Skip to content
Trainer profile

John E Kiely

1,478 runners in the lifetime window · 198 individual horses
As at 24 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Apr 2023
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
196–1,478
Wins / Runs
13.3%
Strike rate
n=1,478
527 (36%)
Placed
1.11
Fair A/E
n=1,478 · 0.87 incl. margin
−256.56
£1 level stake
n=1,478 at SP · −17.4%
£3.78m
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
35.7%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 80 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 13% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.11).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,478 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 24 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Fires Apr–May 28.8% when favourite Mark Walsh: 16.2% from 99 Sends off the favourite in 15% of races
The read

The record is strongest at Tramore (22%, n=82), clear of the yard's 13.3% baseline. It is weakest at Thurles (0% over 32 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Debutants struggle at 8.1% (n=148, Fair A/E 0.95). Mark Walsh rides 7% of the entries and edges the yard's average (16.2% vs 13.3%, A/E 1.08) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. 24 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Guinness Galway Hurdle Handicap at Galway (Jul 2008, £132,700). The stable star of the record: Carlingford Lough (IRE) — 10 wins from 38 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Apr–May.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 13.3% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
10.4%−2.9
n=288 · A/E 0.89 · £1 −123.39
New recruits · first run for the yard
8.8%−4.5
n=34 · A/E 0.79 · £1 −12.25
Debutants · first career start
8.1%−5.2
n=148 · A/E 0.95 · £1 −65.75
First-time headgear · true-first definition
16%+2.7
n=25 · A/E 1.45 · £1 +8.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
5.9%−7.4
n=17 · A/E 0.79 · £1 −9.00
When favourite
28.8%
n=215 · A/E 1.01 · £1 −52.02
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
11.6%−1.7
n=448 · A/E 1.06 · £1 −116.73
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
11.7%−1.6
n=179 · A/E 1.23 · £1 −17.77

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 13.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With D J Casey 30% vs 13.3% · n=30
At Thurles 0% vs 13.3% · n=32
At Tramore 22% vs 13.3% · n=82
At Curragh 4.4% vs 13.3% · n=45
At Clonmel 6.3% vs 13.3% · n=96
On last-time-out winners 18.3% vs 13.3% · n=186
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 665 85 12.8% −117.94
Flat 369 44 11.9% −97.52
NH Flat 249 40 16.1% −11.52
Chase 195 27 13.8% −29.58

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 545 61 11.2% −175.61
Good 402 64 15.9% +28.05
Heavy 271 35 12.9% −78.20
Good to Soft 125 13 10.4% −28.50
Good to Firm 97 15 15.5% −8.30
Standard (AW) 26 6 23.1% +14.12
Firm 12 2 16.7% −8.12

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Cork 149 18 12.1% −12.84
Punchestown 129 17 13.2% −15.92
Killarney 111 11 9.9% −38.75
Leopardstown 104 13 12.5% +7.00
Clonmel 96 6 6.3% −67.93
Galway 88 13 14.8% +1.50
Tramore 82 18 22% +4.95
Fairyhouse 71 9 12.7% −30.05
Gowran Park 65 6 9.2% −18.87
Tipperary 63 10 15.9% −17.74
Listowel 58 10 17.2% +46.17
Navan 53 9 17% +9.55
Naas 53 5 9.4% −24.50
Limerick 52 8 15.4% −5.27
Curragh 45 2 4.4% −21.50

