What is Henry Hogarth's strike rate?

Henry Hogarth has won 61 of 835 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 7.3% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Henry Hogarth do best at?

Cartmel by strike rate: 5 wins from 41 runners (12.2%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Henry Hogarth?

Jamie Hamilton, with 200 runners since 2008 — 24% of the total. That pairing has won 10 (5%).

What is Henry Hogarth's Fair A/E?

0.91, from 833 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Henry Hogarth

835 runners in the lifetime window · 65 individual horses

As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 19 days ago 100% of runners over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

61–835

Wins / Runs

7.3%

Strike rate

n=835

186 (22%)

Placed

0.91

Fair A/E

n=833 · 0.79 incl. margin

−320.22

£1 level stake

n=835 at SP · −38.3%

£443k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

12.5%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 40 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 7% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.91). With a claiming rider up the record reads 10% (267 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 835 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 6 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance 38.9% when favourite Jamie Hamilton: 5% from 200 Claiming riders: 9.7% Sends off the favourite in 4% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Newcastle (11.8%, n=93), clear of the yard's 7.3% baseline. New recruits from other stables on their first run struggle at 0% (n=37, Fair A/E 0.00). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 4.3% strike, Fair A/E 0.75 and −122.00 to a £1 stake over 208 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Jamie Hamilton rides 24% of the entries and sits below the yard's average (5% vs 7.3%, A/E 0.62). The record reads poorly off a break of 180+ days — 2.8% over 106 runners, 4.5pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard over 1m5f – 2m: Fair A/E 0.49 across 184 runners (3.8% strike, −145.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. The stable star of the record: Pamak D'airy (FR) — 6 wins from 61 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.3% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

4.3%−3.0

n=208 · A/E 0.75 · £1 −122.00

New recruits · first run for the yard

0%−7.3

n=37 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −37.00

Debutants · first career start

0%−7.3

n=18 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −18.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

8.6%+1.3

n=35 · A/E 1.66 · £1 +6.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

11.1%+3.8

n=18 · A/E 1.29 · £1 +19.75

When favourite

38.9%

n=36 · A/E 1.42 · £1 +9.20

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

9.7%+2.4

n=267 · A/E 1.03 · £1 −64.68

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With Danny McMenamin 20% vs 7.3% · n=45

With new recruits 0% vs 7.3% · n=37

On last-time-out winners 12.5% vs 7.3% · n=64

Off a break of 180+ days 2.8% vs 7.3% · n=106

At Newcastle 11.8% vs 7.3% · n=93

Over 1m5f – 2m 3.8% vs 7.3% · n=184

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Chase 469 44 9.4% −111.17

Hurdle 355 17 4.8% −198.05

NH Flat 11 0 0% −11.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 331 30 9.1% −91.13

Soft 203 12 5.9% −84.00

Good to Soft 179 8 4.5% −113.62

Heavy 73 7 9.6% −34.72

Good to Firm 49 4 8.2% +3.25

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Sedgefield 124 8 6.5% −64.88

Hexham 110 11 10% −33.97

Newcastle 93 11 11.8% +5.25

Catterick 81 4 4.9% −33.00

Wetherby 75 3 4% −57.75

Southwell 59 2 3.4% −45.00

Market Rasen 57 3 5.3% −15.50

Carlisle 56 5 8.9% −34.87

Cartmel 41 5 12.2% +21.50

Doncaster 35 3 8.6% −18.50

Uttoxeter 32 1 3.1% −20.00

Kelso 17 1 5.9% −13.00

Bangor-on-Dee 13 2 15.4% +11.00

Perth 8 0 0% −8.00

Haydock 7 1 14.3% +6.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 384 34 8.9% −73.72

Class 4 365 22 6% −212.38

Class 3 66 5 7.6% −14.12

Class 2 10 0 0% −10.00

Class 6 10 0 0% −10.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 43 16 37.2% 1.43 +12.70

