7:30 Wolverhampton (AW)

The KTB Fit ranking

1. 1Billy Bathgate KTB Selection60/100

   Form 461536 · Ewan Whillans · Clifford Lee

   Billy Bathgate is a limited performer who has been knocking around this level for a long time. He has won over this trip and at Wolverhampton, with a solid record on standard going that includes three successes. The trainer maintains a 15% strike rate here from 67 runs. From draw 2 he is likely to be held up and produce his effort late, as is his usual style with high confidence. His recent form of 461536 shows that he remains competitive at this level, and having scored once from nine course starts he knows the venue. Clifford Lee takes the ride on a horse with a course-and-distance success already on his CV.

2. 2Echo Valley56/100

   Form 707424 · Tom Symonds · Tyler Heard

   Echo Valley is a limited performer on the balance of her seven runs and has shown only modest form at this track with a 4th and 7th from two starts. The yard has an 18% strike rate here from 11 runs which is respectable. She steps up in trip today for the first time which asks a fresh question of her. Usually held up with what little evidence there is, she will be among those trying to come from off the pace in a race where the leader may get an easy time. From draw 1 she is well positioned to track the pace if required, though her placed effort on standard ground came without a win. Tyler Heard is aboard for a stable that can be relied upon at Wolverhampton.

3. 3Individualiste49/100

   Form 3/9847 · Ben Lund · Rose Dawes(3)

   Individualiste is a limited performer who has shown little spark in recent runs and looks up against it from a modest career record. Has been tried over today's trip twice without success and steps back up in distance here after a string of shorter efforts. Trainer is 0-21 at Wolverhampton while the horse itself has only managed a single fourth from one previous run on this track. A drop in class may help, yet the 0% course strike rate for the yard and one unplaced run on standard ground add to the reservations. Usually held up with high confidence, Rose Dawes claims 3 lb and will be looking to weave a way through from draw 7 in a race where the pace may not collapse.

4. 4Notable Charm49/100

   Form 646452 · Marcus Tregoning · Billy Loughnane

   Notable Charm is a limited horse who has shown some ability on this track and trip. Placed on both previous attempts over 2m here on standard ground including a second at Wolverhampton last time out, though the form is only modest. Trainer holds a solid 15% strike rate at the course from a decent-sized sample while the jockey also knows the place well. Another hold-up performer with limited evidence, he will be among those waiting to pounce late from draw 4. A drop in class is another positive for a yard that sent him out for a second here previously, and Billy Loughnane's 20% strike rate at the venue adds further interest.

5. 5D Day Major Winter48/100

   Form -68542 · James Owen · Cieren Fallon

   D Day Major Winter is a limited performer who has shown some ability on this track with a second and a fourth from two runs here. Steps up markedly in trip today having never gone beyond 1m6f which asks a fresh question of him. Trainer James Owen has a solid 20% strike rate at Wolverhampton while Cieren Fallon is aboard. Usually held up with high confidence, he will be towards the rear early from the wide draw of 11 and will need the leader to come back to him. His recent form of -68542 includes a second on standard ground, and the yard's 23/132 record with this jockey underlines that they can place horses to advantage at this venue.

6. 6Razzo Italiano43/100

   Form 76D3-0 · Gary Hanmer · Jonny Peate

   Razzo Italiano is a limited sort who has shown little for a while and ran no better than sixth in two starts here. He steps back up to 2m having failed to trouble the judge at the trip in four previous attempts. The trainer's modest 5% strike rate at Wolverhampton adds little encouragement.

7. 7Nature42/100

   Form -74633 · Miss Celine De La Haye · Laura Coughlan(3)

   Nature is a limited performer who has been placed a couple of times this year but has looked short of pace at shorter trips lately. Steps up markedly in distance today for a first run at Wolverhampton on standard ground that she has already failed to handle. Trainer has too few runs here to judge while the 3 lb claimer is also making her debut at the track.

8. 8Turton42/100

   Form 69569V · Tony Carroll · Luke Morris

   Turton is a limited performer who has shown little in six runs to date and was virtually pulled up on his most recent start. He steps up markedly in trip today which asks a fresh question of him. The yard has a 10% strike rate at Wolverhampton from a huge sample of runners.

9. 9Lilykoy41/100

   Form 568343 · Dylan Cunha · John Egan

   Lilykoy is a limited performer who has shown only modest form across nine starts with a string of placed efforts but no win. Trainer Cunha has a solid 16% strike-rate at Wolverhampton from 135 runs yet this one arrives with no course experience and has failed to place in four runs on standard ground. Untried trip remains a question while the overall ratings and race history point to a horse that struggles to get her head in front.

10. 10Masterpiece36/100

    Form 306 · Patrick Morris · Paddy Bradley

    Masterpiece has shown very little in three starts this year and carries the limited tag for a reason. He steps up markedly in trip having won once over today's distance in the past, though the first-time headgear is an unknown. The trainer's modest 6% strike rate at Wolverhampton from a huge sample offers no particular encouragement.

11. 11Freewheelin33/100

    Form 407-88 · John Norton · Roisin Leech(7)

    Freewheelin is a limited performer who has shown little spark in two runs this year and has a poor record at this track. Steps up in trip today which should suit on the balance of his career stats yet the yard's dismal 4% strike-rate here offers no encouragement. Jockey is also quiet at the venue.