As at 29 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Sep 200798% of runners over jumps
Archive record 2005–2007
No runners from 1 Jan 2008, where our aggregate statistics normally begin — showing the full archive record instead, 3 Jan 2005 to 2 Sep 2007. Figures that need a horse's earlier runs (debuts, time since a run, first-time headgear, new connections, last-time-out winners) are left out: for runs this early our archive cannot see what came before.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
KTB Yard Profile
Sent out 107 runners in our archive record (2005–2007), almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 7% of them — level with the margin-free market read across that record (Fair A/E 1.00).
Deterministic profile computed from 107 archived runs (archive record 2005–2007) · updated 29 Oct 2026
The read
The yard also read well in Hurdle races (9.6%, n=73) and over 2m5f – 3m (10%, n=40). The record read poorly in Class 4 — 2% over 50 runners, 4.5pts below the baseline. One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Handicap Hurdle at Aintree (Apr 2005, £23,200).
Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 6.5% baseline
When favourite
0%
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
3.8%−2.7
n=26 · A/E 0.73 · £1 −5.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
25%+18.5
n=4 · A/E 5.46 · £1 +7.00
Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. Tiles that depend on a horse's earlier runs (debuts, time off, first-time headgear, new connections, last-time-out winners) are not shown on an archive-era record: for runs this early our archive cannot see what came before.
Notable angles
vs their own baseline
In Class 42% vs 6.5% · n=50
In Hurdle races9.6% vs 6.5% · n=73
Over 2m5f – 3m10% vs 6.5% · n=40
On Good to Soft going9.7% vs 6.5% · n=31
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.
Record by conditions
same window as header
Race type
TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle7379.6%−2.00
Chase2000%−20.00
NH Flat1200%−12.00
Flat200%−2.00
Going
GoingRWSR£1
Good to Soft3139.7%+10.00
Good2627.7%−7.00
Soft2627.7%−15.00
Heavy1200%−12.00
Good to Firm1100%−11.00
Firm100%−1.00
Courses
CourseRWSR£1
Exeter2727.4%−11.50
Taunton1218.3%+9.00
Chepstow1119.1%−6.50
Newton Abbot900%−9.00
Worcester900%−9.00
Wincanton700%−7.00
Bangor-on-Dee4125%+4.00
Newbury400%−4.00
Uttoxeter3133.3%+8.00
Towcester300%−3.00
Hereford300%−3.00
Warwick200%−2.00
Cheltenham200%−2.00
Sandown200%−2.00
Fontwell200%−2.00
Class
ClassRWSR£1
Class 45012%−29.00
Class 322313.6%+1.50
Class 51417.1%−9.50
Class 61000%−10.00
Class 26116.7%+5.00
Class 15120%+6.00
Market position
In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite300%0.00−3.00
2nd–3rd fav13215.4%0.90+2.50
4th–6th fav36411.1%1.68−1.50
7th+ in betting5511.8%0.73−34.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.
Distance
DistanceRWSR£1
2m5f – 3m40410%+11.00
2m1f – 2m4f3825.3%−22.50
1m5f – 2m2314.3%−18.50
Over 3m500%−5.00
1m2f – 1m4f100%−1.00
By season
By seasonRWSR£1
20055159.8%+9.00
20063525.7%−24.00
20072100%−21.00
Handicaps
HandicapsRWSR£1
Handicaps43716.3%+28.00
Field size
Field sizeRWSR£1
14-16 runners3438.8%+2.50
11-13 runners2300%−23.00
8-10 runners2314.3%−14.00
17+ runners1417.1%−3.00
5-7 runners12216.7%+2.50
2-4 runners100%−1.00
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.
All 28 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next
Of the 28 horses listed, 11 have since run for another yard, most often for Victor Dartnall (3); 17 have no later run for another yard in our archive.
Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. Where a horse came from is not stated on an archive-era record: our archive cannot see before 2005. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.
When the yard fires
strike by month, 2005–2007
JFMAMJJASOND
71314700000000
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. On this page the header statistics and this card both count from the archive floor (2005), so they agree.
Holland Park (IRE) — Handicap Hurdle (Listed) Aintree · Apr 2005 · Listed
£23,200
Holland Park (IRE) — Totesport Handicap Hurdle Uttoxeter · Mar 2005 · Class 2
£12,412
Bally Bolshoi (IRE) — Weatherbys Bank Mares' Only Handicap Hurdle Exeter · Feb 2006 · Class 3
Progeny have won 11.4% of 5,246 runs since 2005 (458 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 14.8% from 461.
Old Vic (GB)0% · 0–16
Progeny have won 11.6% of 8,952 runs since 2005 (795 horses).
Broadsword (USA)18.2% · 2–11
Progeny have won 7.8% of 90 runs since 2005 (17 horses).
Roselier (FR)18.2% · 2–11
Progeny have won 10.2% of 2,338 runs since 2005 (257 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 13.5% from 400. Weakest on Good to Firm going: 6.8% from 250. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 6.6% from 137.
Saddlers' Hall (IRE)0% · 0–10
Progeny have won 8% of 6,908 runs since 2005 (618 horses).
First Trump (GB)0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 7.3% of 1,350 runs since 2005 (107 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2005, as at 29 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.
The record
latest 50 of 107 · newest first
The latest 50 of 107 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 3 January 2005 to 2 September 2007.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
What is Mrs S D Williams's strike rate?
Mrs S D Williams has won 7 of 107 runners between 2005 and 2007, a strike rate of 6.5% (as at 29 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive. Our archive begins in 2005, so anything earlier is not counted.
What is Mrs S D Williams's Fair A/E?
1.00, from 107 runners with a computed fair probability between 2005 and 2007. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Mrs S D Williams·SR 6.5%·A/E 1.00
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