What is Christopher Wilson's strike rate?

Christopher Wilson has won 20 of 297 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 6.7% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Christopher Wilson do best at?

Catterick by strike rate: 5 wins from 60 runners (8.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Christopher Wilson?

Paddy Aspell, with 98 runners since 2008 — 33% of the total. That pairing has won 6 (6.1%).

What is Christopher Wilson's Fair A/E?

1.03, from 297 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Christopher Wilson

297 runners in the lifetime window · 22 individual horses

As at 22 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner Jun 2017

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

20–297

Wins / Runs

6.7%

Strike rate

n=297

67 (23%)

Placed

1.03

Fair A/E

n=297 · 0.89 incl. margin

−71.87

£1 level stake

n=297 at SP · −24.2%

£89,154

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Yard Profile

Sent out around 30 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 7% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.03).

Deterministic profile computed from 297 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 22 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fired Jun–Aug Paddy Aspell: 6.1% from 98

The read

It is weakest at Sedgefield (3.2% over 31 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 3% (n=66, Fair A/E 0.78). The market has consistently overbet runners with a claiming rider up: 5.6% strike, Fair A/E 0.79 and −57.00 to a £1 stake over 107 runners — those runners underperformed what the price implied. Paddy Aspell rode 33% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (6.1%, A/E 1.12) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also read well in Chase races (10.2%, n=59). The record read poorly in Hurdle races — 1.9% over 52 runners, 4.8pts below the baseline. The stable star of the record was Ingenti (GB) — 5 wins from 41 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fired Jun–Aug.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.7% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

3%−3.7

n=66 · A/E 0.78 · £1 −44.00

New recruits · first run for the yard

0%−6.7

n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00

Debutants · first career start

0%−6.7

n=11 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −11.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

16.7%+10.0

n=6 · A/E 2.92 · £1 +2.50

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

9.1%+2.4

n=11 · A/E 1.84 · £1 −6.50

When favourite

30.8%

n=13 · A/E 1.29 · £1 +2.88

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

5.6%−1.1

n=107 · A/E 0.79 · £1 −57.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

In Hurdle races 1.9% vs 6.7% · n=52

With Kevin Stott 11.8% vs 6.7% · n=34

Off a break of 180+ days 2.5% vs 6.7% · n=40

Over 2m1f – 2m4f 2.7% vs 6.7% · n=37

In Chase races 10.2% vs 6.7% · n=59

At Sedgefield 3.2% vs 6.7% · n=31

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 171 13 7.6% −21.75

Chase 59 6 10.2% +4.88

Hurdle 52 1 1.9% −40.00

NH Flat 15 0 0% −15.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good to Firm 89 7 7.9% −8.00

Good 79 4 5.1% −50.12

Good to Soft 56 5 8.9% −12.25

Soft 50 3 6% +17.00

Heavy 16 1 6.3% −11.50

Standard (AW) 4 0 0% −4.00

Firm 3 0 0% −3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Catterick 60 5 8.3% −14.75

Newcastle 37 2 5.4% +8.00

Sedgefield 31 1 3.2% −21.00

Redcar 28 1 3.6% +6.00

Hexham 28 4 14.3% +23.00

Beverley 22 2 9.1% −11.50

Carlisle 15 1 6.7% −10.00

Wetherby 14 0 0% −14.00

Hamilton 11 2 18.2% −1.50

Ripon 7 0 0% −7.00

Thirsk 7 0 0% −7.00

Doncaster 7 0 0% −7.00

Market Rasen 5 0 0% −5.00

Musselburgh 5 1 20% +7.00

Cartmel 4 0 0% −4.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 113 6 5.3% −26.75

Class 6 108 9 8.3% −14.00

Class 4 68 5 7.4% −23.12

Class 3 8 0 0% −8.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 14 4 28.6% 1.23 +1.88

2nd–3rd fav 42 7 16.7% 1.22 −4.25

4th–6th fav 71 2 2.8% 0.36 −52.50

7th+ in betting 170 7 4.1% 1.48 −17.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Ursus (GB) 49 4 12 6 Sep 13

Ingenti (GB) 41 5 14 5 Nov 14

Niceonemyson (GB) 37 1 10 3 Nov 15

Esme Rides A Gaine (GB) 37 3 10 20 Apr 15

Ormus (GB) 30 4 11 2 Mar 13

Latest Fashion (IRE)from Paul Nolan 16 0 1 24 May 16

Stella Marris (GB) 13 0 0 2 May 13

Arjemis (GB) 13 3 4 22 Jul 10

Sharp Shoes (GB)from Ann Duffield 10 0 2 15 Jul 14

Pennybid (IRE) 9 0 0 19 Jun 09

Valsesia (IRE)from Howard Johnson 8 0 2 27 Mar 15

Celtic Flow (GB) 6 0 0 29 Oct 09

All 22 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 22 horses listed, 5 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Ann Duffield (2); 17 had their first archived run for this yard.

