable for his run style.
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2Hauteluce61/100
Hauteluce is a fair three-year-old who has won both starts at this track and both starts at today's trip. She also holds a solid record of three wins from four on standard going and arrives in decent form with three wins from her last five runs. Usually raced handily on or close to the lead, she is drawn in stall one which should help her secure a prominent position in this tactical affair. Ed Walker and Ashley Lewis hold 17% and 16% strike rates at Wolverhampton that sit in line with their records elsewhere. Her official rating is 81 and recent form reads -13161. Half-sister to Different Tone who won once from 13 runs, with the dam also producing one other winner from two runners, she steps up in class here.
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3Rastnet60/100
Rastnet is a fair performer who has won once from two starts at this track and holds an official rating of 81. He has won at today's trip though he drops back from 1m3f last time, while his record on standard going reads one win and four places from five runs. Typically settling in midfield, he should find a comfortable position in a race lacking an obvious leader. The trainer's 12% strike rate here from 879 runs sits in line with his overall record, as does the jockey Callum Rodriguez's 15% from 281 rides. Recent form reads 237406 and he is drawn in stall seven.
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4Tiger57/100
Tiger is a fair performer who arrives in solid form having won twice and placed twice from his last six starts. He drops back in trip to a distance he has never tried while making his first start at Wolverhampton on standard ground where he is yet to place from two previous runs. Usually racing handily on or close to the lead, his prominent style should be an asset in this muddling pace shape. Trainer Ian Williams has a 12% strike rate here in line with his record elsewhere while jockey Jason Watson operates at 15% at the track in line with his overall figure. His official rating is 82 and recent form reads 421280. Drawn in stall eleven.
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5Aravalli57/100
Aravalli is a fair three-year-old with a solid recent record that includes two wins from its last six starts and an official rating of 81. It drops back in trip to an untried 1m1f today after its latest run over 1m6f, which poses a fresh question, while it remains unproven on standard going. Typically settling in midfield, it should be well placed to make a move as the race develops. The trainer has a 10% strike rate at Wolverhampton from 39 runs, in line with his record elsewhere, and the jockey matches that pattern with 12% from 172 rides here. Recent form reads 411370 and it is drawn in stall two. Dropping in class.
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6Arcadian Nights56/100
Arcadian Nights is a fair handicapper with a solid record here, including five wins from 24 runs at Wolverhampton. He has dropped back in trip today having won four times from 21 starts at this distance, and his seven wins from 30 runs on standard going add further positives. The trainer's 10% strike rate at the track is above his figure elsewhere while the jockey posts a 20% strike rate here. Usually held up, he steps up in class from an official rating of 82 with recent form -46593.
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7Vincenzo Peruggia56/100
Vincenzo Peruggia is a fair performer who arrives in decent nick after a clear-cut win at Kempton last time. He drops back in trip to a distance he has never tried and makes his first start at Wolverhampton from a wide draw of 13. Trainer and jockey both show 12% and 10% strike rates here respectively which sit in line with their records elsewhere while he is only 1-11 on this surface. Usually raced prominently, his official rating is 84 and recent form reads 004461.
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8Canvas55/100
Canvas is a fair performer who has won once from two starts at Wolverhampton and holds an official rating of 82. He steps up in trip today having won at this distance on his only attempt, and his recent form of 962216 includes a pair of victories. The yard and jockey both record strike rates at the track that sit in line with their figures elsewhere. Usually prominent, he is drawn in stall five.
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9First Ambition49/100
First Ambition is a fair performer who has shown his best form on this track with a placed effort from two runs here. He steps up in trip for the first time in first-time headgear having been largely out of form this year and the yard's 3% strike rate at Wolverhampton is in line with their record elsewhere. He acts on standard going with two wins from seven starts on it. Usually held up, his official rating is 81 and recent form reads 066303.
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10Epictetus46/100
Epictetus is a fair performer who has been placed on his last two starts at this track without winning. He is 0-4 here overall with placed efforts on standard ground, and drops back in trip today having been placed once from two runs at this distance. Trainer Jamie Osborne has a 13% strike rate at Wolverhampton from 1,547 runs, above their 11% at other courses. Usually held up, his official rating is 79 and recent form reads 231608.
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11Cristo46/100
Cristo is a fair performer who has been consistent enough to hold his own in this grade, though his recent form has been mixed with a win at this level sandwiched between some lesser efforts. He has shown no win or place from two runs at Wolverhampton and is stepping up in trip today having failed to trouble the judge in two previous attempts at this distance. The trainer’s 13 percent strike rate here is in line with his record elsewhere while the jockey’s 15 percent at the track is above his general figure. Usually held up, his official rating is 79 and recent form reads U71249.
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12What's The Plan42/100
What's The Plan is a fair three-year-old with consistent placed form and an official rating of 77 that looks about right. He drops back in trip today to a distance he has never tried, which asks a fresh question, though he has won on standard ground from just two runs. Trainer James Fanshawe has a 17% strike rate at Wolverhampton from 495 runs, in line with his record elsewhere, while Daniel Muscutt also rides. Usually prominent, his recent form reads 434225.
KTB verdict
Warrior Mode looks to have the best chance in a race where course form and tactical speed will be at a premium. He has already shown his liking for Wolverhampton with a win from just two starts, and while the drop in trip and first-time headgear introduce unknowns, the Prescott/Morris combination has a strong record at the track that inspires confidence. The selection's ability to produce a late effort should be well suited to the muddling pace shape. Hauteluce is the obvious danger after two wins here and a strong record at the trip, while Rastnet, Tiger and Aravalli all have claims if the race develops in their favour.
KTB Selection Warrior Mode
Early prices
The best price per runner across the bookmakers we track, each as first seen (UK time). Every runner had a price by 1:33am, 23 Oct. Prices move — see the live racecard for current prices.
| Runner | Early price | Bookmaker, time |
|---|---|---|
| Warrior Mode | 13/2 | Bet365, 1:02am |
| Hauteluce | 9/4 | Bet365, 1:02am |
| Rastnet | 11/1 | Bet365, 1:02am |
| Tiger | 12/1 | William Hill, 1:02am |
| Aravalli | 22/1 | William Hill, 1:02am |
| Arcadian Nights | 8/1 | Bet365, 1:02am |
| Vincenzo Peruggia | 7/1 | William Hill, 1:02am |
| Canvas | 9/1 | William Hill, 1:02am |
| First Ambition | 25/1 | LiveScore Bet, 1:02am |
| Epictetus | 20/1 | William Hill, 1:02am |
| Cristo | 16/1 | 7Bet, 1:02am |
| What's The Plan | 17/2 | Bet365, 1:02am |
This is the narrative read of the 7:30 Wolverhampton (AW). For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Wolverhampton (AW) racecard. Every result we hold for the track is on the Wolverhampton (AW) results & records page. How favourites, trainers, jockeys and the draw have fared here over the last five years is on the Wolverhampton (AW) racecourse statistics page. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse has won both its starts at Wolverhampton and at this trip?
Hauteluce has won both starts at this track and both starts at today's trip.
Why is first-time headgear significant for the selection?
First-time headgear on Warrior Mode adds another unknown as he has never worn it before.
Which runners are stepping up in class?
Hauteluce and Arcadian Nights are stepping up in class.
How many wins has Arcadian Nights recorded at Wolverhampton?
Arcadian Nights has five wins from 24 runs at Wolverhampton.
Which horse is dropping in class and unproven on standard ground?
Aravalli is dropping in class and remains unproven on standard going.
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