What is Davide Satalia's strike rate?

Davide Satalia has won 39 of 579 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 6.7% (as at 7 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Davide Satalia do best at?

Compiegne (FR) by strike rate: 11 wins from 144 runners (7.6%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Davide Satalia?

Gauvain Faivre-Picon, with 94 runners since 2008 — 16% of the total. That pairing has won 6 (6.4%).

Is Davide Satalia in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 8 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Davide Satalia's Fair A/E?

0.80, from 571 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Davide Satalia

579 runners in the lifetime window · 199 individual horses

As at 7 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Runners today

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2018→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

39–579

Wins / Runs

6.7%

Strike rate

n=579

138 (24%)

Placed

0.80

Fair A/E

n=571 · 0.67 incl. margin

−176.30

£1 level stake

n=574 at SP · −30.7%

£1.64m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

6.9%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 30 runners a season, winning with 7% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.80). The edge shows sharpest with horses returning fresh: 8% off breaks of two months or more (203 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 579 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 7 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 8.4% 19.4% when favourite Gauvain Faivre-Picon: 6.4% from 94 New recruits: 7.1% Claiming riders: 7.8% Sends off the favourite in 6% of races

The read

In Group and Graded company the record reads poorly at 1.8% (n=56, Fair A/E 0.36). The market has consistently overbet new recruits from other stables on their first run: 7.1% strike, Fair A/E 0.72 and −23.60 to a £1 stake over 113 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Gauvain Faivre-Picon rides 16% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (6.4%, A/E 0.74). The record reads poorly in Class 1 — 1.8% over 56 runners, 4.9pts below the baseline. One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Prix Noiro at Auteuil (FR) (Oct 2022, £32,471).

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.7% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

8.4%+1.7

n=203 · A/E 0.88 · £1 −4.00

New recruits · first run for the yard

7.1%+0.4

n=113 · A/E 0.72 · £1 −23.60

Debutants · first career start

3.4%−3.3

n=88 · A/E 0.55 · £1 −70.80

First-time headgear · true-first definition

3.5%−3.2

n=86 · A/E 0.53 · £1 −68.90

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

14.3%+7.6

n=14 · A/E 1.98 · £1 −2.00

When favourite

19.4%

n=36 · A/E 0.63 · £1 −18.20

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

7.8%+1.1

n=269 · A/E 0.79 · £1 −89.90

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

1.8%−4.9

n=56 · A/E 0.36 · £1 −17.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

In Class 1 1.8% vs 6.7% · n=56

In Group / Graded races 1.8% vs 6.7% · n=56

With Davide Satalia 11.5% vs 6.7% · n=52

With Alejandro Ruiz Gonzalez 11.4% vs 6.7% · n=35

Over 1m2f – 1m4f 2.5% vs 6.7% · n=40

With debutants 3.4% vs 6.7% · n=88

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 356 25 7% −141.30

Chase 118 8 6.8% −21.60

Flat 105 6 5.7% −13.40

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Soft 253 20 7.9% −141.37

Heavy 251 14 5.6% −42.63

Standard (AW) 41 4 9.8% +34.70

Good to Soft 25 0 0% −25.00

Good 9 1 11.1% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Auteuil (FR) 271 15 5.5% −136.07

Compiegne (FR) 144 11 7.6% +11.67

Chantilly 30 2 6.7% +12.20

Saint-Cloud (FR) 22 1 4.5% −11.10

Deauville (AW) 17 1 5.9% +9.00

Cagnes-Sur-Mer (FR) 16 1 6.3% −14.20

Dieppe (FR) 11 2 18.2% −4.60

Longchamp (FR) 10 0 0% −10.00

Clairefontaine (FR) 8 0 0% −8.00

Fontainebleau (FR) 8 1 12.5% −5.70

Strasbourg (FR) 7 0 0% −7.00

Aix-Les-Bains (FR) 4 1 25% +2.00

Lyon-La Soie (FR) 4 1 25% +3.50

Moulins (FR) 3 0 0% −3.00

Angers (FR) 3 0 0% −3.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 56 1 1.8% −17.00

