C Escuder
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sends out around 70 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 9% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.92). Horses with headgear back on after a bare run strike at 18% (33 runs). The yard is in form now — 4 winners in the last fortnight, above its own baseline.
It is weakest at Cagnes-Sur-Mer (4.4% over 45 runners) — the widest gap in the record. A horse having headgear put back on after a bare run has been a positive signal at 18.2% (n=33, Fair A/E 2.14). Runners with a claiming rider up are the standout value angle: 11.2% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.18 and +69.70 to a £1 stake over 224 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. The market has consistently overbet new recruits from other stables on their first run: 6.7% strike, Fair A/E 0.72 and −67.30 to a £1 stake over 224 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Right now the yard is firing: 4 winners from 30 runners in the last 14 days (13.3%, 3.9pts above the 9.4% baseline). Anthony Crastus rides 12% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (8.9%, A/E 1.19) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well over 1m5f – 2m (15.6%, n=64). The record reads poorly over 6f – 7f — 6.4% over 359 runners, 3pts below the baseline. 11 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Grand Prix de Vichy at Vichy (FR) (Jul 2019, £36,036). Seasonally, the yard fires Jun–Jul.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 9.4% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 9.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
In formWhen the yard fires
strike by month, lifetimeJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2014→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 1,269 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 1,269 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 30 March 2014 to 2 November 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is C Escuder's strike rate?
- C Escuder has won 119 of 1,269 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 9.4% (as at 3 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does C Escuder do best at?
- Marseille Borely by strike rate: 10 wins from 82 runners (12.2%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Who rides most for C Escuder?
- Anthony Crastus, with 146 runners since 2008 — 12% of the total. That pairing has won 13 (8.9%).
- Is C Escuder in form?
- In the last 14 days: 30 runners, 4 winners, a strike rate of 13.3%. That is above the baseline of 9.4% since 2008.
- What is C Escuder's Fair A/E?
- 0.92, from 1,254 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.