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Trainer profile

Brian Jordan

167 runners in the lifetime window · 31 individual horses
As at 3 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Oct 2023 95% of runners over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2009→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
12–167
Wins / Runs
7.2%
Strike rate
n=167
49 (29%)
Placed
1.16
Fair A/E
n=167 · 0.93 incl. margin
−39.47
£1 level stake
n=167 at SP · −23.6%
£163k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 10 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 7% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.16). Debutants are a strength: 10% on first career starts (30 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 167 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 3 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Claiming riders: 8.9%
The read

Runners with a claiming rider up are the standout value angle: 8.9% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.39 and +0.33 to a £1 stake over 112 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. The record reads poorly on Heavy going — 3.1% over 32 runners, 4.1pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard off a 15-30-day break: Fair A/E 0.62 across 69 runners (4.3% strike, −49.30 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.2% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
4.3%−2.9
n=23 · A/E 0.70 · £1 −12.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
50%+42.8
n=2 · A/E 8.57 · £1 +9.00
Debutants · first career start
10%+2.8
n=30 · A/E 2.54 · £1 +26.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−7.2
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−7.2
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
When favourite
14.3%
n=7 · A/E 0.75 · £1 −2.50
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
8.9%+1.7
n=112 · A/E 1.39 · £1 +0.33
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−7.2
n=9 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −9.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
On Heavy going 3.1% vs 7.2% · n=32
Over 1m5f – 2m 3.9% vs 7.2% · n=51
Off a 15-30-day break 4.3% vs 7.2% · n=69
With Mr B O Walsh 10.5% vs 7.2% · n=38
Over 2m5f – 3m 10% vs 7.2% · n=40
On Soft going 9.8% vs 7.2% · n=41
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 71 6 8.5% −21.80
Chase 61 5 8.2% −3.67
NH Flat 27 1 3.7% −6.00
Flat 8 0 0% −8.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 68 4 5.9% −20.50
Soft 41 4 9.8% −4.67
Heavy 32 1 3.1% −27.80
Good to Soft 17 1 5.9% −12.50
Good to Firm 6 1 16.7% +3.00
Firm 3 1 33.3% +23.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Wexford 21 1 4.8% −16.80
Tramore 15 0 0% −15.00
Clonmel 12 3 25% +28.50
Cork 12 3 25% +18.50
Kilbeggan 10 0 0% −10.00
Punchestown 10 0 0% −10.00
Leopardstown 10 0 0% −10.00
Limerick 9 0 0% −9.00
Thurles 9 1 11.1% +2.00
Fairyhouse 8 0 0% −8.00
Gowran Park 6 0 0% −6.00
Roscommon 6 1 16.7% +1.00
Killarney 5 1 20% −0.67
Tipperary 5 1 20% +4.00
Listowel 4 0 0% −4.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 9 0 0% −9.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 8 1 12.5% 0.64 −3.50
2nd–3rd fav 21 6 28.6% 2.14 +19.03
4th–6th fav 65 3 4.6% 0.73 −29.00
7th+ in betting 73 2 2.7% 1.09 −26.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
87.1% completed · 132 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 61 88.5% 1 1 5 0 0
Hurdle 71 85.9% 1 0 8 0 1
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Knock On Steel (IRE)then R Donohoe 40 3 13 30 Aug 23
Annamatopoeia (IRE) 25 2 10 7 Jun 17
Cotton Jenny (IRE) 16 1 6 9 Jul 19
Ocean Cowboy (IRE) 16 0 5 1 Jun 12
Stress (IRE)then N R W Wright 11 0 1 4 Jun 10
Peqeno Diablo (IRE)then Claire Dyson 7 1 4 28 Oct 10
M For Melody (IRE) 5 0 0 17 Sep 22
Spanish Leather (IRE) 5 0 1 5 Aug 20
Salt Bridge (IRE) 4 0 1 19 Oct 23
Gibberwell (IRE)then Jake Thomas Coulson 4 1 2 25 Oct 20
Little Mozzer (IRE) 4 0 0 16 Nov 16
Gipsy Rhyme (IRE) 3 0 0 23 Aug 21
All 31 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 31 horses listed, 1 arrived from another yard in our archive; 30 had their first archived run for this yard.