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 182 21 11.5% −20.77
Class 2 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 250 66 26.4% 0.96 −67.77
2nd–3rd fav 437 81 18.5% 1.22 +10.71
4th–6th fav 408 34 8.3% 1.16 −70.50
7th+ in betting 383 15 3.9% 1.14 −129.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
87.9% completed · 860 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 195 85.6% 9 8 11 0 0
Hurdle 665 88.6% 17 19 32 3 5
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
On The Way Out (IRE) 53 7 16 17 Sep 14
Saint Gervais (IRE) 41 6 14 15 Aug 15
Ancient Sands (IRE)from Ms Joanna Morgan 40 6 16 27 Dec 18
Master Appeal (IRE)then James Joseph Mangan 40 5 14 25 Aug 18
Carlingford Lough (IRE) 38 10 16 27 Dec 18
Line Out (IRE)then John E & Thomas Kiely 32 7 18 10 Oct 21
Toe The Line (IRE) 32 7 21 16 Mar 17
The Names Jock (IRE)from R J Osborne · then John E & Thomas Kiely 31 5 9 1 Sep 22
Goodbye Someday (IRE)then John Queally 31 3 9 15 Jul 22
Conduct Yourself (IRE) 31 4 14 18 Nov 18
Deor (IRE) 29 3 8 6 Oct 18
Henry's Girl (IRE) 28 4 10 22 Oct 17
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 198 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 7 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 11 arrived from another yard in our archive; 49 had their first archived run for this yard.

