Gabriel Leenders
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sends out around 80 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 11% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.92). Debutants are a strength: 14% on first career starts (393 runs). The yard is in form now — 3 winners in the last fortnight, above its own baseline.
The record is strongest at Pau (19.2%, n=52) and Dieppe (19.4%, n=36) — all clear of the yard's 11.2% baseline. New recruits from other stables on their first run struggle at 4.6% (n=65, Fair A/E 0.37). Debutants are the standout value angle: 13.5% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.21 and +30.07 to a £1 stake over 393 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. The market has consistently overbet runners with a claiming rider up: 10.2% strike, Fair A/E 0.79 and −62.30 to a £1 stake over 157 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Right now the yard is firing: 3 winners from 16 runners in the last 14 days (18.8%, 7.6pts above the 11.2% baseline). Clement Lefebvre rides 35% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (11.9%, A/E 0.90). The record reads poorly off a 8-14-day break — 2.9% over 35 runners, 8.3pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard in Flat races: Fair A/E 0.27 across 80 runners (5% strike, −53.30 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. 37 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Prix Maurice Gillois - Grand Steeple-Chase at Auteuil (FR) (Nov 2023, £141,372). The stable star of the record: Gold Tweet (FR) — 7 wins from 29 runs for the yard.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 11.2% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 11.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Jumping record
completion over obstacles · same window as headerHorses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
In formWhen the yard fires
strike by month, lifetimeJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2014→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 1,519 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 1,519 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 11 April 2014 to 12 November 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Gabriel Leenders's strike rate?
- Gabriel Leenders has won 170 of 1,519 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 11.2% (as at 12 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Gabriel Leenders do best at?
- Dieppe by strike rate: 7 wins from 36 runners (19.4%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Who rides most for Gabriel Leenders?
- Clement Lefebvre, with 528 runners since 2008 — 35% of the total. That pairing has won 63 (11.9%).
- Is Gabriel Leenders in form?
- In the last 14 days: 16 runners, 3 winners, a strike rate of 18.8%. That is above the baseline of 11.2% since 2008.
- What is Gabriel Leenders's Fair A/E?
- 0.92, from 1,483 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.