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Trainer profile

D P Kelly

34 runners in the lifetime window · 4 individual horses
As at 22 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Jun 2012
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
2–34
Wins / Runs
5.9%
Strike rate
n=34
8 (24%)
Placed
0.64
Fair A/E
n=34 · 0.50 incl. margin
−28.17
£1 level stake
n=34 at SP · −82.9%
£16,275
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 5.9% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−5.9
n=6 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −6.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−5.9
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−5.9
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−5.9
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
When favourite
50%
n=4 · A/E 1.56 · £1 +1.83
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
0%−5.9
n=12 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −12.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 25 1 4% −23.17
Hurdle 5 0 0% −5.00
NH Flat 4 1 25% +0.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 16 0 0% −16.00
Good 7 1 14.3% −3.00
Good to Firm 4 0 0% −4.00
Good to Soft 3 1 33.3% −1.17
Standard (AW) 3 0 0% −3.00
Heavy 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Curragh 7 0 0% −7.00
Dundalk (AW) 3 0 0% −3.00
Cork 3 1 33.3% +1.00
Ballinrobe 3 1 33.3% −1.17
Clonmel 2 0 0% −2.00
Navan 2 0 0% −2.00
Listowel 2 0 0% −2.00
Leopardstown 2 0 0% −2.00
Sligo 1 0 0% −1.00
Roscommon 1 0 0% −1.00
Punchestown 1 0 0% −1.00
Naas 1 0 0% −1.00
Killarney 1 0 0% −1.00
Gowran Park 1 0 0% −1.00
Fairyhouse 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 4 2 50% 1.56 +1.83
2nd–3rd fav 6 0 0% 0.00 −6.00
4th–6th fav 9 0 0% 0.00 −9.00
7th+ in betting 15 0 0% 0.00 −15.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Celestial Prospect (AUS)then Martin Brassil 12 0 3 19 Jun 12
Red Riddle (IRE) 10 0 0 16 May 12
Giant's Quest (AUS)then H Rogers 8 2 5 14 May 12
Courtileo (AUS) 4 0 0 23 Dec 11
All 4 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 4 horses listed, none arrived from another yard in our archive — all 4 had their first archived run here.

2 have since run for another yard; 2 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
·0001302500··0
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Keagan Latham 4 0 0% −4.00
Niall P Madden 3 0 0% −3.00
Mr M Fahey 3 0 0% −3.00
N G McCullagh 3 0 0% −3.00
Pat Smullen 3 1 33.3% −1.17
A E Lynch 2 0 0% −2.00
Shane Foley 2 0 0% −2.00
Gary Carroll 2 0 0% −2.00
Marc Monaghan 2 0 0% −2.00
Johnny Murtagh 1 0 0% −1.00
Fran Berry 1 0 0% −1.00
Declan McDonogh 1 0 0% −1.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
2
Archived wins
£22,659
Prize money
2011
Best season · 2 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Giant's Quest (AUS) — Mallow.ie Flat Race Cork · May 2011
£5,520
Giant's Quest (AUS) — Paddy Smyth Memorial Maiden Ballinrobe · Jul 2011
£5,175
Notable horses
Giant's Quest (AUS)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Galileo (IRE) 0% · 0–16
Progeny have won 14.5% of 18,192 runs since 2008 (1,776 horses). Strongest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 18.2% from 1,383. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 9.3% from 889.
Verglas (IRE) 0% · 0–10
Progeny have won 10.2% of 6,977 runs since 2008 (499 horses).
Giant's Causeway (USA) 25% · 2–8
Progeny have won 11.6% of 3,018 runs since 2008 (320 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 7.1% from 394. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 8.3% from 422.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 55 · newest first

The latest 50 of 55 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 14 April 2005 to 19 June 2012.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
19 Jun 12 Sligo Celestial Prospect (AUS)J: Marc Monaghan Sligo Champion Handicap (50-70)10f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 6th 11/2
13 Jun 12 Fairyhouse Celestial Prospect (AUS)J: Marc Monaghan Ratoath Handicap (47-65) (Div 1)10f · Soft · 17 ran 3rd 13/2
16 May 12 Naas Red Riddle (IRE)J: Gary Halpin naasracecourse.com Apprentice Handicap (47-65)7f · Good To Yielding · 16 ran 12th 20/1
14 May 12 Killarney Giant's Quest (AUS)J: A E Lynch Laurels Bar (c & G) Maiden Hurdle20f · Good · 16 ran 7th 6/4F
01 May 12 Ballinrobe Celestial Prospect (AUS)J: Niall P Madden Western People Maiden Hurdle16f · Good · 14 ran 4th 9/2
22 Apr 12 Curragh Giant's Quest (AUS)J: Pat Smullen 3 For 2 Ticket Offer At curragh.ie Handicap (50-85)12f · Soft · 13 ran 9th 8/1
12 Apr 12 Gowran Park Red Riddle (IRE)J: Johnny Murtagh Kilkenny Handicap (47-65) (Div 1)8f · Soft · 14 ran 7th 8/1
05 Apr 12 Clonmel Celestial Prospect (AUS)J: Niall P Madden www.thetote.com Maiden Hurdle16.5f · Good To Firm · 17 ran 2nd 14/1
25 Mar 12 Curragh Red Riddle (IRE)J: Megan Carberry Elusive Pimpernel Maiden6f · Yielding · 30 ran 9th 100/1
18 Mar 12 Navan Giant's Quest (AUS)J: A E Lynch Follow Navan On Facebook Maiden Hurdle16f · Soft · 15 ran 3rd 5/1
17 Mar 12 Wexford Celestial Prospect (AUS)J: Niall P Madden Curracloe Maiden Hurdle16f · Soft · 16 ran 6th 20/1
03 Feb 12 Dundalk (AW) Red Riddle (IRE)J: Fergal Lynch Irish Stablestaff Association Awards March 3rd Handicap (47-65) (Div 2)7f · Standard · 13 ran 8th 20/1
23 Dec 11 Dundalk (AW) Courtileo (AUS)J: N G McCullagh www.dundalkstadium.com Handicap (47-65) (Div 2)8f · Standard · 14 ran 10th 10/1
23 Dec 11 Dundalk (AW) Red Riddle (IRE)J: N G McCullagh www.dundalkstadium.com Handicap (47-65) (Div 1)8f · Standard · 14 ran 14th 16/1
04 Aug 11 Leopardstown Celestial Prospect (AUS)J: Keagan Latham Leopardstown.com Handicap (50-70)9f · Good · 14 ran 12th 9/1
18 Jul 11 Ballinrobe Celestial Prospect (AUS)J: Pat Smullen Mayo Advertiser Handicap (50-75)14f · Yielding · 7 ran 6th 7/2
18 Jul 11 Ballinrobe Giant's Quest (AUS)J: Pat Smullen Paddy Smyth Memorial Maiden14f · Good To Yielding · 7 ran 1st 5/6F
24 Jun 11 Curragh Courtileo (AUS)J: Emmet McNamara Sycamore Lodge Equine Hospital Maiden8f · Yielding · 22 ran 15th 50/1
12 Jun 11 Cork Courtileo (AUS)J: Shane Foley Golden Olive Maiden8.5f · Good · 12 ran 10th 50/1
27 May 11 Cork Giant's Quest (AUS)J: Robbie McNamara Mallow.ie Flat Race16f · Good · 22 ran 1st 3/1F

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is D P Kelly's strike rate?
D P Kelly has won 2 of 34 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 5.9% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is D P Kelly's Fair A/E?
0.64, from 34 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 22 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).