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Trainer profile

Enda Kelly

55 runners in the lifetime window · 15 individual horses
As at 29 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Jul 2008
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
3–55
Wins / Runs
5.5%
Strike rate
n=55
8 (15%)
Placed
0.87
Fair A/E
n=55 · 0.66 incl. margin
−26.00
£1 level stake
n=55 at SP · −47.3%
£42,765
Prize money (window)

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 5.5% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−5.5
n=8 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −8.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−5.5
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−5.5
n=8 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −8.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
14.3%+8.8
n=7 · A/E 1.63 · £1 +2.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
4.5%−1.0
n=22 · A/E 0.84 · £1 −13.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−5.5
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 49 2 4.1% −29.00
Hurdle 6 1 16.7% +3.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 16 1 6.3% −7.00
Standard (AW) 15 0 0% −15.00
Good to Firm 7 1 14.3% +8.00
Good to Soft 5 0 0% −5.00
Soft 5 0 0% −5.00
Heavy 4 1 25% +1.00
Firm 3 0 0% −3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Dundalk (AW) 12 0 0% −12.00
Leopardstown 8 1 12.5% +7.00
Cork 5 0 0% −5.00
Curragh 4 0 0% −4.00
Fairyhouse 4 0 0% −4.00
Wolverhampton (AW) 3 0 0% −3.00
Wexford 3 0 0% −3.00
Downpatrick 3 1 33.3% +6.00
Navan 3 0 0% −3.00
Down Royal 2 0 0% −2.00
Gowran Park 2 0 0% −2.00
Limerick 2 1 50% +3.00
Naas 2 0 0% −2.00
Ballinrobe 1 0 0% −1.00
Sligo 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 3 0 0% −3.00
Class 1 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 2 0 0% 0.00 −2.00
2nd–3rd fav 7 2 28.6% 2.03 +7.00
4th–6th fav 17 0 0% 0.00 −17.00
7th+ in betting 29 1 3.4% 1.06 −14.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Gracious Girl (IRE)then David Marnane 7 0 2 16 Jul 08
Precious Citizen (USA)then David P Myerscough 5 0 1 22 Jul 08
Invisible Spirit (IRE) 5 0 0 16 Jul 08
Crystal Spirit (IRE)then David Marnane 5 0 1 24 Jun 08
Home Island (IRE)then E Sheehy 5 1 1 9 May 08
Chibcha (IRE)then Kevin Prendergast 4 1 1 13 Jul 08
Wildwish (IRE) 4 0 0 30 May 08
Modern Myth (IRE) 3 0 0 19 Jun 08
Ava's Koh (IRE) 3 0 0 14 Jun 08
Patwish (GB)then Muredach Kelly 3 0 0 23 May 08
Manhattan Beach (IRE) 3 1 2 27 Apr 08
Footfalls (IRE)then David Marnane 2 0 0 17 Jul 08
All 15 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 15 horses listed, 1 arrived from another yard in our archive; 14 had their first archived run for this yard.

9 have since run for another yard, most often for David Marnane (3) and Muredach Kelly (2); 6 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
000141200·····
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Chris Hayes 20 1 5% −5.00
P B Beggy 9 0 0% −9.00
N G McCullagh 6 1 16.7% −1.00
Niki O'Shea 6 1 16.7% +3.00
Martin Lane 2 0 0% −2.00
Sam James 2 0 0% −2.00
Declan McDonogh 2 0 0% −2.00
Willie Supple 2 0 0% −2.00
D J Moran 1 0 0% −1.00
M P Snee 1 0 0% −1.00
Martin Harley 1 0 0% −1.00
John Fahy 1 0 0% −1.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
8
Archived wins
£116k
Prize money
2008
Best season · 3 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Chibcha (IRE) — Irish Stallion Farms EBF Median Auction Maiden Leopardstown · May 2008
£13,020
Manhattan Beach (IRE) — Irish Stallion Farms European Breeders Fund Fillies Maiden Limerick (IRE) · Apr 2008
£13,020
Wildwish (IRE) — Down Royal Festival Of Racing Handicap (60-95) Down Royal · Aug 2007
£10,365
Notable horses
Wildwish (IRE) Tamara Gervasoni (IRE) Home Island (IRE) Chibcha (IRE) Manhattan Beach (IRE) Just Different (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Invincible Spirit (IRE) 0% · 0–12
Progeny have won 11.9% of 20,840 runs since 2008 (1,573 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 16.1% from 161. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.8% from 843.
Noverre (USA) 0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 10.7% of 3,831 runs since 2008 (235 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 13.7% from 803. Weakest on Soft going: 6.9% from 407.
Proud Citizen (USA) 0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 8.3% of 723 runs since 2008 (61 horses).
Turtle Island (IRE) 20% · 1–5
Progeny have won 7.5% of 3,325 runs since 2008 (309 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 10.7% from 215.
Alhaarth (IRE) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 9.7% of 4,158 runs since 2008 (308 horses).
High Chaparral (IRE) 25% · 1–4
Progeny have won 10.3% of 8,730 runs since 2008 (682 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 6.2% from 419.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 29 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 185 · newest first

