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Trainer profile

Edward Buckley

159 runners in the last 5 seasons · 28 individual horses
As at 20 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 5 days ago
from 1 Jan 2022
10–159
Wins / Runs
6.3%
Strike rate
n=159
25 (16%)
Placed
1.22
n=159 · 0.95 incl. margin
−58.81
£1 level stake
n=159 at SP · −37.0%
£103k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
4.3%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 30 runners a season, winning with 6% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.22). The edge shows sharpest with horses returning fresh: 12% off breaks of two months or more (33 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 159 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 20 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 12.1% Kieren Buckley: 10.3% from 87
The read

Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a positive signal at 12.1% (n=33, Fair A/E 2.77), but runners with a claiming rider up have been a poor signal at 2.6% (n=39, Fair A/E 0.73). Kieren Buckley rides 55% of the entries and edges the yard's average (10.3% vs 6.3%, A/E 1.50) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The record reads poorly in Flat races — 2.9% over 34 runners, 3.4pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard over 2m1f – 2m4f: Fair A/E 0.55 across 55 runners (3.6% strike, −36.43 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.3% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
12.1%+5.8
n=33 · A/E 2.77 · £1 +42.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
44.4%+38.1
n=9 · A/E 6.29 · £1 +66.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−6.3
n=19 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −19.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−6.3
n=15 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −15.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
10%+3.7
n=10 · A/E 1.49 · £1 −6.00
When favourite
33.3%
n=6 · A/E 1.16 · £1 −1.81
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
2.6%−3.7
n=39 · A/E 0.73 · £1 −26.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−6.3
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With Kieren Buckley 10.3% vs 6.3% · n=87
With claiming riders up 2.6% vs 6.3% · n=39
With horses switching code 2.7% vs 6.3% · n=37
In Flat races 2.9% vs 6.3% · n=34
Over 2m1f – 2m4f 3.6% vs 6.3% · n=55
Off a 31-60-day break 8.5% vs 6.3% · n=47
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 107 7 6.5% −56.43
Flat 34 1 2.9% −21.00
Chase 9 2 22.2% +27.62
NH Flat 9 0 0% −9.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 64 5 7.8% −33.43
Soft 36 2 5.6% +0.62
Heavy 27 1 3.7% −22.00
Good to Soft 23 2 8.7% +5.00
Standard (AW) 8 0 0% −8.00
Good to Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Fairyhouse 18 2 11.1% −4.38
Punchestown 16 2 12.5% +35.00
Navan 13 1 7.7% −6.50
Kilbeggan 10 1 10% −4.50
Gowran Park 9 0 0% −9.00
Down Royal 9 0 0% −9.00
Leopardstown 8 1 12.5% +5.00
Limerick 8 1 12.5% −3.00
Ballinrobe 8 1 12.5% −6.43
Dundalk (AW) 8 0 0% −8.00
Cork 6 0 0% −6.00
Bellewstown 6 0 0% −6.00
Wexford 6 0 0% −6.00
Galway 4 0 0% −4.00
Curragh 4 0 0% −4.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 4 0 0% −4.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 6 2 33.3% 1.16 −1.81
2nd–3rd fav 15 3 20% 1.37 −0.50
4th–6th fav 33 3 9.1% 1.41 −2.50
7th+ in betting 105 2 1.9% 0.93 −54.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
83.6% completed · 116 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 9 100% 0 0 0 0 0
Hurdle 107 82.2% 6 1 12 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Noble Hilltop (IRE)from John C McConnell 14 1 2 11 Oct 25
Las Brisas Boy (IRE) 13 0 2 13 Oct 26
Malbas (GB)from John C McConnell 12 2 4 26 Aug 26
Certamen (IRE) 10 0 0 10 Oct 26
Medadthebookie (GB) 9 0 0 15 Oct 26
Ceol Draiochta (IRE)then Adam Nicol 8 0 1 30 Jul 25
Tellmemamema (IRE) 7 0 1 7 Aug 26
Migdam (FR)from Adrian McGuinness · then James Andrew Fahey 7 1 2 8 May 26
Diamond Island (IRE) 7 0 1 16 Apr 26
Ney (IRE)from Danny Brooke 7 2 3 15 Feb 26
Magna Beauty (IRE) 7 0 0 6 Jun 25
All 28 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 28 horses listed, 9 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from John C McConnell (4); 19 had their first archived run for this yard.

3 have since run for another yard; 25 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 5
Only 5 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
14180101210757000
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderKieren Buckley
55% of all rides
10.3% SR · A/E 1.50
RiderRWSR£1
Kieren Buckley 87 9 10.3% +0.19
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2024→
10
Archived wins
£103k
Prize money
2025
Best season · 6 wins
Ney (IRE) — Tote Guarantee Available On Course & Tote.ie Rated Novice Chase Fairyhouse · Feb 2025
£9,440
Banner Beauty (IRE) — Irish Stallion Farms EBF Median Auction Maiden Leopardstown · May 2025
£9,440
Bells Grove (IRE) — SIS, Supporting Irish Racing Handicap Hurdle Navan (IRE) · Sep 2026
£9,000

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Jet Away (GB) 0% · 0–18
Progeny have won 11.2% of 2,496 runs since 2008 (267 horses).
Teofilo (IRE) 0% · 0–18
Progeny have won 12.5% of 10,070 runs since 2008 (907 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7% from 625.
Churchill (IRE) 7.1% · 1–14
Progeny have won 11% of 4,781 runs since 2008 (458 horses).
Mukhadram (GB) 16.7% · 2–12
Progeny have won 10.7% of 2,438 runs since 2008 (199 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15.2% from 302.
Mondialiste (IRE) 0% · 0–9
Progeny have won 6.5% of 905 runs since 2008 (104 horses). Strongest on Soft going: 11.5% from 131. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 3.2% from 283.
Diamond Boy (FR) 0% · 0–7
Progeny have won 12% of 2,270 runs since 2008 (284 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 20 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 159 · newest first

The latest 50 of 159 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 7 February 2024 to 15 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
15 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Medadthebookie (GB)J: Tom Buckley Isuzu Ireland Handicap14f · Yielding To Soft · 21 ran 16th 80/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Edward Buckley's strike rate?
Edward Buckley has won 10 of 159 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 6.3% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Who rides most for Edward Buckley?
Kieren Buckley, with 87 runners since 2022 — 55% of the total. That pairing has won 9 (10.3%).
Is Edward Buckley in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 5 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Edward Buckley's Fair A/E?
1.22, from 159 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 20 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).