Class 3 12 0 0% −12.00

Class 4 10 1 10% −2.50

Class 2 3 0 0% −3.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 41 7 17.1% 0.57 −23.20

2nd–3rd fav 74 10 13.5% 0.86 −22.80

4th–6th fav 163 12 7.4% 0.88 −55.00

7th+ in betting 296 7 2.4% 0.85 −75.30

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

77.8% completed · 472 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 116 81.9% 13 2 6 0 0

Hurdle 356 76.4% 20 3 59 0 2

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Numerus Borget (FR)from D Cottin 27 3 9 23 Oct 26

Nurmi (GER)from G Collet · then Giada Menato 22 1 4 28 Sep 21

Comte Noir (FR)from Mme S Marsch 18 2 5 7 Nov 26

Saint Turgeon (FR) 15 4 7 28 Feb 23

Balmoral (FR)from J-P Gauvin 13 2 6 22 Oct 26

Pollexfen (GB)from L Gabeur 11 1 2 10 Sep 25

Jereviendrai (FR)from D Cottin 10 1 2 21 Oct 24

First Daum (FR)from Emmanuel Clayeux 10 1 3 21 Jun 21

Why (FR) 9 1 2 11 Nov 24

Halite (IRE)from Mathieu Pitart 8 1 3 13 May 26

Neva Nevada (FR)from Yoann Bonnefoy · then M Seror 8 1 2 4 Jul 24

Jericoacoara (FR)then Micky Hammond 8 1 4 3 Mar 24

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 199 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 3 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 37 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from M Seror (3) and Mathieu Pitart (3); 23 had their first archived run for this yard.

11 have since run for another yard, most often for Micky Hammond (3); 49 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 8

Only 8 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

2215756670412412

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderGauvain Faivre-Picon

16% of all rides
6.4% SR · A/E 0.74

RiderRWSR£1

Gauvain Faivre-Picon 94 6 6.4% +38.60

Lucas Zuliani 58 5 8.6% −29.00

Mlle Axelle Nicco 55 4 7.3% −5.60

Davide Satalia 52 6 11.5% −14.80

Alejandro Ruiz Gonzalez 35 4 11.4% +11.90

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2018→

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£1.64m

Prize money

2022

Best season · 9 wins

Jereviendrai (FR) — Prix Noiro (Chase) () (3yo) (Turf) Auteuil (FR) · Oct 2022 · Listed

£32,471

La Montagnette (FR) — Prix d'Amiens (Hurdle) (Handicap) (4yo) (Turf) Compiegne (FR) · Nov 2023

£28,274

Secret D'Etat (FR) — Prix Chalet (Hurdle) (Conditions) (3yo) (Turf) Auteuil (FR) · Nov 2022

£24,353

Notable horses

Saint Turgeon (FR) Numerus Borget (FR) Comte Noir (FR) Balmoral (FR) Morgenstern (FR) Secret D'Etat (FR)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Nicaron (GER) 10.7% · 3–28

Progeny have won 8.5% of 448 runs since 2011 (73 horses).

Samum (GER) 7.7% · 2–26

Progeny have won 11.9% of 1,179 runs since 2008 (139 horses). Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 17.5% from 308. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 8.3% from 109.

Karaktar (IRE) 0% · 0–20

Progeny have won 12.8% of 743 runs since 2021 (150 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 9.5% from 263. Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 18.6% from 140.

Shalaa (IRE) 10.5% · 2–19

Progeny have won 9.6% of 2,448 runs since 2020 (279 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 14.8% from 142.

Bathyrhon (GER) 6.7% · 1–15

Progeny have won 12.5% of 1,194 runs since 2019 (188 horses).

Cokoriko (FR) 6.7% · 1–15

Progeny have won 13.2% of 2,316 runs since 2017 (382 horses).

