Skip to content
Trainer profile

Francesca Nimmo

35 runners in the lifetime window · 20 individual horses
As at 15 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner May 2021 94% of runners over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2014→)
No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
4–35
Wins / Runs
11.4%
Strike rate
n=35
7 (20%)
Placed
1.25
Fair A/E
n=35 · 1.09 incl. margin
−17.50
£1 level stake
n=35 at SP · −50.0%
£13,143
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 11.4% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
5.9%−5.5
n=17 · A/E 1.00 · £1 −11.50
New recruits · first run for the yard
8.3%−3.1
n=12 · A/E 1.18 · £1 −6.50
Debutants · first career start
0%−11.4
n=8 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −8.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−11.4
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−11.4
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
When favourite
100%
n=1 · A/E 1.64 · £1 +0.50
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
15.4%+4.0
n=26 · A/E 1.58 · £1 −8.50

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 11.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Chase 29 4 13.8% −11.50
NH Flat 4 0 0% −4.00
Flat 2 0 0% −2.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 13 1 7.7% −7.50
Soft 9 1 11.1% −4.00
Good to Soft 7 0 0% −7.00
Heavy 5 2 40% +2.00
Good to Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Cheltenham 8 0 0% −8.00
Stratford 3 0 0% −3.00
Newbury 3 0 0% −3.00
Aintree 3 0 0% −3.00
Wincanton 2 1 50% +3.00
Exeter 2 0 0% −2.00
Fontwell 2 0 0% −2.00
Leicester 2 0 0% −2.00
Carlisle 2 2 100% +5.00
Warwick 1 0 0% −1.00
Wetherby 1 0 0% −1.00
Towcester 1 0 0% −1.00
Fakenham 1 0 0% −1.00
Punchestown 1 0 0% −1.00
Kempton 1 1 100% +4.50

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 4 11 0 0% −11.00
Class 6 11 1 9.1% −6.00
Class 5 9 3 33.3% +3.50
Class 3 2 0 0% −2.00
Class 2 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 2 1 50% 1.16 −0.50
2nd–3rd fav 10 3 30% 2.32 +6.00
4th–6th fav 9 0 0% 0.00 −9.00
7th+ in betting 14 0 0% 0.00 −14.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
58.6% completed · 29 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 29 58.6% 2 4 6 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Loch Ba (IRE)from Mick Channon 4 2 2 6 Apr 17
Summer Sounds (IRE)from Tom Symonds 3 0 0 30 Apr 21
Ange Des Malberaux (FR)from Dan Skelton · then Francesca Poste 3 0 0 30 Apr 21
Gowanauthat (IRE)from Charlie Mann 3 0 0 8 Jun 18
Jimmy The Jetplane (IRE)from Kim Bailey 3 1 1 27 Apr 18
Duke Of Lucca (IRE)from Philip Hobbs 3 1 1 18 Apr 17
Current Exchange (IRE)from Gordon Elliott 2 0 1 5 May 17
Hudson Gunner (IRE)from Colin Bowe 2 0 0 30 Apr 14
Hope Des Blins (FR)then John Patrick Ryan 1 0 0 28 May 21
Risk A Fine (IRE)from Gareth Moore 1 0 0 30 Apr 21
Beau Sancy (FR)from Olly Murphy 1 0 0 19 Feb 21
Feodora (GB)then Toby Lawes 1 0 0 31 May 19
All 20 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 20 horses listed, 12 arrived from another yard in our archive; 8 had their first archived run for this yard.

6 have since run for another yard; 14 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
00381000······
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Mr James Jackson-Stops 9 3 33.3% +3.00
Ben Poste 3 0 0% −3.00
Hugh Nugent 3 0 0% −3.00
Miss Francesca Nimmo 3 1 33.3% +2.50
Mr James King 3 0 0% −3.00
Alice Stevens 3 0 0% −3.00
Miss Caroline Tucker 2 0 0% −2.00
Mr James Ridley 1 0 0% −1.00
Alex Edwards 1 0 0% −1.00
Miss Gina Andrews 1 0 0% −1.00
Tabitha Worsley 1 0 0% −1.00
Mr Samuel Davies-Thomas 1 0 0% −1.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2014→
4
Archived wins
£13,143
Prize money
2017
Best season · 3 wins
Duke Of Lucca (IRE) — Matchbook Betting Exchange Open Hunters' Chase Kempton · Apr 2017 · Class 5
£3,200
Jimmy The Jetplane (IRE) — Bet And Watch At 188Bet Open Hunters' Chase Carlisle · Mar 2018 · Class 5
£2,496
Loch Ba (IRE) — Cheltenham Preview Here Today Open Hunters' Chase Carlisle · Mar 2017 · Class 5
£2,496
Notable horses
Loch Ba (IRE) Jimmy The Jetplane (IRE) Duke Of Lucca (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Milan (GB) 20% · 1–5
Progeny have won 11.3% of 16,840 runs since 2008 (1,463 horses).
Craigsteel (GB) 50% · 2–4
Progeny have won 10.1% of 3,393 runs since 2008 (262 horses). Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 15.5% from 291. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 6.9% from 763.
Beneficial (GB) 0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 10.5% of 17,043 runs since 2008 (1,155 horses).
Definite Article (GB) 0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 10.5% of 5,617 runs since 2008 (527 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 5.1% from 138. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 4.3% from 211.
Golan (IRE) 0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 8.7% of 3,151 runs since 2008 (288 horses). Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 5.4% from 258.
Jimble (FR) 33.3% · 1–3
Progeny have won 8.6% of 625 runs since 2008 (43 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

