Edward Buckley
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sends out around 30 runners a season, winning with 6% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.22). The edge shows sharpest with horses returning fresh: 12% off breaks of two months or more (33 runs).
Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a positive signal at 12.1% (n=33, Fair A/E 2.77), but runners with a claiming rider up have been a poor signal at 2.6% (n=39, Fair A/E 0.73). Kieren Buckley rides 55% of the entries and edges the yard's average (10.3% vs 6.3%, A/E 1.50) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The record reads poorly in Flat races — 2.9% over 34 runners, 3.4pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard over 2m1f – 2m4f: Fair A/E 0.55 across 55 runners (3.6% strike, −36.43 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 6.3% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Jumping record
completion over obstacles · same window as headerHorses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
Small sampleWhen the yard fires
strike by month, 5 seasonsJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2024→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 159 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 159 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 7 February 2024 to 15 October 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Edward Buckley's strike rate?
- Edward Buckley has won 10 of 159 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 6.3% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Who rides most for Edward Buckley?
- Kieren Buckley, with 87 runners since 2022 — 55% of the total. That pairing has won 9 (10.3%).
- Is Edward Buckley in form?
- Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 5 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
- What is Edward Buckley's Fair A/E?
- 1.22, from 159 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.