2nd–3rd fav 140 17 12.1% 0.79 −41.92

4th–6th fav 304 20 6.6% 0.84 −103.00

7th+ in betting 348 8 2.3% 0.74 −188.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

73.9% completed · 824 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 469 73.6% 13 13 97 0 1

Hurdle 355 74.4% 6 8 75 1 1

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Pamak D'airy (FR)from Nicky Henderson 61 6 19 23 Jan 17

Over And Above (IRE) 42 4 11 24 Jun 16

Grand Enterprise (GB)from Tom George 41 2 17 26 Nov 21

Mance Rayder (IRE)from Philip Hobbs 40 4 12 11 Jun 24

Alto Des Mottes (FR)from Paul Nicholls 37 3 10 7 Nov 19

Boss Des Mottes (FR)from Dan Skelton 30 1 5 10 Mar 21

Finbin (IRE) 30 5 10 19 Jul 14

Shrewd Investor (IRE) 27 1 5 19 May 11

Hattons Hill (IRE) 22 5 7 26 Mar 19

Gris De Pron (FR)from Oliver Greenall · then Oliver Greenall 21 1 2 22 Aug 20

Deny (GB)from Sir Michael Stoute 20 2 9 9 Mar 16

Mysterious World (IRE)from Kate Walton 19 1 5 13 Oct 12

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 65 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 3 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 36 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Paul Nicholls (7) and Nicky Henderson (2); 24 had their first archived run for this yard.

6 have since run for another yard; 54 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

981081184250642

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderJamie Hamilton

24% of all rides
5% SR · A/E 0.62

RiderRWSR£1

Jamie Hamilton 200 10 5% −130.50

Tony Kelly 78 7 9% −22.80

Fearghal Davis 67 4 6% −23.38

Phil Kinsella 65 3 4.6% −45.00

Richie McGrath 50 3 6% +2.50

Brian Hughes 48 5 10.4% −13.00

Danny McMenamin 45 9 20% +30.21

Michael O'Connell 44 2 4.5% −24.50

Robert Walford 30 2 6.7% −18.25

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

Archived wins

£625k

Prize money

2006

Best season · 9 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

King Killone (IRE) — totesport 0800 221 221 Novices' Chase Newcastle · Feb 2006 · Class 2

£19,464

Imperial Dream (IRE) — Novices' Handicap Chase Ayr · Apr 2005 · Class 2

£12,793

King Killone (IRE) — totesport.com Handicap Chase Wetherby · Nov 2006 · Class 3

£11,711

Notable horses

Pamak D'airy (FR) Shrewd Investor (IRE) Finbin (IRE) Hattons Hill (IRE) Over And Above (IRE) Mance Rayder (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Presenting (GB) 14.5% · 9–62

Progeny have won 11% of 20,052 runs since 2008 (1,686 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 24.3% from 136.

Cadoubel (FR) 9.8% · 6–61

Progeny have won 9.8% of 143 runs since 2008 (23 horses).

Flemensfirth (USA) 8.9% · 4–45

Progeny have won 11.9% of 17,288 runs since 2008 (1,595 horses).

Overbury (IRE) 9.5% · 4–42

Progeny have won 10.7% of 4,657 runs since 2008 (423 horses).

Fair Mix (IRE) 4.9% · 2–41

Progeny have won 7.3% of 2,578 runs since 2008 (251 horses).

Dream Well (FR) 8.1% · 3–37

Progeny have won 11.6% of 1,165 runs since 2008 (135 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 15.2% from 210. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 0% from 111. Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 16.3% from 190. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 6.5% from 185.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,005 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,005 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 3 January 2005 to 18 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

18 Oct 26 Sedgefield Fortunate Fella (IRE)J: William Maggs Celebrating 40 Years Of Vickers Bookmakers Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 21f · Good · 7 ran PU 50/1

14 Sep 26 Sedgefield Beny Nahar Road (IRE)J: Jamie Hamilton Paxtons No1 Caseih Dealer Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 20f · Good · 10 ran 3rd 10/1