all 35 archived runs · newest first

Every one of Francesca Nimmo's 35 archived runners, from 21 March 2014 to 28 May 2021, newest first — 4 winners among them.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
28 May 21 Stratford Hope Des Blins (FR)J: Mr James King Irish Thoroughbred Marketing Champion 'Point-To-Point' Bumper (Standard NH Flat Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Good · 5 ran 5th 6/1
30 Apr 21 Cheltenham Risk A Fine (IRE)J: Mr James King 100% RacingTV Profits Back To Racing Open Hunters' ChaseClass 5 · 20.5f · Good · 11 ran 6th 13/2
30 Apr 21 Cheltenham Ange Des Malberaux (FR)J: Mrs Amy Cox Lorna Brooke Open Hunters' ChaseClass 4 · 32.5f · Good · 16 ran 8th 66/1
30 Apr 21 Cheltenham Summer Sounds (IRE)J: Alice Stevens JRL Group Open Hunters' ChaseClass 4 · 26.5f · Good · 8 ran 5th 18/1
19 Feb 21 Fakenham Beau Sancy (FR)J: Lewis Stones William Bulwer Long Memorial 'Grassroots' Hunters' ChaseClass 5 · 24f · Soft · 9 ran PU 18/1
18 Feb 21 Leicester Summer Sounds (IRE)J: Ben Poste Dick Saunders Novices' Hunters' Chase (Div 1)Class 5 · 22.5f · Heavy · 15 ran PU 100/1
03 Feb 21 Warwick Ange Des Malberaux (FR)J: Ben Poste Willoughby De Broke Open Hunters' ChaseClass 6 · 24f · Soft · 17 ran 6th 40/1
21 Jan 21 Ludlow Ange Des Malberaux (FR)J: Ben Poste Behind Bars Open Hunters' ChaseClass 5 · 24f · Soft · 13 ran UR 25/1
31 May 19 Stratford Feodora (GB)J: Mr James King Irish Thoroughbred Marketing Champion 'Point-To-Point' Bumper (Standard NH Flat Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Good · 13 ran UR 6/1
03 May 19 Cheltenham Black Jewel (IRE)J: Mr Gordon Hopkinson Connolly's Red Mills Intermediate Point-to-point Championship Final Hunters' ChaseClass 4 · 26f · Good To Soft · 15 ran F 33/1
08 Jun 18 Stratford Gowanauthat (IRE)J: Alice Stevens White Swan Hotel Open Hunters' ChaseClass 5 · 17f · Good · 17 ran 6th 18/1
04 May 18 Cheltenham Summer Sounds (IRE)J: Mr James Jackson-Stops Connolly's Red Mills Intermediate Point-to-point Championship Final Hunters' ChaseClass 4 · 26f · Good · 12 ran 5th 20/1
27 Apr 18 Punchestown Jimmy The Jetplane (IRE)J: Mr James Jackson-Stops Star Best For Racing Coverage Champion Hunters Chase24.5f · Soft · 13 ran 5th 33/1
24 Apr 18 Exeter Control Me (IRE)J: Alex Edwards Goffs Spring Sales P2P Bumper Maiden NH Flat Race (Amateurs)Class 4 · 17f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 4th 9/2
23 Mar 18 Newbury Jimmy The Jetplane (IRE)J: Mr James Jackson-Stops Bjp Insurance Brokers Open Hunters' ChaseClass 6 · 23.5f · Soft · 8 ran 4th 5/2J
09 Mar 18 Leicester Gowanauthat (IRE)J: Mr James Jackson-Stops Nicol & Fielding Mechanical Services Ltd Open Hunters' ChaseClass 5 · 16f · Heavy · 13 ran 5th 20/1
08 Mar 18 Carlisle Jimmy The Jetplane (IRE)J: Mr James Jackson-Stops Bet And Watch At 188Bet Open Hunters' ChaseClass 5 · 21f · Heavy · 4 ran 1st 9/2
25 Feb 18 Fontwell Gowanauthat (IRE)J: Alice Stevens Totepool Betting At Totesport.com Open Hunters' ChaseClass 6 · 26f · Good To Soft · 6 ran 4th 12/1
19 May 17 Aintree Dusty Pearl (GB)J: Miss Gina Andrews Goffs Spring Sales P2P Bumper Standard NH Flat Race (Amateurs)Class 3 · 17f · Good · 10 ran 3rd 9/1
05 May 17 Cheltenham Current Exchange (IRE)J: Miss Caroline Tucker Hunt Staff Benefit Society Open Hunters' ChaseClass 4 · 25.5f · Good · 12 ran 8th 20/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Francesca Nimmo's strike rate?
Francesca Nimmo has won 4 of 35 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 11.4% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Francesca Nimmo's Fair A/E?
1.25, from 35 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 15 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).