Edward Buckley
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sends out around 10 runners a season, winning with 6% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.19). The edge shows sharpest with horses returning fresh: 12% off breaks of two months or more (33 runs).
Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a positive signal at 12.1% (n=33, Fair A/E 2.77), but runners with a claiming rider up have been a poor signal at 2.6% (n=39, Fair A/E 0.73). Kieren Buckley rides 56% of the entries and edges the yard's average (10% vs 6.2%, A/E 1.44) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The record reads poorly in Flat races — 2.9% over 34 runners, 3.3pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard over 2m1f – 2m4f: Fair A/E 0.54 across 56 runners (3.6% strike, −37.43 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 6.2% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Jumping record
completion over obstacles · same window as headerHorses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
Small sampleWhen the yard fires
strike by month, lifetimeJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2024→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 162 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 162 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 7 February 2024 to 3 November 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
KTB’s figures
the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 10 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 4 runs (won 0) · to 23 Oct 2026.
Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.
Quick answers
- What is Edward Buckley's strike rate?
- Edward Buckley has won 10 of 162 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 6.2% (as at 5 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Who rides most for Edward Buckley?
- Kieren Buckley, with 90 runners since 2008 — 56% of the total. That pairing has won 9 (10%).
- Is Edward Buckley in form?
- Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 3 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
- What is Edward Buckley's Fair A/E?
- 1.19, from 162 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.