26 Jul 26 Uttoxeter Beny Nahar Road (IRE)J: Jamie Hamilton QuinnBet Handicap Hurdle Race (Div I)Class 5 · 20f · Good · 10 ran 6th 15/2

05 Jul 26 Market Rasen Beny Nahar Road (IRE)J: Jamie Hamilton Stay At The Market Rasen Racecourse Caravan Park Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 23f · Good · 12 ran 10th 16/1

13 Jun 26 Hexham Beny Nahar Road (IRE)J: Jamie Hamilton drainrat.co.uk Rat Entry Diagnosis Specialist Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 23.5f · Good · 8 ran 4th 16/1

27 May 26 Cartmel Beny Nahar Road (IRE)J: Jamie Hamilton Traffic Management Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 22f · Good · 9 ran 8th 18/1

16 Feb 26 Carlisle Largy Train (GB)J: Charlie Maggs Watch Racing TV Now Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 5th 7/2

25 Jan 26 Sedgefield Largy Train (GB)J: Charlie Maggs Fairlight Studios Conditional Jockeys' Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 19.5f · Good To Soft · 5 ran 1st 11/2

26 Dec 25 Sedgefield Fortunate Fella (IRE)J: Joe Williamson SprayClad UK NE Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 19.5f · Good To Soft · 9 ran PU 50/1

24 Nov 25 Sedgefield Largy Train (GB)J: Danny McMenamin Chris Blanckley 79th Birthday Celebration Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 21f · Soft · 6 ran 3rd 13/8F

06 Nov 25 Sedgefield Largy Train (GB)J: Danny McMenamin Michael Watson Civils & Groundworks Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 21f · Good · 11 ran 2nd 13/2

30 Sep 25 Sedgefield Jackpot D'athou (FR)J: Ryan Mania Paxtons No1 For CaseIH Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 20f · Good · 12 ran 3rd 14/1

16 Sep 25 Uttoxeter Beny Nahar Road (IRE)J: Jamie Hamilton Pete Ball 60th Birthday Celebration Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 10 ran F 11/2

23 Aug 25 Cartmel Beny Nahar Road (IRE)J: Jamie Hamilton Cengiz Sadik Memorial Handicap Chase (For The Cengiz Sadik Memorial Trophy)Class 4 · 17.5f · Good · 6 ran 2nd 16/5

19 Jul 25 Cartmel Beny Nahar Road (IRE)J: Jamie Hamilton Windermere School Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 21f · Good · 9 ran 4th 12/1

06 Jul 25 Market Rasen Jackpot D'athou (FR)J: Jamie Hamilton Dino Day Charity Umbrellas Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 16.5f · Soft · 6 ran 5th 8/1

22 Jun 25 Hexham Fortunate Fella (IRE)J: Jamie Hamilton Chris Lowther & Brian Ellison 27 Years Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20f · Good · 7 ran 3rd 11/1

22 Jun 25 Hexham Beny Nahar Road (IRE)J: Jamie Hamilton Diana & Malcolm Pearce 50th Wedding Anniversary Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 15.5f · Good · 4 ran 2nd 6/5F

03 Jun 25 Southwell Beny Nahar Road (IRE)J: Jamie Hamilton RCA Summer Jumps Championship Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 6 ran 1st 11/2

16 May 25 Aintree Flic Ou Voyou (FR)J: Danny McMenamin HAMeansMore Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 3 · 20f · Good · 6 ran 1st 13/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 18 Oct 2026: top-rated on KTB Rating in 1 run (won 0) · to 18 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Henry Hogarth's strike rate?: Henry Hogarth has won 61 of 835 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 7.3% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Henry Hogarth do best at?: Cartmel by strike rate: 5 wins from 41 runners (12.2%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Henry Hogarth?: Jamie Hamilton, with 200 runners since 2008 — 24% of the total. That pairing has won 10 (5%).
What is Henry Hogarth's Fair A/E?: 0.91, from 833 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.