The latest 50 of 185 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 5 February 2005 to 22 July 2008.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
22 Jul 08 Ballinrobe Precious Citizen (USA)J: P B Beggy Mayo News Handicap (45-60)9f · Good · 16 ran 8th 9/2
17 Jul 08 Fairyhouse (IRE) Footfalls (IRE)J: N G McCullagh Irish Stallion Farms European Breeders Fund Fillies Maiden10f · Good · 18 ran 10th 50/1
17 Jul 08 Fairyhouse (IRE) Precious Citizen (USA)J: P B Beggy Club Fundraising Events Handicap (Div I)9f · Good · 17 ran 2nd 14/1
16 Jul 08 Leopardstown Invisible Spirit (IRE)J: Chris Hayes Kilmacud Claiming Race7f · Good · 10 ran 9th 25/1
16 Jul 08 Leopardstown Gracious Girl (IRE)J: P B Beggy Kilmacud Claiming Race7f · Good · 10 ran 2nd 7/1
13 Jul 08 Curragh Chibcha (IRE)J: Chris Hayes Weeping Thaiger Restaurants Nursery (60-90)6f · Good To Yielding · 8 ran 6th 9/1
12 Jul 08 Dundalk (AW) Gracious Girl (IRE)J: Martin Harley Crazy Clean Maiden6f · Standard · 13 ran 4th 12/1
12 Jul 08 Curragh Invisible Spirit (IRE)J: Martin Lane Peter Keatley Curragh Groundcare Handicap (50-80)6f · Yielding · 18 ran 13th 25/1
09 Jul 08 Naas San Diego Prince (GB)J: Willie Supple Naas Races Handicap (45-60)6f · Yielding · 20 ran 11th 33/1
24 Jun 08 Sligo Crystal Spirit (IRE)J: Declan McDonogh Sligo Claiming Race10f · Good · 15 ran 9th 6/1
22 Jun 08 Gowran Park Footfalls (IRE)J: N G McCullagh Irish Stallion Farms EBF (Fillies) Maiden9.5f · Good · 15 ran 9th 25/1
19 Jun 08 Fairyhouse Modern Myth (IRE)J: Chris Hayes La Bucca Handicap (45-65)7f · Good · 18 ran 17th 25/1
15 Jun 08 Cork Gracious Girl (IRE)J: Danny Mullins Kerry Group Handicap (50-75)6f · Good To Firm · 15 ran 10th 9/1
15 Jun 08 Cork Chibcha (IRE)J: Chris Hayes Kerry Spring Water Rochestown Stakes (listed)6f · Good To Firm · 7 ran 5th 11/1
14 Jun 08 Limerick Ava's Koh (IRE)J: Niki O'Shea Www.syncreon.com Hurdle16f · Good To Firm · 5 ran 5th 33/1
06 Jun 08 Navan Modern Myth (IRE)J: Sam James Derrinstown Stud Apprentice Handicap (45-60)5f · Firm · 19 ran 18th 14/1
06 Jun 08 Navan San Diego Prince (GB)J: M P Snee Derrinstown Stud Apprentice Handicap (45-60)5f · Firm · 19 ran 11th 25/1
30 May 08 Down Royal Wildwish (IRE)J: Chris Hayes Barclay Communications Handicap (50-80)7f · Firm · 14 ran 7th 12/1
28 May 08 Leopardstown Invisible Spirit (IRE)J: Chris Hayes Irishtown Maiden8f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 13th 25/1
28 May 08 Leopardstown Precious Citizen (USA)J: P B Beggy Irishtown Maiden8f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 11th 50/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Enda Kelly's strike rate?
Enda Kelly has won 3 of 55 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 5.5% (as at 29 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Enda Kelly's Fair A/E?
0.87, from 55 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 29 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).