C Boutin
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sends out around 250 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 4% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.66). The yard is quiet just now — 0 winners in the last fortnight, below its own baseline.
The market has consistently overbet debutants: 2.3% strike, Fair A/E 0.24 and −244.55 to a £1 stake over 342 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Right now the yard is in a quiet spell: 0 from 16 runners in the last 14 days (0%, 4.3pts below the 4.3% baseline). Anthony Crastus rides 6% of the entries and sits below the yard's average (2.1% vs 4.3%, A/E 0.37). The yard also reads well in Class 4 (14%, n=43) and in Class 3 (12%, n=50). 3 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Prix Orcada at Auteuil (FR) (Oct 2023, £59,735). The stable star of the record: Ciao Pa' (FR) — 6 wins from 34 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Jan–Feb.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 4.3% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 4.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
Quiet spellWhen the yard fires
strike by month, lifetimeJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 4,914 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 4,914 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 18 March 2005 to 2 November 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is C Boutin's strike rate?
- C Boutin has won 202 of 4,731 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 4.3% (as at 4 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does C Boutin do best at?
- Vichy by strike rate: 4 wins from 45 runners (8.9%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Who rides most for C Boutin?
- Anthony Crastus, with 287 runners since 2008 — 6% of the total. That pairing has won 6 (2.1%).
- Is C Boutin in form?
- In the last 14 days: 16 runners, 0 winners, a strike rate of 0%. That is below the baseline of 4.3% since 2008.
- What is C Boutin's Fair A/E?
- 0.66, from 4,543 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.