1 has since run for another yard; 21 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

010040168140668

Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderPaddy Aspell

33% of all rides
6.1% SR · A/E 1.12

RiderRWSR£1

Paddy Aspell 98 6 6.1% −53.87

Kevin Stott 34 4 11.8% −10.50

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

Archived wins

£104k

Prize money

2010

Best season · 5 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Esme Rides A Gaine (GB) — Monkey's Handicap Chase Hexham · Jun 2009 · Class 4

£5,204

Ormus (GB) — Lords Taverners Handicap Chase Hexham · Jun 2010 · Class 4

£5,204

Ursus (GB) — Kevin Lee Memorial Handicap Newcastle · Jun 2008 · Class 5

£4,209

Notable horses

Ingenti (GB) Ursus (GB) Ormus (GB) Esme Rides A Gaine (GB) Arjemis (GB) Celtic Flow (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Rambling Bear (GB) 9.5% · 8–84

Progeny have won 6.6% of 362 runs since 2008 (21 horses).

Misu Bond (IRE) 2.4% · 1–42

Progeny have won 9.8% of 1,118 runs since 2008 (67 horses). Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 6.3% from 126.

Blue Dakota (IRE) 12.2% · 5–41

Progeny have won 5% of 100 runs since 2008 (8 horses).

Doubletour (USA) 8.1% · 3–37

Progeny have won 9.3% of 107 runs since 2008 (6 horses).

Ashkalani (IRE) 0% · 0–16

Progeny have won 7.3% of 519 runs since 2008 (56 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 12.4% from 129. Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 11.7% from 111.

Hunting Lion (IRE) 18.8% · 3–16

Progeny have won 8.7% of 484 runs since 2008 (31 horses).

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 378 · newest first

The latest 50 of 378 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 21 January 2005 to 24 June 2017.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

24 Jun 17 Redcar Starfall (GB)J: Shane Gray Racing UK Free For A Month Median Auction Maiden StakesClass 5 · 6f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 7th 50/1

07 Jun 17 Hamilton Starfall (GB)J: Shane Gray Neilsland And Earnock Julian Watson Memorial Maiden StakesClass 5 · 6f · Soft · 5 ran 4th 200/1

11 May 17 Catterick Starfall (GB)J: Rowan Scott Book Now For 10th June Maiden StakesClass 5 · 7f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 9th 150/1

31 Mar 17 Wetherby Starfall (GB)J: Colm McCormack Family Fun Raceday - Sunday 23rd April Standard Open NH Flat RaceClass 5 · 16f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 13th 200/1

25 Feb 17 Newcastle Starfall (GB)J: Colm McCormack Betfred TV Standard Open NH Flat RaceClass 6 · 16f · Heavy · 5 ran 5th 66/1

21 Jan 17 Newcastle (AW) Tsarglas (GB)J: James Sullivan Sun Bets On The App Store Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 8f · Standard · 10 ran 5th 66/1

24 May 16 Hexham Latest Fashion (IRE)J: Colm McCormack Come Racing On Ladies Day 19th June Handicap Hurdle (Div 1)Class 5 · 23.5f · Good · 9 ran 2nd 33/1

07 May 16 Hexham Latest Fashion (IRE)J: Colm McCormack Junior Great North Run Maiden HurdleClass 5 · 23.5f · Good · 9 ran 6th 66/1

09 Apr 16 Sedgefield Latest Fashion (IRE)J: Colm McCormack Betfred 'Racing's Biggest Supporter' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 27f · Soft · 7 ran 5th 33/1

15 Feb 16 Catterick Latest Fashion (IRE)J: Colm McCormack Racinguk.com Mares' Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 25.5f · Soft · 7 ran 5th 250/1

03 Nov 15 Redcar Niceonemyson (GB)J: P J McDonald Thanks & See You Next Season HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Soft · 19 ran 9th 20/1

23 Sep 15 Redcar Niceonemyson (GB)J: P J McDonald Watch Racing UK Anywhere HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Good To Soft · 19 ran 14th 16/1

24 Aug 15 Carlisle Niceonemyson (GB)J: P J McDonald Apollobet Daily Racing Specials HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Soft · 10 ran 6th 7/1

29 Jul 15 Redcar Niceonemyson (GB)J: Rachel Richardson Introducing The Racing UK Day Pass HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Soft · 18 ran 5th 8/1

25 Jul 15 Newcastle Niceonemyson (GB)J: Paul Mulrennan Collingwood Short Term Learner Driver Insurance HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Good To Firm · 12 ran 5th 11/4F

14 Jul 15 Beverley Niceonemyson (GB)J: P J McDonald 100% Racing UK Profits Returned To Racing Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 5f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 2nd 9/1

23 Jun 15 Beverley Niceonemyson (GB)J: Rowan Scott Go Racing In Yorkshire Future Stars Apprentice Handicap (round 4)Class 6 · 5f · Good To Firm · 11 ran 7th 9/2

21 Jun 15 Hexham Latest Fashion (IRE)J: Stephen Mulqueen totetrifecta Win Big Money Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 24f · Good · 14 ran UR 40/1

10 Jun 15 Beverley Niceonemyson (GB)J: Rowan Scott Follow Us On Twitter At Beverley_Races Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 5f · Good To Firm · 11 ran 3rd 20/1

06 Jun 15 Hexham Latest Fashion (IRE)J: Stephen Mulqueen Junior Great North Run Novices' ChaseClass 4 · 20f · Good · 10 ran F 100/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Christopher Wilson's strike rate?: Christopher Wilson has won 20 of 297 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 6.7% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Christopher Wilson do best at?: Catterick by strike rate: 5 wins from 60 runners (8.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Christopher Wilson?: Paddy Aspell, with 98 runners since 2008 — 33% of the total. That pairing has won 6 (6.1%).
What is Christopher Wilson's Fair A/E?: 1.03, from 297 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.