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Trainer profile

M Keane

199 runners in the lifetime window · 27 individual horses
As at 1 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Jan 2025 96% of runners over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
3–199
Wins / Runs
1.5%
Strike rate
n=199
25 (13%)
Placed
0.40
Fair A/E
n=199 · 0.29 incl. margin
−172.00
£1 level stake
n=199 at SP · −86.4%
£55,527
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 10 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 2% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.40).

Deterministic profile computed from 199 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 1 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Mr A M Keane: 1.5% from 65
The read

The market has consistently overbet runners with a claiming rider up: 0.8% strike, Fair A/E 0.22 and −114.00 to a £1 stake over 122 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Mr A M Keane rides 33% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (1.5%, A/E 0.34). The yard also reads well in Chase races (4.9%, n=41).

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 1.5% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−1.5
n=38 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −38.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−1.5
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−1.5
n=20 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −20.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−1.5
n=8 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −8.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−1.5
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00
When favourite
0%
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
0.8%−0.7
n=122 · A/E 0.22 · £1 −114.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−1.5
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 1.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
In Chase races 4.9% vs 1.5% · n=41
With Martin Ferris 3.6% vs 1.5% · n=55
With a new jockey booking 0% vs 1.5% · n=79 · A/E 0.00
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 112 1 0.9% −104.00
Chase 41 2 4.9% −22.00
NH Flat 38 0 0% −38.00
Flat 8 0 0% −8.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Heavy 58 1 1.7% −46.00
Good 53 1 1.9% −46.00
Soft 47 1 2.1% −39.00
Good to Firm 22 0 0% −22.00
Good to Soft 13 0 0% −13.00
Firm 4 0 0% −4.00
Standard (AW) 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Cork 28 0 0% −28.00
Clonmel 24 0 0% −24.00
Limerick 22 1 4.5% −15.00
Tramore 17 1 5.9% −5.00
Listowel 17 0 0% −17.00
Gowran Park 14 0 0% −14.00
Punchestown 13 0 0% −13.00
Thurles 11 0 0% −11.00
Tipperary 10 0 0% −10.00
Killarney 10 0 0% −10.00
Wexford 9 0 0% −9.00
Kilbeggan 5 0 0% −5.00
Navan 4 0 0% −4.00
Fairyhouse 4 0 0% −4.00
Ballinrobe 4 1 25% +4.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 3 0 0% −3.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 2 0 0% 0.00 −2.00
2nd–3rd fav 13 2 15.4% 1.56 +2.00
4th–6th fav 40 1 2.5% 0.44 −28.00
7th+ in betting 144 0 0% 0.00 −144.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
79.7% completed · 153 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 41 68.3% 3 2 8 0 0
Hurdle 112 83.9% 2 1 14 0 1
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Credit Box (IRE) 49 2 14 19 Jun 13
Waltzing Tornado (IRE)then Andy Hobbs 29 1 4 2 Feb 12
Shan Brogeen (IRE) 20 0 4 9 Oct 10
Calluso (IRE) 13 0 2 9 Jul 10
Bb Bonita (IRE) 11 0 0 1 Mar 12
Onemoreask (IRE) 9 0 0 28 Dec 18
Roccocal (IRE) 6 0 0 25 May 21
Askcalie (IRE) 6 0 0 25 Jun 18
Ballet Dante (IRE) 6 0 1 15 Aug 14
Back Nd Bleu (IRE) 6 0 0 26 May 10
Rich Law No Law (IRE)from Kevin Prendergast 5 0 0 22 Feb 22
Itmaybeyou (IRE) 5 0 0 25 Oct 09
All 27 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 27 horses listed, 4 arrived from another yard in our archive; 23 had their first archived run for this yard.

2 have since run for another yard; 25 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
800000707000
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderMr A M Keane
33% of all rides
1.5% SR · A/E 0.34
RiderRWSR£1
Mr A M Keane 65 1 1.5% −57.00
Martin Ferris 55 2 3.6% −36.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
5
Archived wins
£74,945
Prize money
2011
Best season · 2 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Credit Box (IRE) — Limerick's Live 95FM Beginners Chase Limerick · Jul 2011
£8,625
Dancing Tornado (IRE) — McCarthy Insurance Group Flat Race Cork · Jan 2007
£8,292
Dancing Tornado (IRE) — O'connell Containers (pro/am) Flat Race Cork · Dec 2006
£7,256
Notable horses
Credit Box (IRE) Dancing Tornado (IRE) Waltzing Tornado (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Witness Box (USA) 4.1% · 2–49
Progeny have won 9.1% of 2,675 runs since 2008 (194 horses). Weakest on Good to Firm going: 4% from 173.
Golden Tornado (IRE) 3.4% · 1–29
Progeny have won 10% of 739 runs since 2008 (61 horses). Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 15.3% from 248. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 3.8% from 157.
Anshan (GB) 0% · 0–20
Progeny have won 9.6% of 4,216 runs since 2008 (387 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 14.2% from 520.
Ask (GB) 0% · 0–15
Progeny have won 10.6% of 3,218 runs since 2014 (283 horses).
Luso (GB) 0% · 0–13
Progeny have won 6.7% of 3,516 runs since 2008 (389 horses).
Presenting (GB) 0% · 0–13
Progeny have won 11% of 20,052 runs since 2008 (1,686 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 24.3% from 136.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 1 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 234 · newest first

