What is Louis Baudron's strike rate?

Louis Baudron has won 48 of 743 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 6.5% (as at 7 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Louis Baudron do best at?

Deauville by strike rate: 17 wins from 198 runners (8.6%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Louis Baudron?

Thibault Speicher, with 78 runners since 2008 — 10% of the total. That pairing has won 6 (7.7%).

Is Louis Baudron in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 4 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Louis Baudron's Fair A/E?

0.82, from 731 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Louis Baudron

743 runners in the lifetime window · 179 individual horses

As at 7 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner yesterday

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2011→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

48–743

Wins / Runs

6.5%

Strike rate

n=743

182 (25%)

Placed

0.82

Fair A/E

n=731 · 0.70 incl. margin

−154.80

£1 level stake

n=739 at SP · −20.9%

£1.59m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

3.1%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 40 runners a season, winning with 7% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.82).

Deterministic profile computed from 743 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 7 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Mar–Apr Fresh horses: 7.8% 15.8% when favourite Thibault Speicher: 7.7% from 78 Sends off the favourite in 5% of races

The read

It is weakest at Longchamp (FR) (1.9% over 53 runners) — the widest gap in the record. New recruits from other stables on their first run struggle at 2.2% (n=46, Fair A/E 0.29). The market has consistently overbet debutants: 2.8% strike, Fair A/E 0.55 and −109.90 to a £1 stake over 144 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Thibault Speicher rides 10% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (7.7%, A/E 1.62) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. 3 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Prix Christian de Tredern at Auteuil (FR) (Jun 2015, £47,093). Seasonally, the yard fires Mar–Apr.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.5% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

7.8%+1.3

n=192 · A/E 1.11 · £1 −7.90

New recruits · first run for the yard

2.2%−4.3

n=46 · A/E 0.29 · £1 −24.80

Debutants · first career start

2.8%−3.7

n=144 · A/E 0.55 · £1 −109.90

First-time headgear · true-first definition

7.6%+1.1

n=66 · A/E 1.54 · £1 +14.10

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

0%−6.5

n=12 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −12.00

When favourite

15.8%

n=38 · A/E 0.60 · £1 −14.30

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

5.6%−0.9

n=126 · A/E 0.80 · £1 −19.70

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

4.2%−2.3

n=72 · A/E 0.60 · £1 −28.70

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With Ervan Chazelle 15.9% vs 6.5% · n=44

With debutants 2.8% vs 6.5% · n=144

At Longchamp (FR) 1.9% vs 6.5% · n=53

With horses switching code 11.1% vs 6.5% · n=36

With new recruits 2.2% vs 6.5% · n=46

At Chantilly (FR) 3.4% vs 6.5% · n=148

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 617 38 6.2% −138.90

Hurdle 86 7 8.1% −18.00

Chase 40 3 7.5% +2.10

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 243 15 6.2% +2.10

Soft 218 16 7.3% −59.30

Good to Soft 105 4 3.8% −67.30

Good 101 7 6.9% −18.90

Heavy 75 6 8% −11.40

Good to Firm 1 0 0% —

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Deauville 198 17 8.6% +38.40

Chantilly (FR) 148 5 3.4% −55.70

Saint-Cloud 79 5 6.3% −32.90

Auteuil (FR) 79 6 7.6% +7.10

Maisons-Laffitte (FR) 59 4 6.8% −18.00

Longchamp (FR) 53 1 1.9% −46.70

Compiegne 27 2 7.4% −16.70

Cagnes-Sur-Mer (FR) 13 0 0% −13.00

Dieppe 12 0 0% −12.00

Clairefontaine (FR) 11 0 0% −11.00

Vichy (FR) 8 1 12.5% +13.20

Enghien (FR) 7 2 28.6% +7.10

Angers 7 1 14.3% −1.00

Fontainebleau (FR) 6 1 16.7% +6.20

Saint-Malo (FR) 5 2 40% +3.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 75 3 4% −31.70

Class 3 13 0 0% −13.00

Class 2 6 0 0% −6.00

Class 4 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 42 6 14.3% 0.54 −18.30

2nd–3rd fav 129 11 8.5% 0.55 −74.80

4th–6th fav 209 17 8.1% 1.00 −39.30

7th+ in betting 359 14 3.9% 1.18 −22.40

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Love Spirit (GB) 35 3 9 2 Oct 17

Always Welcome (FR) 26 1 6 22 Feb 26

Fastidious (FR) 23 1 9 28 Aug 19

Cobra De Larre (FR) 22 3 8 30 Sep 21

Varadero (IRE)from Yves de Nicolay 21 3 5 18 Oct 16

Time Dream (IRE)then M Boutin 21 1 8 8 Jul 16

Carlton Choice (IRE)then R Chotard 19 2 5 22 Jun 18

Beetlejuice (FR) 14 1 5 14 Sep 26

La Belle Poete (FR) 14 2 4 27 Dec 24

We Ride The World (IRE)then Amandine Baudron 13 0 6 13 Dec 18

Turn In Grey (FR) 13 2 7 22 Jun 15

Like Lindy (USA) 12 1 3 16 Oct 26

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 179 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 4 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 11 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from A & G Botti (2) and Alessandro Botti (2); 49 had their first archived run for this yard.