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 7 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 579 · newest first

The latest 50 of 579 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 18 March 2018 to 7 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

07 Nov 26 Deauville (FR) Comte Noir (FR)J: Mme Axelle Nicco Prix De L'operation SpringClass 3 · 9.5f · Standard · 16 ran 5th 22/1

04 Nov 26 Le Croise-Laroche (FR) Larwa (FR)J: Lounis Mabrouk Prix D'hem16f · Good To Soft · 5 ran 5th 20/1

04 Nov 26 Auteuil (FR) Scarlana De Grez (FR)J: Joel Phelippe Prix Pre Catelan17.5f · Heavy · 13 ran F 12/1

31 Oct 26 Angers (FR) Northern Harbour (FR)J: Joel Phelippe Prix Point BleuClass 3 · 17f · Soft · 11 ran F 28/1

31 Oct 26 Angers (FR) Golden Beach (GB)J: Mme Lea Bails Prix RabelaisClass 4 · 11.5f · Soft · 16 ran 16th 16/1

30 Oct 26 Lyon Parilly (FR) Mer Secrete (FR)J: Joel Phelippe Prix Des Monts Du LyonnaisClass 4 · 17f · Very Soft · 13 ran 3rd 15/2

29 Oct 26 Fontainebleau (FR) Notre Decima Mas (FR)J: Joel Phelippe Prix Comte Antoine De Gontaut-bironClass 4 · 17.5f · Soft · 16 ran PU 33/1

28 Oct 26 Auteuil (FR) Semper Adamas (FR)J: Joshua Bryan Prix LusignanClass 2 · 17.5f · Heavy · 12 ran 9th 50/1

23 Oct 26 Lyon-La Soie (FR) Numerus Borget (FR)J: Mme Axelle Nicco Prix Des Pentes De La Croix-rousseClass 4 · 16f · Standard · 9 ran 1st 13/2

23 Oct 26 Lyon-La Soie (FR) Bialystok (IRE)J: Mme Axelle Nicco Prix De ConfluenceClass 4 · 10.5f · Standard · 13 ran 11th 28/1

22 Oct 26 Auteuil (FR) Balmoral (FR)J: Joel Phelippe Prix Marly River18f · Very Soft · 16 ran 1st 100/30F

22 Oct 26 Les Sables-d'Olonne (FR) Newyork Wood (FR)J: Mme Lea Bails Prix Claude Rouget13.5f · Very Soft · 16 ran 7th 10/1

19 Oct 26 Compiegne (FR) Narnia Du Large (FR)J: Arthur Duvacher Prix Falzarego17f · Heavy · 9 ran PU 33/1

19 Oct 26 Compiegne (FR) Doctorino (FR)J: Joel Phelippe Prix Falzarego17f · Heavy · 9 ran 1st 4/6F

18 Oct 26 Longchamp (FR) Numerus Borget (FR)J: Mme Axelle Nicco Prix Des Erables15.5f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 7th 33/1

17 Oct 26 Auteuil (FR) MexicoJ: Joel Phelippe Prix Adrien BesnouinClass 2 · 18f · Heavy · 13 ran 4th 28/1

14 Oct 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) Mer Secrete (FR)J: Dorian Provost Prix Glorieuse12.5f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 8th 40/1

11 Oct 26 Lyon-La Soie (FR) Golden Beach (GB)J: Dorian Provost Prix De Vaulx-en-velinClass 4 · 12f · Standard · 11 ran 7th 18/1

11 Oct 26 Auteuil (FR) Balmoral (FR)J: Joel Phelippe Prix Jack Barbe18f · Heavy · 14 ran 2nd 11/2

11 Oct 26 Lyon-La Soie (FR) Bialystok (IRE)J: Mme Axelle Nicco Prix De ClunyClass 4 · 9f · Standard · 11 ran 11th 66/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Davide Satalia's strike rate?: Davide Satalia has won 39 of 579 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 6.7% (as at 7 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Davide Satalia do best at?: Compiegne (FR) by strike rate: 11 wins from 144 runners (7.6%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Davide Satalia?: Gauvain Faivre-Picon, with 94 runners since 2008 — 16% of the total. That pairing has won 6 (6.4%).
Is Davide Satalia in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 8 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Davide Satalia's Fair A/E?: 0.80, from 571 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.