22 have since run for another yard, most often for John E & Thomas Kiely (6) and John Queally (2); 38 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
716141515131712171399
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderMark Walsh
7% of all rides
16.2% SR · A/E 1.08
RiderRWSR£1
Mark Walsh 99 16 16.2% −8.09
Mr Derek O'Connor 81 8 9.9% −11.83
Brian Hayes 79 10 12.7% +58.60
Paul Townend 70 6 8.6% −23.25
Denis O'Regan 66 8 12.1% −15.87
Mr D Kiely 66 9 13.6% −3.90
Andrew J McNamara 64 11 17.2% −5.47
A E Lynch 39 6 15.4% −15.00
Davy Russell 30 6 20% +2.62
Mr R A Latta 30 6 20% +15.00
D J Casey 30 9 30% −0.53
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
252
Archived wins
24
Pattern / graded wins
£4.62m
Prize money
2006
Best season · 22 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Indian Pace (IRE) — Guinness Galway Hurdle Handicap Galway · Jul 2008 · Grade A
£132,700
Carlingford Lough (IRE) — www.thetote.com Galway Plate (steeplechase Handicap) (grade A) Galway · Jul 2013 · Grade A
£120,375
Carlingford Lough (IRE) — Bibby Financial Services Ireland Punchestown Gold Cup (Grade 1) Punchestown · Apr 2016 · Grade 1
£118,000
Notable horses
Carlingford Lough (IRE) King Rama (USA) On The Way Out (IRE) Toe The Line (IRE) Line Out (IRE) Oneeightofamile (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
King's Theatre (IRE) 19% · 20–105
Progeny have won 14.4% of 12,129 runs since 2008 (746 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 4.8% from 125. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 7.9% from 203.
Beneficial (GB) 11.7% · 9–77
Progeny have won 10.4% of 17,044 runs since 2008 (1,155 horses).
Presenting (GB) 12.3% · 9–73
Progeny have won 11% of 20,049 runs since 2008 (1,686 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 24.3% from 136.
Shantou (USA) 20.6% · 14–68
Progeny have won 13.6% of 7,822 runs since 2008 (539 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 20.3% from 158.
Catcher In The Rye (IRE) 19.7% · 12–61
Progeny have won 8.9% of 2,570 runs since 2008 (239 horses).
Saddlers' Hall (IRE) 13.2% · 7–53
Progeny have won 7.7% of 4,861 runs since 2008 (460 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 24 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,802 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,802 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 15 January 2005 to 26 April 2023.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
26 Apr 23 Punchestown A Dream To Share (IRE)J: Mr J L Gleeson Race & Stay At Punchestown Champion I.N.H. Flat Race (Grade 1)16.5f · Yielding · 8 ran 1st 8/11F
25 Apr 23 Punchestown Joyeux Vivo (FR)J: Mr J L Gleeson Oak Lodge Landscapes Flat Race16.5f · Yielding To Soft · 22 ran 3rd 7/1
16 Apr 23 Tramore Walk Out (IRE)J: Denis O'Regan Anne Valley Walk Handicap Hurdle (80-95) (Div 1)20.5f · Soft · 13 ran 2nd 22/1
06 Apr 23 Clonmel Walk Out (IRE)J: Derek Thomas McGrath Aisling Kennedy Memorial Mares Maiden Hurdle19.5f · Heavy · 11 ran 8th 16/1
29 Mar 23 Navan Hi Stranger (IRE)J: Emmet McNamara Enjoy Hospitality At Navan Racecourse Handicap (47-70)13f · Heavy · 14 ran 13th 33/1
23 Mar 23 Cork Penny Glory (IRE)J: Miss M O'Sullivan Buy Tickets For The Easter Festival Online Now Mares (Ladies Pro/Am) Flat Race16f · Heavy · 11 ran 1st 9/4
15 Mar 23 Cheltenham A Dream To Share (IRE)J: Mr J L Gleeson Weatherbys Champion Bumper (Standard Open NH Flat Race) (Grade 1) (GBB Race)Class 1 · 16.5f · Soft · 21 ran 1st 7/2
13 Mar 23 Thurles Walk Out (IRE)J: Derek Thomas McGrath Holycross Maiden Hurdle21f · Soft · 14 ran UR 15/2
12 Mar 23 Naas The Tack Room (GB)J: Simon Torrens Bar One Racing Leinster National Handicap Chase (Grade A)24.5f · Soft · 13 ran 6th 5/2F
16 Feb 23 Clonmel Walk Out (IRE)J: Derek Thomas McGrath Surehaul Race Day Mares Maiden Hurdle19f · Soft · 18 ran 7th 150/1
04 Feb 23 Leopardstown A Dream To Share (IRE)J: Mr J L Gleeson Shabra Charity Oliver Brady Memorial Future Stars (C & G) I.N.H. Flat Race (Grade 2)16f · Yielding · 8 ran 1st 12/1
25 Jan 23 Fairyhouse Walk Out (IRE)J: Phillip Enright Easter Festival Early Bird Maiden Hurdle16f · Soft To Heavy · 16 ran 13th 200/1
25 Jan 23 Fairyhouse The Tack Room (GB)J: Simon Torrens Follow Fairyhouse On Social Media Handicap Chase (0-116)21f · Soft To Heavy · 8 ran 1st 3/1
07 Jan 23 Cork Walk Out (IRE)J: Denis O'Regan Happy New Year From All At Cork Maiden Hurdle16f · Soft · 19 ran 16th 40/1
29 Dec 22 Leopardstown Shuil Valentine (IRE)J: Mr D Kiely Plusvital Flat Race16f · Soft · 9 ran 9th 25/1
29 Dec 22 Limerick The Tack Room (GB)J: Gavin Brouder Limerick Racecourse Vets Novice Handicap Chase (0-109)22.5f · Heavy · 16 ran 4th 11/2
21 Dec 22 Dundalk (AW) Liberated Light (IRE)J: Jake Coen William Hill Play Responsibly Handicap (47-75)12f · Standard · 14 ran 9th 40/1
06 Dec 22 Tramore Walk Out (IRE)J: Miss M O'Sullivan Garrarus Beach (Ladies Pro/Am) Flat Race16f · Soft · 11 ran 6th 11/4
24 Nov 22 Thurles Glory Liss (IRE)J: Rachael Blackmore Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Maiden Hurdle23f · Yielding To Soft · 15 ran PU 14/1
12 Nov 22 Naas The Tack Room (GB)J: Kevin Sexton Mongey Communications Beginners Chase20f · Yielding To Soft · 12 ran 4th 66/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is John E Kiely's strike rate?
John E Kiely has won 196 of 1,478 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 13.3% (as at 24 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does John E Kiely do best at?
Tramore by strike rate: 18 wins from 82 runners (22%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for John E Kiely?
Mark Walsh, with 99 runners since 2008 — 7% of the total. That pairing has won 16 (16.2%).
What is John E Kiely's Fair A/E?
1.11, from 1,478 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 24 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).