21 have since run for another yard, most often for Cedric Rossi (3) and Mme A Budka (3); 39 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 4

Only 4 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

84128376122574

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderThibault Speicher

10% of all rides
7.7% SR · A/E 1.62

RiderRWSR£1

Thibault Speicher 78 6 7.7% +31.40

M Grandin 47 3 6.4% +8.10

Ervan Chazelle 44 7 15.9% +48.10

Maxime Guyon 30 2 6.7% −15.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2011→

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£1.59m

Prize money

2017

Best season · 7 wins

Turn In Grey (FR) — Prix Christian de Tredern (Hurdle) (4-5yo Fillies & Mares) (Turf) Auteuil (FR) · Jun 2015 · Grade 3

£47,093

Cobra De Larre (FR) — Prix Secours Populaire Francais (Prix Hubert d'Aillieres) (Hurdle) () (5yo+) (Turf) Auteuil (FR) · Mar 2017 · Listed

£34,872

Varadero (IRE) — Grand Handicap De Longchamp (Handicap) (4yo+) (Turf) Longchamp (FR) · Apr 2013

£26,748

Notable horses

Love Spirit (GB) Cobra De Larre (FR) Varadero (IRE) Street Lair (USA) Carlton Choice (IRE) La Belle Poete (FR)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Elusive City (USA) 6.5% · 3–46

Progeny have won 9.7% of 8,430 runs since 2008 (636 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 6.4% from 1,123.

Bushranger (IRE) 7.5% · 3–40

Progeny have won 7.7% of 4,449 runs since 2013 (300 horses).

Dalakhani (IRE) 10.7% · 3–28

Progeny have won 11.6% of 5,037 runs since 2008 (497 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 8.6% from 278. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 6.5% from 153.

Manduro (GER) 3.8% · 1–26

Progeny have won 10.5% of 4,220 runs since 2011 (411 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.8% from 1,097. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 7.5% from 402.

Orpen (USA) 0% · 0–24

Progeny have won 9% of 4,038 runs since 2008 (381 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 4.4% from 113.

Zanzibari (USA) 4.2% · 1–24

Progeny have won 9.2% of 1,311 runs since 2014 (139 horses). Strongest on Good going: 14.2% from 225. Weakest on Heavy going: 5.3% from 171.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 7 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 743 · newest first

The latest 50 of 743 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 22 December 2011 to 6 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

06 Nov 26 Fontainebleau (FR) Joyeuse Blue (FR)J: Anthony Renard Prix Princesse D'anjouClass 4 · 18f · Soft · 10 ran 2nd 10/1

31 Oct 26 Angers (FR) Sweet For Me (FR)J: Hugo Lebouc Prix Claude Munet - Grand Prix D'angersClass 1 · 15f · Soft · 6 ran 5th 9/2

27 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Sundara (USA)J: Marvin Grandin Prix D'aubigny9.5f · Standard · 6 ran 5th 5/1

25 Oct 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) Queen D'aunou (FR)J: Rosario Mangione Prix des HarasClass 3 · 12.5f · Soft · 14 ran 10th 22/1

19 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) La Madrague (FR)J: M Grandin Prix Du Pre D'auge Stakes6.5f · Standard · 12 ran 5th 11/1

19 Oct 26 Compiegne (FR) La Chocolatine (FR)J: Theo Chevillard Prix Saccageur17f · Heavy · 8 ran PU 7/2

16 Oct 26 Fontainebleau (FR) Like Lindy (USA)J: Marvin Grandin Prix De La Mare Aux Evees6f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 5th 4/1

16 Oct 26 Fontainebleau (FR) Sainte Sarah (FR)J: Christopher Grosbois Prix Artus De Maille11f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 11th 22/1

13 Oct 26 Longchamp (FR) Queen D'aunou (FR)J: Rosario Mangione Prix De Miromesnil12f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 13th 22/1

12 Oct 26 Fontainebleau (FR) Joyeuse Blue (FR)J: Theo Chevillard Prix Colonel Jochaud Du PlessixClass 3 · 18f · Heavy · 5 ran 3rd 15/2

07 Oct 26 Chantilly (FR) Gooseman (FR)J: Pierre Remoue Prix Du Grand Vivier7f · Standard · 9 ran 6th 50/1

03 Oct 26 Fontainebleau (FR) La Chocolatine (FR)J: Theo Chevillard Prix D'amiens18f · Heavy · 7 ran 3rd 3/1

01 Oct 26 Argentan (FR) Ecliptic (FR)J: Marvin Grandin Prix D'ecouche9.5f · Good · 13 ran 4th 17/2

01 Oct 26 Argentan (FR) Like Lindy (USA)J: Marvin Grandin Prix De LongchampClass 4 · 6.5f · Good · 9 ran 5th 4/1

28 Sep 26 Craon (FR) Sainte Sarah (FR)J: Christopher Grosbois Prix Lesieur (Prix Du Chene)12f · Very Soft · 12 ran 12th 12/1

24 Sep 26 Compiegne (FR) Devil'story (FR)J: Maxime Guyon Prix De Vignemont8f · Good To Soft · 16 ran 13th 11/1

24 Sep 26 Compiegne (FR) Purple Bay (GB)J: Ioritz Mendizabal Prix De Fresnoy-la-riviere12f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 10th 18/1

24 Sep 26 Compiegne (FR) Sweet For Me (FR)J: Marvin Grandin Prix De Fresnoy-la-riviere12f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 9th 7/1

22 Sep 26 Auteuil (FR) Joyeuse Blue (FR)J: Thomas Journiac Prix Calabrais18f · Very Soft · 16 ran PU 33/1

21 Sep 26 Angers (FR) Gooseman (FR)J: Pierre Remoue Prix Brantome8f · Good · 13 ran 9th 14/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Louis Baudron's strike rate?: Louis Baudron has won 48 of 743 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 6.5% (as at 7 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Louis Baudron do best at?: Deauville by strike rate: 17 wins from 198 runners (8.6%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Louis Baudron?: Thibault Speicher, with 78 runners since 2008 — 10% of the total. That pairing has won 6 (7.7%).
Is Louis Baudron in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 4 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Louis Baudron's Fair A/E?: 0.82, from 731 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.