Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
KTB Yard Profile
Sends out around 20 runners a season, winning with 13% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.12).
Deterministic profile computed from 296 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 4 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance40% when favouriteSends off the favourite in 14% of races
The read
It is weakest at Auteuil (FR) (8.6% over 162 runners) — the largest sample in the record, and the widest gap. A horse in first-time headgear has been a poor signal at 9.8% (n=82, Fair A/E 0.91). The yard also reads well over 2m5f – 3m (19.4%, n=36) and off a 31-60-day break (18.8%, n=32). The record reads poorly on Heavy going — 9.3% over 129 runners, 3.9pts below the baseline. 7 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Prix General de Saint-Didier at Compiegne (FR) (Nov 2023, £53,761).
Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 13.2% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
12.6%−0.6
n=95 · A/E 1.05 · £1 −45.42
New recruits · first run for the yard
4.2%−9.0
n=24 · A/E 0.55 · £1 −14.50
Debutants · first career start
11.5%−1.7
n=87 · A/E 1.11 · £1 +12.80
First-time headgear · true-first definition
9.8%−3.4
n=82 · A/E 0.91 · £1 −17.20
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−13.2
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
When favourite
40%
n=40 · A/E 1.37 · £1 +4.22
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
10.3%−2.9
n=29 · A/E 1.32 · £1 +10.60
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
10.4%−2.8
n=67 · A/E 0.91 · £1 −38.20
Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 13.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.
Notable angles
vs their own baseline
With A Zuliani25% vs 13.2% · n=44
With Anthony Renard6.3% vs 13.2% · n=32
At Auteuil (FR)8.6% vs 13.2% · n=162
Over 2m5f – 3m19.4% vs 13.2% · n=36
Off a 31-60-day break18.8% vs 13.2% · n=32
On Heavy going9.3% vs 13.2% · n=129
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.
Record by conditions
same window as header
Race type
TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle1692313.6%+0.66
Chase901011.1%−28.04
Flat32515.6%+14.70
NH Flat5120%−2.20
Going
GoingRWSR£1
Soft1442416.7%−21.46
Heavy129129.3%−22.32
Good to Soft12216.7%+26.00
Standard (AW)8112.5%+5.90
Good300%−3.00
Courses
CourseRWSR£1
Auteuil (FR)162148.6%−39.02
Compiegne (FR)51713.7%−12.10
Dieppe (FR)9444.4%+7.08
Craon (FR)9333.3%+12.12
Le Lion-D'Angers (FR)7228.6%−2.06
Saint-Cloud (FR)7228.6%+0.10
Chantilly (FR)500%−5.00
Deauville (FR)5120%+8.90
Nantes (FR)400%−4.00
Moulins (FR)4125%+2.00
Clairefontaine (FR)400%−4.00
Vichy (FR)400%−4.00
Angers (FR)3133.3%−2.00
Longchamp (FR)300%−3.00
Senonnes-Pouance (FR)200%−2.00
Class
ClassRWSR£1
Class 169710.1%−40.20
Class 312216.7%−7.06
Class 2400%−4.00
Class 4300%−3.00
Class 53266.7%+10.50
Market position
In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite411639%1.35+3.22
2nd–3rd fav66913.6%0.83−19.00
4th–6th fav9388.6%0.96−25.40
7th+ in betting9355.4%1.66+26.30
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.
Distance
DistanceRWSR£1
2m1f – 2m4f2112612.3%−33.28
2m5f – 3m36719.4%+17.90
1m5f – 2m2514%−12.00
1m2f – 1m4f18422.2%+4.60
1m – 1m1f6116.7%+7.90
By season
By seasonRWSR£1
2018200%−2.00
2019200%−1.00
20209111.1%+20.00
20211417.1%−9.70
20222627.7%+4.20
202331412.9%−12.40
202450714%+5.20
20256769%−18.20
2026951818.9%−0.98
Handicaps
HandicapsRWSR£1
Handicaps6035%−10.90
Field size
Field sizeRWSR£1
8-10 runners1031312.6%+12.78
11-13 runners8189.9%−39.30
14-16 runners52611.5%+31.50
5-7 runners44920.5%−14.12
17+ runners1317.7%−6.80
2-4 runners3266.7%+1.06
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 111 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 2 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next
Of the 60 horses listed, 12 arrived from another yard in our archive; 48 had their first archived run for this yard.
9 have since run for another yard, most often for M Seror (2); 51 have no later run for another yard in our archive.
Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.
Current form
significance-gated
Last 14 days
Small sample
0 from 2
Only 2 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.
When the yard fires
strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
09810210223110102117
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.
Progeny have won 12.7% of 734 runs since 2021 (147 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 9.5% from 263. Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 18.6% from 140.
Progeny have won 8.6% of 628 runs since 2021 (104 horses). Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 12.7% from 212. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 4.9% from 185.
Progeny have won 15.3% of 2,018 runs since 2021 (329 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 18.3% from 278. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 10.8% from 370. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 20.5% from 254. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 6.9% from 203.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 4 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.
The record
latest 50 of 296 · newest first
The latest 50 of 296 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 21 June 2018 to 31 October 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
What is E D'Andigne's strike rate?
E D'Andigne has won 39 of 296 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 13.2% (as at 4 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does E D'Andigne do best at?
Compiegne (FR) by strike rate: 7 wins from 51 runners (13.7%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Is E D'Andigne in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 2 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is E D'Andigne's Fair A/E?
1.12, from 290 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
E D'Andigne·SR 13.2%·A/E 1.12
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