A B Joyce
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rode around 70 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 5% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.77).
The market has consistently overbet rides in big fields of 14 or more: 3.6% strike, Fair A/E 0.66 and −103.00 to a £1 stake over 166 rides — those runners underperformed what the price implied. T J Taaffe supplied 32% of the rides and beats the rider's average (12.7% vs 5%, A/E 1.32) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also read well off a 31-60-day break (9.3%, n=54) and off a break of 180+ days (10%, n=30). The record read poorly off a 61-180-day break — 0% over 33 rides, 5pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the rider on Soft going: Fair A/E 0.54 across 93 rides (3.2% strike, −73.50 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperformed what the price implied. 3 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Paddy Power Handicap Chase at Leopardstown (Dec 2006, £108,600).
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 5% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Jumping record
completion over obstacles · same window as headerHorses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstBy month
strike by month, lifetimeRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 532 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 532 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 2 January 2005 to 17 March 2010.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is A B Joyce's strike rate?
- A B Joyce has won 11 of 222 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 5% (as at 28 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which yard does A B Joyce ride most for?
- T J Taaffe, with 71 rides since 2008 — 32% of the total. That pairing has won 9 (12.7%).
- What is A B Joyce's Fair A/E?
- 0.77, from 222 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.