The latest 50 of 234 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 22 January 2005 to 29 January 2025.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
29 Jan 25 Dundalk (AW) Glam De Vega (IRE)J: Shay Wallace Put The Fun In Fundraising At Dundalk Handicap (47-80)10.5f · Standard · 6 ran 6th 50/1
17 Jan 25 Dundalk (AW) Glam De Vega (IRE)J: Shay Wallace Irishinjuredjockeys.com Rated Race16f · Standard · 6 ran 6th 40/1
28 Dec 24 Limerick Glam De Vega (IRE)J: Conor Stone-Walsh Keith Lynch Memorial Maiden Hurdle16f · Yielding To Soft · 17 ran 11th 100/1
25 Sep 24 Listowel Glam De Vega (IRE)J: Shane Fitzgerald McSweeney Brothers Maiden Hurdle16f · Yielding To Soft · 11 ran PU 20/1
22 Feb 22 Navan Rich Law No Law (IRE)J: Mike O'Connor Meath Farm Machinery Handicap Hurdle (80-102) (Div 2)21f · Heavy · 20 ran 14th 66/1
19 Sep 21 Listowel Rich Law No Law (IRE)J: Mike O'Connor Kerry Group 3-Y-O Hurdle16f · Good To Yielding · 12 ran 9th 250/1
20 Aug 21 Killarney Rich Law No Law (IRE)J: Shane Fenelon Play Over 1,000 Games At BoyleSports 3-Y-O Maiden Hurdle17f · Yielding · 11 ran 5th 200/1
09 Aug 21 Ballinrobe Rich Law No Law (IRE)J: Mike O'Connor J.J. Burke Car Sales 3-Y-O Maiden Hurdle16.5f · Good To Yielding · 13 ran 10th 250/1
25 May 21 Ballinrobe Roccocal (IRE)J: Mike O'Connor www.mchale.net Handicap Hurdle (80-95) (Div 1)25f · Soft To Heavy · 12 ran 10th 50/1
19 May 21 Cork Rich Law No Law (IRE)J: Jamie Powell Mallow Apprentice Handicap (45-65)10f · Yielding To Soft · 14 ran 13th 50/1
10 May 21 Killarney Roccocal (IRE)J: Simon Torrens Ring Of Kerry Mares Maiden Hurdle22f · Good To Yielding · 18 ran 13th 200/1
28 Mar 21 Limerick Roccocal (IRE)J: B J Foley Bruree Mares Hurdle16f · Heavy · 8 ran 5th 100/1
09 Mar 21 Clonmel Roccocal (IRE)J: Mr R J Kiely Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Flat Race16f · Soft To Heavy · 11 ran 5th 125/1
01 Mar 21 Punchestown Roccocal (IRE)J: B J Foley Moate Field Mares Maiden Hurdle22f · Soft · 16 ran 14th 300/1
13 Feb 21 Naas Roccocal (IRE)J: B J Foley Naas Business Club Members Maiden Hurdle (Div 2)15.5f · Soft · 18 ran 9th 150/1
28 Dec 18 Limerick Onemoreask (IRE)J: Andrew Ring Parkway Shopping Centre Handicap Hurdle (80-102) (Div 2)21f · Soft · 17 ran PU 33/1
09 Dec 18 Cork Onemoreask (IRE)J: Mark Enright Kerrymaid Novice Handicap Hurdle (80-102)20f · Soft To Heavy · 20 ran PU 40/1
24 Nov 18 Gowran Park Onemoreask (IRE)J: Mark Enright Join Gowran Park Racing Club Mares Handicap Hurdle16f · Good · 16 ran 15th 33/1
04 Nov 18 Cork Onemoreask (IRE)J: Mark Enright Paddy's Super Enhancements Maiden Hurdle16f · Good To Yielding · 24 ran 18th 50/1
25 Jun 18 Kilbeggan Askcalie (IRE)J: Mark Bolger Greville Arms Hotel Mullingar Handicap Hurdle (80-95)25f · Good · 16 ran PU 25/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is M Keane's strike rate?
M Keane has won 3 of 199 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 1.5% (as at 1 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Who rides most for M Keane?
Mr A M Keane, with 65 runners since 2008 — 33% of the total. That pairing has won 1 (1.5%).
What is M Keane's Fair A/E?
0.40, from 199 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 1 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).