14 have since run for another yard, most often for Evan Williams (2) and Michael John Murphy (2); 17 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
000824465019100
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderMr B O Walsh
23% of all rides
10.5% SR · A/E 1.45
RiderRWSR£1
Mr B O Walsh 38 4 10.5% +15.00
Sean O'Keeffe 34 2 5.9% −25.17
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2009→
12
Archived wins
£163k
Prize money
2020
Best season · 3 wins
Cotton Jenny (IRE) — Irish Breeders Supporting The I.t.b.a. N.h. Fillies Bonus Scheme E.B.F. Mares Maiden Hurdle Cork · May 2016
£9,840
The Tin Soldier (IRE) — Hyundai Sonata Novice Chase Clonmel · Jun 2009
£8,638
Annamatopoeia (IRE) — Follow Us On Facebook Mares Beginners Chase Roscommon · May 2017
£7,392
Notable horses
Knock On Steel (IRE) Annamatopoeia (IRE) Cotton Jenny (IRE) Peqeno Diablo (IRE) Gibberwell (IRE) Elembridge King (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Arakan (USA) 7.5% · 3–40
Progeny have won 9.2% of 3,467 runs since 2009 (266 horses). Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 4.5% from 134.
Luso (GB) 8% · 2–25
Progeny have won 6.7% of 3,516 runs since 2008 (389 horses).
Craigsteel (GB) 5.3% · 1–19
Progeny have won 10.1% of 3,393 runs since 2008 (262 horses). Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 15.5% from 291. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 6.9% from 763.
Lord Americo (IRE) 0% · 0–16
Progeny have won 7.8% of 2,189 runs since 2008 (237 horses).
Witness Box (USA) 0% · 0–11
Progeny have won 9.1% of 2,675 runs since 2008 (194 horses). Weakest on Good to Firm going: 4% from 173.
Alexius (IRE) 14.3% · 1–7
Progeny have won 7.7% of 117 runs since 2008 (12 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 3 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 167 · newest first

The latest 50 of 167 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 1 January 2009 to 19 October 2023.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
19 Oct 23 Thurles Salt Bridge (IRE)J: Sean O'Keeffe Irish Stallion Farms Ebf Mares Beginners Chase20.5f · Soft · 13 ran PU 200/1
27 Sep 23 Sligo Salt Bridge (IRE)J: Sean O'Keeffe Irish Stallion Farms Ebf Mares Beginners Chase17.5f · Yielding To Soft · 6 ran 5th 200/1
11 Sep 23 Galway Salt Bridge (IRE)J: Tiernan Power Roche Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Flat Race16.5f · Soft · 14 ran 11th 100/1
30 Aug 23 Bellewstown Salt Bridge (IRE)J: Miss T Quail J.H. McLoughlin Oil (Ladies Pro/Am) Flat Race17f · Good · 8 ran 3rd 80/1
30 Aug 23 Bellewstown Knock On Steel (IRE)J: Sean O'Keeffe Bright Motor Group Claiming Hurdle20.5f · Good · 9 ran PU 20/1
20 Aug 23 Tramore Knock On Steel (IRE)J: Sean O'Keeffe Heinz Pollmeier Memorial Handicap Chase (0-102)15.5f · Soft · 11 ran 4th 33/1
11 Aug 23 Wexford Knock On Steel (IRE)J: Sean O'Keeffe Wexford Welcomes Racing TV Members Handicap Chase16f · Yielding To Soft · 10 ran 8th 33/1
21 Jul 23 Killarney Knock On Steel (IRE)J: Diarmuid Moloney BoyleSports Handicap Chase (Listed)17f · Good To Yielding · 11 ran PU 25/1
10 Jul 23 Roscommon Knock On Steel (IRE)J: Sean O'Keeffe Knockcroghery Claiming Hurdle20f · Good To Yielding · 12 ran 9th 40/1
14 Jan 23 Fairyhouse Always Handy (IRE)J: Mr B T Stone Racing Again January 19th (Pro/Am) Flat Race16f · Soft To Heavy · 10 ran 8th 66/1
03 Nov 22 Thurles Always Handy (IRE)J: Mr B T Stone Irish Stallion Farms EBF Auction Flat Race16f · Yielding To Soft · 10 ran 8th 25/1
17 Sep 22 Navan M For Melody (IRE)J: Sean O'Keeffe Bar One Racing Bet In-Play Maiden Hurdle (Div 2)16f · Good To Yielding · 16 ran 14th 250/1
26 Aug 22 Down Royal M For Melody (IRE)J: Sean O'Keeffe Dale Farm Dromona Mares Maiden Hurdle17f · Good · 15 ran 12th 250/1
14 Aug 22 Tramore M For Melody (IRE)J: J J Slevin Frank King Memorial Maiden Hurdle16f · Good · 13 ran PU 200/1
08 Jul 22 Kilbeggan M For Melody (IRE)J: Mr B T Stone Kilbegganraces.com Mares Maiden Hurdle19f · Good · 16 ran PU 250/1
13 Jun 22 Kilbeggan M For Melody (IRE)J: Mr B T Stone Kilbeggan (Pro/Am) Flat Race16f · Good · 16 ran 13th 33/1
25 Nov 21 Thurles Knock On Steel (IRE)J: Sean O'Keeffe Betvictor Chase (listed)22f · Good · 4 ran 4th 40/1
25 Oct 21 Wexford Knock On Steel (IRE)J: Sean O'Keeffe BetVictor M.W. Hickey Memorial Chase (Listed)23f · Heavy · 4 ran 4th 100/1
17 Sep 21 Downpatrick Knock On Steel (IRE)J: Richard Deegan Franco Hughes Bookmaker Handicap Hurdle (80-109)19f · Yielding · 12 ran 9th 6/1
03 Sep 21 Kilbeggan Knock On Steel (IRE)J: Richard Deegan Kilsaran Handicap Chase19.5f · Good · 11 ran 4th 14/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Brian Jordan's strike rate?
Brian Jordan has won 12 of 167 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 7.2% (as at 3 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Brian Jordan's Fair A/E?
1.16, from 167 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 3 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).